Severe weather threat for Sun, Nov 17, 2013 - Part 2 This post [[Severe weather threat for Sun, Nov 17, 2013]] is getting to big, so continuing here. h2. Nov 17 - 1411 Short while ago !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5488/10910438853_5a0dc53a33.jpg! !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5526/10910438823_985695f8ec.jpg! h2. 1417 !http://toledotalk.com/weather/images/mcd2018.gif! md 2018 concerning tornado watch 561...562...564... for far ern il...ind...lower mi mesoscale discussion 2018 nws storm prediction center norman ok 0106 pm cst sun nov 17 2013 areas affected...far ern il...ind...lower mi concerning...tornado watch 561...562...564... valid 171906z - 172030z the severe weather threat for tornado watch 561...562...564...continues. summary...widespread damaging winds and several tornadoes...some of which should be significant...will evolve from il into ind and lower mi through mid-afternoon. discussion...the nrn two-thirds of an extensive convective band has consolidated into a qlcs from srn lk mi into e-cntrl il. with an impressively large surface pressure rise/fall couplet noted across the mid-ms valley to midwest...tendency for fast-moving linear organization should continue across nrn ind and lower mi. embedded mesovortices will remain capable of damaging tornadoes while extensive swaths of strong to severe wind gusts should remain attendant to the qlcs as an 886 mb surface cyclone over sern wi continues to deepen. farther s...tendency for more discrete supercell structures appear probable for convection emanating newd out of srn il. although downstream surface temperatures are cooler...very strong low-level shear noted in kvwx vwp data will support a considerable risk of significant tornadoes as convection remains coincident within a plume of lower to middle 60s surface dew points. ..grams.. 11/17/2013 ...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... attn...wfo...dtx...apx...lmk...iwx...grr...ind...pah...lot... ilx... lat...lon 44528595 44528470 44118430 43138440 39638542 38508650 38168746 38138787 38238832 38638834 40298780 42508673 44528595 h2. 1442 Toledo Express weather at 2pm. Weather : Overcast Temperature : 65 F Humidity : 76% Wind Speed : S 17 mph - Gust 30 mph Barometer : 29.50 in Dewpoint: 57 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles h2. 1452 !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3731/10910903885_ef18458d85.jpg! I'm seeing only a small amount of the white inside cells that indicate severe. !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5545/10911209843_7f166f48ed.jpg! !http://farm3.staticflickr.com/2853/10911043934_0b95284305.jpg! h2. 1501 A couple of those cells along or near the IL-IN border are isolated at least along the western and southern edges. !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5473/10911096436_35c8f8793f.jpg! !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3711/10911173414_7e157270c7.jpg! h2. 1503 This was prob posted in the other post: fxus61 kcle 171738 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 1238 pm est sun nov 17 2013 synopsis... low pressure over the plains states will deepen rapidly as it moves northeast today reaching northern lake michigan by this evening and into quebec on monday. this will push a strong cold front across the area this evening. high pressure will move east out of the southern plains states into the ohio valley by tuesday and then off the east coast on wednesday. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... removed thunder across north central ohio and points east until very late afternoon/evening. while i cannot rule out thunder... would like to make the thunder and wind with the front more of the focal point of the forecast. tough to do in these days of automated text formatters...so not sure exactly what the wording will say. better chance for thunder at any time in the dry slot that is creeping across northwest ohio. sort of looks like oklahoma in the spring time...hmmm. no other significant changes to the forecast. did nudge up high temperatures a couple of degrees across nw ohio and parts of north central ohio where there will not be as many showers. record high in toledo is 71 and we will take a run at it. 72 at cle is potentially within reach. relevant early morning updated discussion... showers continue to move east and out of the area at this time. cellular convection continues to move into extreme northwest ohio and southern lower michigan. the water vapor plume is also pushing east allowing for some drier air to move east and allow for a break in the action. latest hrrr model shows massive squall line developing over illinois and rapidly intensifies as it moves east toward ohio. timing would put the line at toledo and findlay at 22z and to cleveland and mansfield by about 00z and finally to erie and youngstown by 02z or so. so the wait begins. stay tuned. previous discussion... the long anticipated severe weather threat day has arrived. two low pressure systems in the upper midwest are beginning to merge and intensify this morning. southerly flow has increased across the forecast area and this will be the beginning of the strengthening wind flow throughout the day. moderately strong low level jet will remain persistent over the forecast area today and with the warm air advection...some of the stronger winds will mix down to the surface. so...will go ahead and issue a wind advisory for the entire area but will be for mainly later this evening into tonight since the strongest winds will take place after the cold frontal passage. 60 to 70 knot speed maximum at 850 mb will pose a problem as convection develops later this morning into the afternoon hours. the stronger winds could be forced to the surface in the thunderstorms and produce widespread wind damage. latest storm prediction center outlook continues to highlight a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms across the area today. there is a high risk just west of the forecast area. even though the main threats will be the strong damaging winds...latest model sounding hodographs indicate some fairly high levels of helicity...especially across areas from cleveland to akron canton west. i cant rule out the potential for any thunderstorms that develop that they could begin to rotate rather quickly and produce tornadoes. temperature dew point spreads are progged to be at or below the 5 degree threshold and this is one key ingredient for tornadoes to develop. && short term /6 pm this evening through wednesday night/... the severe weather threat will not be over tonight. the cold front and potential squall line is expected to move through the area this evening and this is when we have the highest threat for widespread wind damage. one factor is we will be losing the day time heating and this may help to stabilize things a bit. as the cold front shifts east...cold air advection will take place and allow winds to mix down to the surface. will hoist a wind advisory for tonight due to the post frontal winds expected. as the strong low pressure system moves rather quickly to the