Jan 5-6, 2014 possible storm h2. Fri, Jan 3, 2014 Morning forecast discussions: * Cleveland: depending upon the exact track and timing of the low most if not all the area could see a widespread 2-4 or 3-5 inches. * Detroit/Pontiac: the latest model runs suggest that a solid 5 to 8 inches of snow will be possible over a good part of the cwa [county warning area] * Northern Indiana: the garcia method with mixing ratios of 3 to over 4 g/kg supports snowfall of 4 to 8 inches in a 12 hour window. hr. bq. _"Winter Storm Watch hoisted for the counties in the NWS Northern Indiana area."_ That includes the counties of Fulton and Henry. Also, the Detroit/Pontiac NWS issued a Winter Storm Watch that includes Monroe and Lenawee counties. q. Winter Storm Watch in effect from late Saturday night through late Sunday night. q.. br. From the N. IN office: q. light snow is expected to begin late Saturday evening. The snow may become heavy at times Sunday into Sunday evening. Accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are possible through Sunday night. Gusty northwest winds will cause blowing and drifting snow Sunday into Sunday night. q.. br. From the Detroit/Pontiac office: q. accumulating snow will begin late Saturday and will peak in intensity on Sunday afternoon. Snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are forecast by Sunday night with the highest amounts along and south of a Howell to Sandusky line. Temperatures will hold in the mid 20s. q.. br. Northern Indiana National Weather Service office: * http://www.crh.noaa.gov/iwx * Jan 3, 2014 - YouTube video - "Major Winter Storm Briefing":http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gcvDVUitZfg&list=PLddrIMwRTCioGtUwKsu95SVzgaTzNFZHe&index=1 !http://farm3.staticflickr.com/2888/11736000785_34a0f6658e_o.png! youtube=gcvDVUitZfg hr. 6-12 is playing margin of error for the model spread right now. So that is a safe one to go with. All the forecast models are in the top of this thread and the totals shown in them are NEW snowfall, not what is on the ground. Quick recap of the totals... GEM: 6-8" 12Z GFS: 12-15" 12Z NAM: 6-8" 12Z Euro: 8-10" ! posted by JustaSooner on Jan 03, 2014 at 03:12:00 pm # + hr. urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 406 pm est fri jan 3 2014 ...snow and dangerously low wind chills are on the way... .low pressure will move through the ohio valley on sunday. snow will develop across northwest ohio ahead of the low towards morning sunday with snow continuing through the day and into the evening before ending. north central and northeast ohio as well as northwest pennsylvania will see snow from mainly sunday afternoon on although a little rain could mix in as well. a strong cold front will follow the low bringing in very cold air to the region through mid week. ohz003-006>010-017>019-027-028-036-040515- /o.new.kcle.ws.a.0001.140105t0900z-140106t0600z/ /o.new.kcle.wc.a.0001.140106t0600z-140107t2000z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-hancock-seneca-huron- wyandot-crawford-marion- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...marion 406 pm est fri jan 3 2014 ...winter storm watch in effect from late saturday night through late sunday night... ...wind chill watch in effect from late sunday night through tuesday afternoon... the national weather service in cleveland has issued a winter storm watch...which is in effect from late saturday night through late sunday night. a wind chill watch has also been issued. this wind chill watch is in effect from late sunday night through tuesday afternoon. * accumulations...4 to 8 inches of snow. * timing...mainly sunday and sunday evening. dangerous wind chills will move in sunday night and continue through tuesday * winds...generally light sunday. sunday night through tuesday from the west to southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30 mph. * impacts...snow covered roads and travel delays sunday and sunday evening. * temperatures...highs near or below monday and tuesday with morning lows in the teens below zero. * wind