northeast...winds are expected to diminish fairly quickly monday into tuesday. cyclonic flow around the back side of the low and in advance of the next high pressure will cause showers to continue over the extreme northeast portion of the forecast area. otherwise...drier air will begin to return back to the region on monday. the cold air advection will likely produce some lake effect rain and snow showers over the northeast monday night and tuesday. the high will build in across the ohio valley and shift the flow away from the lake ending the lake effect threat. otherwise...fair weather is expected across the rest of the forecast area monday into tuesday and over all areas tuesday night through wednesday night. the cold front will result in cold air advection and plunge temperatures back to near normal in the 40s for highs and overnight lows in the 20s to lower 30s. && long term /thursday through saturday/... not many changes to the long term today. the new guidance continues to show the possibility of warm air advection showers on thursday...especially in the west. unsettled weather will then continue into next weekend as a series of frontal systems affects the region. it appears best chances for precip will be friday night into saturday as a wave moves across the ohio valley. most of the precip should be liquid although mixed rain and snow could occur early saturday. temps during the period will be seasonable and have stayed fairly close to guidance. && aviation /18z sunday through thursday/... southerly winds will increase through the afternoon with gusts to 35 knots common across the west and along the lakeshore. expect to see mvfr cloud cover to spread back into the area from the southwest. this may be a bit slower to occur across the east but with some scattered showers we expect there will still be at least some patchy mvfr conditions. the main concern will be the severe thunderstorm potential along a strong cold front that will arrive in the toledo area around 22z...kcle and kmfd around 00z and kyng and keri around 02z. severe gusts will be possible with the strongest thunderstorms. winds in the wake of the front will shift to the southwest and increase. most locations will see gusts 35 to 40 knots through the overnight. outlook...non-vfr conditions will be scattered across the region in showers. a few shsn monday night...mainly across ne oh/nw pa. conditions improving to vfr from west to east tuesday. && marine... no changes to the headlines on the lake today. the gale still looks good for late today and tonight. still expecting a squall line to move across the lake this evening and wind gusts could approach 50 knots. winds will become westerly behind the cold front responsible for the squall line. speeds should gradually diminish on monday and expect a prolonged period of small craft advisories once the gale comes down. local guidance also shows water levels making a run for the critical mark late tonight. will see how things develop but later shifts may need to go with a low water advisory. the flow will become nw on monday as high pressure begins to build in from the west. a surface ridge will eventually move east of the lake tuesday night allowing the flow to become southerly. south to southwest flow will then continue till a cold front crosses the lake at the very end of the period. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...wind advisory from 7 pm this evening to 7 am est monday for ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089. pa...wind advisory from 7 pm this evening to 7 am est monday for paz001>003. marine...gale warning from 6 pm this evening to 4 pm est monday for lez061-142>149-162>169. low water advisory from 7 pm this evening to 4 pm est monday for lez142>144-162>164. && $$ synopsis...kosarik/lombardy near term...kosarik/lombardy short term...lombardy long term...kubina aviation...mullen marine...kubina h2. 1509 Toledo Express Airport Nov 17, 2013 2:52 pm Weather : Mostly Cloudy Temperature : 66 F Humidity : 73% Wind Speed : S 20 mph - Gust 30 mph Barometer : 29.45 in Dewpoint: 57 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles h2. 1513 !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5527/10911601983_3cc85f0739.jpg! h2. 1521 Here is the tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings map as of 3:09 p.m. EST. Over the past hour, the number of tornado warnings in the northern half of Indiana has increased. Storms are moving northeast. Whether the storms hold together long enough to make it to northwest Ohio, well ... !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5527/10911601983_3cc85f0739.jpg! br. Here is the warnings map from earlier today at 1:28 p.m. EST. The storms are moving quickly. !http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7349/10909504466_9fa57f03ee.jpg! h2. 1525 !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3795/10911558166_61b60aefa2.jpg! h2. 1534 !http://toledotalk.com/weather/images/mcd2020.gif! md 2020 concerning severe potential...tornado watch likely for oh mesoscale discussion 2020 nws storm prediction center norman ok 0205 pm cst sun nov 17 2013 areas affected...oh concerning...severe potential...tornado watch likely valid 172005z - 172130z probability of watch issuance...95 percent summary...tornado watch issuance downstream of ww 562 is expected by 2130z as a qlcs races ewd from ind. widespread damaging winds along with a few tornadoes appear likely...some of which may be significant. discussion...current 55-60 kt movement of a qlcs and semi-discrete supercells across wrn ind extrapolates to a 2230-2300z timing at the ern edge of ww 562. while widespread cloudiness and a band of low-level waa driven rainfall have yielded negligible buoyancy per 19z iln raob...a large isallobaric response accompanying a powerful cyclone over lk mi should result in a narrow corridor of marginal buoyancy into oh by early evening. already strong wind profiles will strengthen further...supporting the potential for damaging winds and a few tornadoes. ..grams/mead.. 11/17/2013 ...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... attn...wfo...pbz...rlx...cle...iln...dtx... lat...lon 41738357 42118096 41818037 40558065 39248185 38618291 38608340 38858378 39118393 40028389 41738357 h2. 1540 !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5507/10911832356_7dcd9d73d4.jpg! h2. 1549 It's looking a bit rough in Indiana in this 3:37 p.m. EST warnings map. Warnings can be issued for only a small part of the county, but this map fills in the entire county. !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5507/10911832356_7dcd9d73d4.jpg! br. Here's the "Wunderground.com severe weather map":http://www.wunderground.com/severe.asp?region=mw&setprefs.0.key=SVRMAP&setprefs.0.val=mw%23gotoMap from around 3:40 p.m. EST. red = tornado warning yellow = severe thunderstorm warning !http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7301/10911910026_afb560ce5b_z.jpg! h2. 1632 New "tornado watch issued":http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0566.html for areas east of I-75. This one includes Lucas County. This is not a Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) tornado watch. !http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0566_radar_init_resize.gif! br. The 4:23 p.m. warnings map looks less imposing. !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5513/10912636535_5866038333.jpg! br. Some small cells have formed in the Toledo area out ahead of the main line. Thunder can be heard now in West Toledo. !http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7434/10912649345_9130579567.jpg! br. Loop ending at 4:20 p.m. showing the small isolated cells. !http://farm3.staticflickr.com/2841/10912682526_dd60b9e7b2_o.gif! h2. 1647 fxus61 kcle 172132 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 432 pm est sun nov 17 2013 synopsis... strong low pressure tracking across the great lakes will push a strong cold front across the area this evening. high pressure from the plains states will cross the area by tuesday night and move off the east coast by wednesday night. the next cold front will move in on thursday and there will likely be a wave of low pressure develop on the front. && near term /until 6 am monday morning/... updated to added tornado watch to the ohio portion of the forecast area. more then likely a watch will be needed for nw pa it is possible that it could be a severe thunderstorm watch. no changes to the wording. dangerous situation with 90-100 kt 500 mb west jet sliding in over top of the 65 knot low level south jet. plenty of bulk shear and 1 km shear 30-80 knots. the dry slot in the lower layers will be filling in with deeper moisture from the southwest to lower the lcl. decent cooling aloft. the cape is not very high...generally under 500 j/kg...but it is not all that much higher to the west and it is obviously enough given the terrific dynamics. the broken line of super cells to the west will move east steadily...eventually picking up speed. the thinking is that the activity will merge into a squall line with widespread damaging winds. this may be most likely by the time it reaches i-71. in the meantime...spc tells us the tornado watch will be out by 2130z and probably get the entire forecast area. it is worth emphasizing this evening that people should not wait for visual or audio confirmation of a warning/event. if a warning is issued they should take shelter immediately. timed the line through fairly quickly early tonight...exiting nw pa by 11 pm. drying out afterward but the isallobaric pressure rises are impressive. not great cold advection but enough for the wind advisory overnight. in fact...will start the wind advisory for nw ohio with the afternoon issuance...no need to wait. warm to start...lows in the lower 40s late. && short term /6 am monday morning through wednesday night/... dry southwest flow to start on monday. it will still be windy and not sure we will not need to extend the wind advisory...especially for northern ohio near the lake erie lake shore and all of northwest pa. eventually gets cold enough aloft for lake effect and winds shift onshore in the afternoon. showers should develop along the east lakeshore and come onshore in the late afternoon/early evening. probably all rain to start as the boundary layer remains rather mild...then changing to snow monday night. an inch or two or three of snow is possible in the snowbelt if the bands are persistent...most likely across inland nw pa. high pressure builds in on tuesday. any remaining lake effect activity will taper off in the morning. && long term /thursday through sunday/... the next cold front will be moving into the central lakes on thursday and should move across the region on friday. expect showers to move across the region thursday night and friday. there should be enough cold air into the region by friday night to change over to snow then persisting into saturday. the snow will mainly be in the snowbelt saturday into saturday night. thursday will be the warmest day of the extended with highs in the upper 40s to near 50. cooler by saturday with highs in the 30s. && aviation /18z sunday through thursday/... southerly winds will increase through the afternoon with gusts to 35 knots common across the west and along the lakeshore. expect to see mvfr cloud cover to spread back into the area from the southwest. this may be a bit slower to occur across the east but with some scattered showers we expect there will still be at least some patchy mvfr conditions. the main concern will be the severe thunderstorm potential along a strong cold front that will arrive in the toledo area around 22z...kcle and kmfd around 00z and kyng and keri around 02z. severe gusts will be possible with the strongest thunderstorms. winds in the wake of the front will shift to the southwest and increase. most locations will see gusts 35 to 40 knots through the overnight. outlook...non-vfr conditions will be scattered across the region in showers. a few shsn monday night...mainly across ne oh/nw pa. conditions improving to vfr from west to east tuesday. && marine... winds will shift from the south to the west southwest this evening as a cold front moves across the lake. severe thunderstorms may produce wind gusts over 50 knots with the frontal passage. the winds in the wake of the front should remain around 40 knots. since we will have gales we expect water levels to drop with it bottoming out about 40 inches below levels for safe navigation. the gales will continue into at least monday afternoon. water levels will not recover until winds begin to shift to the nw and decrease. high pressure will move across the lake on tuesday with lighter winds. as the high moves east of the region on wednesday southerly winds will return. these southerly winds will increase into thursday as another cold front moves into the central great lakes. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...wind advisory until 7 am est monday for ohz011>014-020>023- 031>033-038-089. wind advisory until 7 am est monday for ohz003-006>010-017>019- 027>030-036-037-047. pa...wind advisory until 7 am est monday for paz001>003. marine...gale warning until 4 pm est monday for lez061-142>149-162>169. low water advisory until 4 pm est monday for lez142>144- 162>164. && $$ synopsis...kosarik near term...kieltyka/kosarik short term...kosarik long term...mullen aviation...mullen marine...mullen h2. 1700 Statement as of 4:47 PM EST on November 17, 2013 The National Weather Service in northern Indiana has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Defiance County in Northwest Ohio... Fulton County in Northwest Ohio... northern Henry County in Northwest Ohio... southeastern Williams County in Northwest Ohio... * until 530 PM EST * at 442 PM EST... severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 5 miles east of Edgerton to 10 miles east of Hicksville to Paulding... and moving northeast at 70 mph. Hazard... 70 mph wind gusts. Source... radar indicated. Impact... expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to Mobile homes... roofs and outbuildings. * Severe thunderstorms will be near... Stryker around 455 PM EST. Archbold around 500 PM EST. Wauseon and Napoleon around 505 PM EST. Liberty Center around 510 PM EST. Delta around 515 PM EST. Swanton around 520 PM EST. Other locations in the warning include Jewell... Evansport... Pettisville... Elmira... Burlington... Ridgeville Corners... Okolona... Tedrow... Gerald and Oakshade. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. h2. 1704 Statement as of 4:58 PM EST on November 17, 2013 ... A Tornado Warning remains in effect for northern Allen... southeastern Paulding... Van Wert... Putnam and east Central Adams counties until 515 PM EST... At 455 PM EST... severe thunderstorms capable of producing a tornado were located along a line extending from 5 miles northwest of Continental to Kalida to Delphos... and moving east at 70 mph. Hazard... tornado and quarter size hail. Source... radar indicated rotation. Impact... Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs... windows and vehicles will occur. Flying debris will be deadly to people and animals. Tree damage is likely. These dangerous storms will be near... Ottawa and Glandorf around 505 PM EST. Leipsic and Columbus Grove around 510 PM EST. Bluffton and Pandora around 515 PM EST. Other locations in the warning include Gomer... Vaughnsville... Miller City... Cairo... Prentiss... West Leipsic... Belmore... Rockport... Beaverdam and Gilboa. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Take cover now. Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a Mobile home... a vehicle or outdoors... move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Lat... Lon 4072 8460 4072 8479 4069 8480 4068 8490 4085 8486 4103 8459 4116 8406 4116 8387 4083 8387 time... Mot... loc 2158z 250deg 62kt 4117 8428 4102 8421 4085 8431 Tornado... radar indicated hail... 1.00in Marsili h2. 1710 Severe Thunderstorm Warning Statement as of 5:01 PM EST on November 17, 2013 The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Hancock County in Northwest Ohio Lucas County in Northwest Ohio Wood County in Northwest Ohio * until 600 PM EST * at 455 PM EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. These storms were located along a line extending from 20 miles west of Whitehouse to 29 miles west of Rawson... and moving east at 60 mph. * Locations impacted include... Custar... Waterville... Sylvania... Toledo... Bowling Green... Findlay... Whitehouse... Weston... Weston... McComb... Holland... Precautionary/preparedness actions... This is a dangerous storm. Seek shelter inside now and stay away from windows. This storm has a history of producing damaging winds. Seek shelter now inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows! A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight. Tornadoes could develop with little to no advance warning. Lat... Lon 4171 8389 4174 8345 4172 8341 4170 8342 4169 8337 4172 8334 4163 8318 4175 8310 4174 8309 4162 8316 4162 8341 4099 8342 4099 8346 4091 8348 4090 8352 4082 8351 4081 8388 time... Mot... loc 2159z 262deg 53kt 4160 8409 4087 8425 Laplante h2. 1719 Statement as of 5:07 PM EST on November 17, 2013 The National Weather Service in northern Indiana has issued a * Tornado Warning for... southeastern Defiance County in Northwest Ohio... southeastern Henry County in Northwest Ohio... northwestern Putnam County in west central Ohio... * until 530 PM EST * at 503 PM EST... a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Continental... and moving northeast at 70 mph. Hazard... tornado and quarter size hail. Source... radar indicated rotation. Impact... Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs... windows and vehicles will occur. Flying debris will be deadly to people and animals. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Holgate around 515 PM EST. Deshler around 520 PM EST. McClure around 525 PM EST. Other locations in the warning include Prentiss... Gallup... Hamler... Elery... Malinta and Grelton. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Take cover now. Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a Mobile home... a vehicle or outdoors... move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Lat... Lon 4104 8423 4116 8434 4119 8433 4148 8387 4137 8386 4118 8387 time... Mot... loc 2207z 234deg 59kt 4116 8419 Tornado... radar indicated hail... 1.00in Marsili h2. 1725 The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Wood County in Northwest Ohio... * until 600 PM EST * at 517 PM EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado. This dangerous storm was located near Deshler... or 7 miles southwest of Custar... and moving northeast at 70 mph. * Locations impacted include... Custar... Bowling Green... North Baltimore... Weston... Perrysburg... Rossford... Northwood... Hoytville... Milton Center... Grand Rapids... Bairdstown... Cygnet... Bloomdale... Tontogany... Jerry City... Portage... Haskins... West Millgrove... Wayne and Risingsun. Precautionary/preparedness actions... This Tornado Warning replaces the Severe Thunderstorm Warning that was in effect for the same area. The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. If no basement is available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an interior hallway or closet. Lat... Lon 4141 8389 4144 8379 4146 8378 4146 8375 4149 8371 4153 8371 4155 8368 4157 8361 4162 8357 4162 8343 4117 8342 4116 8389 time... Mot... loc 2219z 239deg 63kt 4124 8388 Laplante h2. 1727 JustaSooner comment at TT: "Concerned aobut this area near Neapolis moving towards Whitehouse, Monclova, and Holland." posted by JustaSooner on Nov 17, 2013 at 05:24:26 pm h2. 1740 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 535 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN LUCAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OHIO... UNTIL 600 PM EST AT 534 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PERRYSBURG...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF WATERVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR... TOLEDO AROUND 540 PM EST. OREGON AROUND 550 PM EST. ! posted by JustaSooner on Nov 17, 2013 at 05:36:38 pm h2. 1745 lowercase version Statement as of 5:35 PM EST on November 17, 2013 The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a * Tornado Warning for... eastern Lucas County in Northwest Ohio... * until 600 PM EST * at 534 PM EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado. This dangerous storm was located near Perrysburg... or 5 miles northeast of Waterville... and moving northeast at 60 mph. * This tornadic storm will be near... Toledo around 540 PM EST. Oregon around 550 PM EST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic storm include Harbor View. Precautionary/preparedness actions... The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. If no basement is available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an interior hallway or closet. Lat... Lon 4172 8376 4174 8345 4172 8341 4170 8342 4169 8337 4172 8334 4163 8318 4174 8311 4175 8310 4174 8309 4163 8316 4162 8357 4157 8363 time... Mot... loc 2235z 238deg 54kt 4156 8364 h2. 1805 +*Lucas County*+ {{feed=http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwaatmget.php?x=OHC095&y=0 desc}} +*Fulton County*+ {{feed=http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwaatmget.php?x=OHC051&y=0 desc}} +*Monroe County*+ {{feed=http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwaatmget.php?x=MIC115&y=0 desc}} h2. 1606 This XML feed from the NWS broke down this afternoon. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.61000&lon=-83.8&unit=0&lg=english&FcstType=dwml It redirects to a Web page and the message at the top states: q. The "Forecast At A Glance" icons, hourly weather graph feature, Spanish version, and temperatures in Celsius are temporarily not available for this location for technical reasons. We apologize for any inconvenience. q.. forecast.io also could not display watches and warnings, probably because of the broken XML. http://toledotalk.com/cgi-bin/tt.pl/article/138464/Toledo_area_weather_alerts h2. 1811 Maybe I should access the Atom feeds listed above in the feed commands at TT. Lucas County Atom feed: http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwaatmget.php?x=OHC095&y=0 Lucas County Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for Lucas (OHC095) Ohio Issued by the National Weather Service - 2013-11-17T18:00:00-05:00 Severe Weather Statement issued November 17 at 6:00PM EST until November 17 at 6:00PM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T18:00:00-05:00 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LUCAS COUNTY EXPIRES AT 600 PM... THE STORM HAS MOVED NORTHEAST OUT OF THE COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN OHIO. Tornado Watch issued November 17 at 4:25PM EST until November 18 at 12:00AM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T16:25:00-05:00 TORNADO WATCH 566 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EST FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ASHLAND ASHTABULA ATHENS BELMONT BROWN Wind Advisory issued November 17 at 3:25PM EST until November 18 at 7:00AM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T15:25:00-05:00 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * WINDS...WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. HIGHER WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL OCCUR IN THUNDERSTORMS IN WHICH CASE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED. TORNADO WARNINGS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR STORMS WITH ROTATION. * TIMING...THE STRONGER WINDS WILL ARRIVE WITH AND BEHIND THE COLD Fulton County Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for Fulton (OHC051) Ohio Issued by the National Weather Service - 2013-11-17T12:04:00-05:00 High Wind Warning issued November 17 at 12:04PM EST until November 18 at 1:00AM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T12:04:00-05:00 ...DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... .SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 45 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FROM IOWA TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. AS THE TRAILING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA BY THIS EVENING... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH FOR A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD. EVEN HIGHER WIND Monroe County Current Watches, Warnings and Advisories for Monroe (MIC115) Michigan Issued by the National Weather Service - 2013-11-17T17:58:00-05:00 Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued November 17 at 5:58PM EST until November 17 at 6:30PM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T17:58:00-05:00 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 630 PM EST * AT 555 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CARLETON TO MONROE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. Tornado Watch issued November 17 at 11:20AM EST until November 17 at 8:00PM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T11:20:00-05:00 TORNADO WATCH 562 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGAN BARRY BAY BERRIEN BRANCH CALHOUN High Wind Warning issued November 17 at 10:29AM EST until November 18 at 5:00AM EST by NWS - 2013-11-17T10:29:00-05:00 ...SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH THIS EVENING... .THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS EVENING WILL BE MARKED BY INTENSE WINDS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT. THE ONSET OF COLDER POST FRONTAL AIR AND THE INTENSITY OF THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL ALLOW FOR WIND h2. 1818 md 2024 concerning tornado watch 566... for oh...far nrn ky mesoscale discussion 2024 nws storm prediction center norman ok 0506 pm cst sun nov 17 2013 areas affected...oh...far nrn ky concerning...tornado watch 566... valid 172306z - 180000z the severe weather threat for tornado watch 566 continues. summary...dmgg wind and tornado risk will persist across oh and far nrn ky. with time...dmgg wind gusts /some significant/ should become the dominant threat. discussion...qlcs continues to progress across sern ind into nwrn oh...with synoptic cold front overtaking srn portions of this line. embedded circulations continue to be noted...and significant low-level shear present /e.g. 45 kt in 0-1 km layer per iln vwp data/ will support svr wind gust and isolated tornadic potential. pre-frontal showers/tstms into cntrl oh have largely remained unorganized...but an accompanying tornado risk may exist with any sustained rotating storms that can evolve. into the late evening...the cold front will continue to overtake the entire length of the qlcs. despite the loss of diurnal heating and a slightly less moist boundary layer with ewd progression...the magnitude of large-scale forcing combined with very strong low-level flow/shear will continue to support a dmgg wind gust threat /potentially significant/ across all of oh...including the columbus and cleveland metro areas. ..rogers.. 11/17/2013 ...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... attn...wfo...pbz...rlx...cle...iln...iwx... lat...lon 41688058 40128075 39498145 38688243 38568386 38888455 40098455 41648381 41568227 41688058 h2. 1926 nwus51 kcle 172342 lsrcle preliminary local storm report national weather service cleveland oh 642 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0550 pm tstm wnd gst oregon 41.67n 83.42w 11/17/2013 e65 mph lucas oh amateur radio PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 616 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0604 PM TSTM WND GST FINDLAY 41.04N 83.64W 11/17/2013 M62 MPH HANCOCK OH ASOS preliminary local storm report national weather service cleveland oh 610 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0530 pm tstm wnd dmg sylvania 41.71n 83.71w 11/17/2013 lucas oh trained spotter 24 inch diameter trees uprooted. 0536 pm tstm wnd dmg 2 ese perrysburg 41.54n 83.59w 11/17/2013 wood oh amateur radio many trees down. damage to trailers in friendly village trailer court. preliminary local storm report national weather service cleveland oh 551 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0532 pm tstm wnd gst bowling green 41.38n 83.65w 11/17/2013 m85.00 mph wood oh amateur radio 0535 pm tstm wnd dmg perrysburg 41.55n 83.62w 11/17/2013 wood oh amateur radio 795 oregon rd...roof off a house and loss of power. preliminary local storm report national weather service cleveland oh 542 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0525 pm tstm wnd dmg 6 sw sylvania 41.65n 83.79w 11/17/2013 lucas oh amateur radio wall and roof blown down. preliminary local storm report national weather service cleveland oh 538 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0525 pm tstm wnd gst haskins 41.46n 83.70w 11/17/2013 m64 mph wood oh trained spotter preliminary local storm report national weather service northern indiana 709 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0459 pm tstm wnd dmg 2 ne mandale 41.04n 84.34w 11/17/2013 putnam oh emergency mngr trailer destroyed on township highway 48 east of sr 66. preliminary local storm report national weather service northern indiana 632 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0500 pm tstm wnd gst 5 nw defiance 41.34n 84.43w 11/17/2013 m60 mph defiance oh asos preliminary local storm report national weather service northern indiana 624 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0622 pm tstm wnd dmg 3 e texas 41.42n 83.89w 11/17/2013 henry oh emergency mngr semi overturned on us24 at henry lucas county line. several reports of powerlines and trees down throughout henry county. preliminary local storm report national weather service northern indiana 554 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0459 pm tstm wnd dmg cloverdale 41.02n 84.30w 11/17/2013 putnam oh public several trees snapped. power lines down. multiple buildings heavily damaged. possible tornado. preliminary local storm report national weather service northern indiana 502 pm est sun nov 17 2013 ..time... ...event... ...city location... ...lat.lon... ..date... ....mag.... ..county location..st.. ...source.... ..remarks.. 0442 pm tstm wnd gst van wert 40.87n 84.58w 11/17/2013 m62 mph van wert oh mesonet van wert middle school. h2. Nov 18 This was the Day 4 convective outlook forecast issued by the SPC on Thursday morning, November 14, 2013 for Sunday, November 17, 2013. Over 72 hours in advance, the SPC had high confidence of a severe weather outbreak. Three-plus days of notice. !http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7424/10929744895_3c579c7c2c_z.jpg! ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 141000 SPC AC 141000 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0400 AM CST THU NOV 14 2013 VALID 171200Z - 221200Z ...DISCUSSION... SOME UNCERTAINTY LINGERS...BUT TRENDS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE ARE INCREASINGLY SUGGESTIVE OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY. MOST GUIDANCE NOW APPEARS GENERALLY FASTER WITH THE CONTINUED EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH...FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY SUNDAY TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OHIO VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS REGION BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. MOST MODELS ARE NOW SUGGESTIVE THAT THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS...WITH MOST RAPID SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. A 90+ KT 500 MB JET STREAK NOSING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY WARM SECTOR 850 MB FLOW...PERHAPS IN EXCESS OF 70 KTS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS AND SHEAR. IT ALSO APPEARS INCREASINGLY PROBABLE THAT THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH AN INFLUX OF SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AT LEAST AS FAR NORTH AND EAST AS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...CONTRIBUTING TO SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR VIGOROUS STORM DEVELOPMENT. SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IN EARLY STAGES OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS MID DAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI INTO LOWER OHIO VALLEY VALLEY. EVENTUALLY...THOUGH...ACTIVITY PROBABLY WILL EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE WITH DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS BECOMING THE MOST PROMINENT SEVERE THREAT. IT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THIS COULD PROGRESS INTO PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD AND NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT THIS IS STILL TOO UNCERTAIN TO DELINEATE A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA EAST OF THAT CURRENTLY DEPICTED. THEREAFTER...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD APPEARS LOW. ..KERR.. 11/14/2013 br. On Wed, Sep 13, 2013, the SPC issued this Day 5 forecast for Sun, Nov 17. !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3823/10930181673_42ed6738a6_z.jpg! On the Tue, Sep 12, 2013 forecast, nothing was listed for Day 6 (Nov 17). br. Day 3 convective outlook, issued on Fri, Nov 15, 2013 for Sun, Nov 17 !http://farm6.staticflickr.com/5521/10930014056_f036c39a36.jpg! !http://farm3.staticflickr.com/2889/10930024835_34e9563ae4_z.jpg! SPC AC 150830 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 AM CST FRI NOV 15 2013 VALID 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE TN AND OH VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH ATTENDANT STRONG UPPER JET EMBEDDED WITHIN BASE OF THE SYNOPTIC TROUGH WILL EJECT NEGATIVELY TILTED THROUGH THE MID MS AND OH VALLEYS SUNDAY...REACHING A PORTION OF THE NERN U.S. TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS FEATURE WILL INDUCE A SFC CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO SIGNIFICANT DEEPENING AS IT MOVES NEWD FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE MID MS...OH AND TN VALLEYS...WHILE A WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. ...OH AND TN VALLEY REGIONS... A STRONG 50+ KT SWLY LLJ WILL ADVECT PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION WITH MID 60S LIKELY FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AREA. THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD CLOUDS THAT WILL LIMIT DIABATIC HEATING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER IN MUCH OF PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. MOREOVER...AREAS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY BE ONGOING OVER A PORTION OF THE OH VALLEY WARM SECTOR. THUS THE PRIMARY DESTABILIZATION MECHANISM WILL PROBABLY BE MOISTURE ADVECTION...BUT SFC BASED INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN SOMEWHAT MARGINAL /MLCAPE AOB 500 J/KG/...ESPECIALLY WITH NWD AND EWD EXTENT INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. NEVERTHELESS...THE DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT SWEEPING EWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY. STORMS MAY INCREASE DURING THE DAY ALONG PRE-FRONTAL WARM CONVEYOR BELT BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER JET EXIT REGION. OTHER STORMS WILL INITIATE ALONG STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR PRE-FRONTAL STORMS TO DEVELOP SUPERCELL STRUCTURES GIVEN STRENGTH OF VERTICAL SHEAR AND SIZE OF HODOGRAPHS ALONG LLJ...BUT EXTENT OF ANY TORNADO THREAT WILL DEPEND ON DEGREE OF BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION. OTHERWISE...STORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO LINES ALONG THE COLD FRONT WITH A THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND AS THE ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD THROUGH THE OH AND TN VALLEY REGIONS. ...NY AND PA... STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY OUTPACE THE MOIST AXIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND ENCOUNTER MUCH WEAKER INSTABILITY AS THEY APPROACH THE NERN STATES. HOWEVER...AT LEAST A MODEST THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WITH REMAINING LOW TOPPED CONVECTION CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE THIS PERIOD. ..DIAL.. 11/15/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z br. Day 2 forecasts issued on Sat, Nov 16 for Sun, Nov 17: * http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2013/day2otlk_20131116_0700.html * http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2013/day2otlk_20131116_1730.html h2. Nov 17 Storm Reports Data and image here: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/131117_rpts.html Live image at the SPC that is still being updated on Mon, Nov 18, 2013. !http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/131117_rpts.gif! br. Snapshot image as of 1:09 p.m. EST: !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3767/10929882754_df7afac4cd_z.jpg! br. Thus far, only one confirmed report of a tornado in Ohio. Southwest quadrant of the state. city: CARROLL county: FAIRFIELD report: VISUAL OF TORNADO ON THE GROUND BY AMATEUR RADIO SPOTTER h2. Tornado Report Statement as of 3:10 PM EST on November 18, 2013 ... EF-2 tornado confirmed in wood and Lucas counties... Location... Lime City Road & US Route 20 in Perrysburg Ohio (wood county) to Corduroy Road & Wynn Road in Oregon Ohio (lucas county) date... November 17, 2013 estimated time... 535 PM EST to 555 PM EST maximum ef-scale rating... EF-2 estimated maximum wind speed... 120 mph to 125 mph maximum path width... 150 to 200 feet wide path length... approximately 12 miles beginning lat/Lon... 41.539n / 83.568w ending lat/Lon... 41.659n / 83.421w The tornado formed near Lime City Road and US Route 20 in Perrysburg. The tornado reached EF-2 strength near Oregon Road and Route 795 near Perrysburg. It then continued moving northeast at mostly EF-1 or EF-0 strength and then reaching EF-2 strength again in the city of Oregon where several homes were destroyed. EF-0 wind speed 65 mph to 85 mph EF-1 wind speed 86 mph to 110 mph EF-2 wind speed 111 mph to 135 mph EF-3 wind speed 136 mph to 165 mph EF-4 wind speed 166 mph to 200 mph EF-5 wind speed greater than 200 mph *the information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in the NWS storm data. End/comeaux h2. Wood County Storm Reports 11/17/2013 0525 PM Haskins, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind gust m64.00 mph, reported by trained spotter. 11/17/2013 0600 PM Wayne, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. 2 basketball hoops bent in half, cinder blocks in pool, fence damaged, Camper moved several feet, shed blown to next street. 11/17/2013 0532 PM Bowling Green, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind gust m85.00 mph, reported by amateur radio. 11/17/2013 0535 PM Perrysburg, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. Roof off a house and loss of power on Oregon Rd. 11/17/2013 0536 PM 2 miles ESE of Perrysburg, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. Many trees down. Damage to trailers in friendly Village trailer court. 11/17/2013 0600 PM Wayne, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. 2 basketball hoops bent in half, cinder blocks in pool, fence damaged, Camper moved several feet, shed blown to next street. 11/17/2013 0600 PM Wayne, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. 2 basketball hoops bent in half, cinder blocks in pool, fence damaged, Camper moved several feet, shed blown to next street. 11/17/2013 0536 PM 2 miles ESE of Perrysburg, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. Many trees down. Damage to trailers in friendly Village trailer court. 11/17/2013 0532 PM Bowling Green, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind gust m85.00 mph, reported by amateur radio. 11/17/2013 0535 PM Perrysburg, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. 795 Oregon Rd... roof off a house and loss of power. 11/17/2013 0525 PM Haskins, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind gust m64 mph, reported by trained spotter. 11/17/2013 0536 PM 2 miles ESE of Perrysburg, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. Many trees down. Damage to trailers in friendly Village trailer court. 11/17/2013 0532 PM Bowling Green, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind gust m85.00 mph, reported by amateur radio. 11/17/2013 0535 PM Perrysburg, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. 795 Oregon Rd... roof off a house and loss of power. 11/17/2013 0525 PM Haskins, Wood County. Thunderstorm wind gust m64 mph, reported by trained spotter. h2. Lucas County Storm Reports 11/17/2013 0525 PM 6 miles SW of Sylvania, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. Wall and roof blown down. 11/17/2013 0530 PM Sylvania, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. 24 inch diameter trees uprooted. 11/17/2013 0550 PM 1 miles E of Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media. One roof blown off a home with damage to several garages on lallendorf Rd. 11/17/2013 0550 PM Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind gust e65.00 mph, reported by amateur radio. 11/17/2013 0555 PM Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. Drive-in movie screen blown down. 11/17/2013 0555 PM Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. Drive-in movie screen blown down. 11/17/2013 0555 PM Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. Drive-in movie screen blown down. 11/17/2013 0550 PM Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by amateur radio. 11/17/2013 0530 PM Sylvania, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. 24 inch diameter trees uprooted. 11/17/2013 0550 PM Oregon, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by amateur radio. 11/17/2013 0530 PM Sylvania, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter. 24 inch diameter trees uprooted. 11/17/2013 0525 PM 6 miles SW of Sylvania, Lucas County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio. Wall and roof blown down. h2. Nov 19 Update JustaSooner's update, posted at ToledoTalk.com on Nov 19, 2013 http://toledotalk.com/cgi-bin/tt.pl/article/165108/19Nov2013/Severe_Weather_-_Nov_17_2013 Here are all the latest updates on the 3 confirmed tornadoes in the Metro area. Bold part was changed/corrected. *...EF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN WOOD COUNTY...* LOCATION...THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE EAST SIDE OF JERRY CITY NEAR MAIN STREET AND HUFFMAN ROAD AND LIFTED ABOUT 1 MILE EAST ALONG JERRY CITY ROAD. DATE...NOVEMBER 17, 2013 ESTIMATED TIME...535 PM EST TO 540 PM EST MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF-1 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...105 MPH TO 110 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...75 TO 100 YARDS WIDE PATH LENGTH...APPROXIMATELY 1 MILES BEGINNING LAT/LON...41.253N / 83.593W ENDING LAT/LON...41.254N / 83.587W Damage Photos: http://www.weather.gov/cle/event_20131117_photos#wood !http://www.weather.gov/images/cle/Wx_Events/2013/Nov17/Tornado1117_2.png! *...EF-2 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN WOOD AND LUCAS COUNTIES...* LOCATION...LIME CITY ROAD & US ROUTE 20 IN PERRYSBURG OHIO (WOOD COUNTY) TO CORDUROY ROAD & WYNN ROAD IN OREGON OHIO (LUCAS COUNTY) DATE...NOVEMBER 17, 2013 ESTIMATED TIME...535 PM EST TO 555 PM EST MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF-2 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...120 MPH TO 125 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...150 TO *200 YARDS WIDE* PATH LENGTH...APPROXIMATELY 12 MILES BEGINNING LAT/LON...41.539N / 83.568W ENDING LAT/LON...41.659N / 83.421W THE TORNADO FORMED NEAR LIME CITY ROAD AND US ROUTE 20 IN PERRYSBURG. THE TORNADO REACHED EF-2 STRENGTH NEAR OREGON ROAD AND ROUTE 795 NEAR PERRYSBURG. IT THEN CONTINUED MOVING NORTHEAST AT MOSTLY EF-1 OR EF-0 STRENGTH AND THEN REACHING EF-2 STRENGTH AGAIN IN THE CITY OF OREGON WHERE SEVERAL HOMES WERE DESTROYED. Damage Photos: http://www.weather.gov/cle/event_20131117_photos#lucaswood !http://www.weather.gov/images/cle/Wx_Events/2013/Nov17/Tornado1117.png! *...EF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED IN OTTAWA COUNTY...* LOCATION...3 MILES EAST OF ELMORE IN OTTAWA COUNTY DATE...NOVEMBER 17, 2013 ESTIMATED TIME...600 PM EST MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF-1 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...95 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...50 TO 75 YARDS WIDE PATH LENGTH...APPROXIMATELY THREE QUARTERS OF A MILE BEGINNING LAT/LON...41.465N / 83.223W ENDING LAT/LON...41.470N / 83.210W Damage Photos: http://www.weather.gov/cle/event_20131117_photos#ottawa ...TORNADO #13 /PAULDING AND PUTNAM COUNTY OH/... RATING: EF-2 PATH LENGTH: 8 MILES MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WIND SPEED: 130 MPH MAXIMUM ESTIMATED PATH WIDTH: 440 YARDS START TIME: ESTIMATED AROUND 451 PM EST END TIME: ESTIMATED AROUND 459 PM EST LOCATION: TOUCHDOWN OCCURRED ABOUT 0.25 MILES SOUTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF ROUTE 66 AND COUNTY LINE ROAD IN SOUTHEAST PAULDING COUNTY AND LIFTED ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLOVERDALE IN WEST CENTRAL PUTNAM COUNTY. ...TORNADO #12 /VAN WERT COUNTY OH/... RATING: EF-1 MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WIND SPEED: 100 MPH MAXIMUM ESTIMATED PATH WIDTH: 150 YARDS PATH LENGTH: APPROX. 2 MILES START TIME: ESTIMATED AROUND 447 PM EST END TIME: ESTIMATED AROUND 449 PM EST LOCATION: TOUCHDOWN OCCURRED ABOUT 0.3 MILES SOUTH OF ELM SUGAR ROAD AND DONER ROAD INTERSECTION AND LIFTED JUST SOUTH OF THE PAULDING COUNTY/VAN WERT COUNTY LINE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF CONVERSE ROSELM AND KIDNER ROADS. Reports and photos from the NWS. !http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/iwx/Events/Nov17_2013/tornado_tracks_map.png! h2. 5 Northwest Ohio Tornadoes http://www.toledoblade.com/local/2013/11/19/5-tornadoes-confirmed-to-strike-area-in-storm.html q. Five tornadoes plowed through six counties in northwest Ohio on Sunday, sparing lives but leveling a church, homes, and businesses, and brushing near part of Lake Township ravaged by a much stronger twister in 2010. The National Weather Service’s confirmation on Monday of the tornadoes — which in some cases brought winds in excess of 100 mph — didn’t surprise Sandy Moore, who said she was locking her front door when she heard what sounded like a train ramming into her Lake Township garage. She ended up on the ground in her living room. “All hell broke loose,” Mrs. Moore said. “It sounded like the garage exploded, it flipped me back like a vacuum, and you could hear the house cracking and ripping apart.” The NWS confirmed that a tornado with peak winds up to 125 mph struck parts of Perrysburg and Lake townships, Northwood, and Oregon starting at 5:35 p.m. during the strong thunderstorm Sunday evening. Other tornadoes were reported in Wood County’s Jerry City, outside of Elmore in Ottawa County, near the Paulding County and Van Wert County line, and a fifth that touched down in southeast Paulding County and traveled to Cloverdale in west central Putnam County. The preliminary report from the weather service office in Cleveland said the twister in suburban Toledo formed near Lime City Road and U.S. 20 in Perrysburg Township and reached a strength of EF-2 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale near Oregon Road and State Rt. 795, where a convenience store was damaged. The tornado continued northeast at weaker strengths before regaining EF-2 strength in Oregon, where several houses were destroyed. Overall, the tornado traveled 12 miles in a period of about 20 minutes before dissipating near Corduroy and Wynn roads in Oregon. An EF-2 tornado with winds of up to 130 mph traveled about eight miles, touching down about a fourth of a mile south of the intersection of Route 66 and County Line Road in southeast Paulding County and lifting about five miles northeast of Cloverdale in west central Putnam County. Just a few minutes before, an EF-1 tornado was confirmed touching down just south of Elm Sugar and Doner roads in Van Wert County and lifting just south of the Paulding County/​Van Wert County lines near the intersection of Converse Roselm and Kidner roads. That storm reportedly produced winds of up to 100 mph and traveled about two miles. The weather service also confirmed that an EF-1 tornado touched down at 5:35 p.m. and traveled east and northeast for about a mile along Jerry City Road in southern Wood County, damaging several houses. The tornado’s path began near Huffman and Jerry City roads, just east of the village of Jerry City, and ended on Cloverdale Road north of Jerry City Road, with peak winds estimated between 105 and 110 mph. Another tornado, an EF-1, touched down near Yeasting Road and State Rt. 590 about three miles east of Elmore in Ottawa County at 6 p.m. It was on the ground for less than a mile. Marty Thompson, a meteorologist at the Cleveland office, said the tornadoes occurred along a fast-moving line of thunderstorms that crossed northwest Ohio ahead of a strong cold front during the late afternoon and evening Sunday. “There was a lot of wind momentum close to the ground” that made the line ripe for tornado formation, Mr. Thompson said. Mr. Thompson said that while the Perrysburg-Oregon tornado’s path was close to the Sundance Kid Drive-In on Navarre Avenue, where one of two outdoor movie screens was destroyed during the storm, the twister was not believed to have hit the drive-in. Damage there is likely to have been caused by straight-line wind, he said. q..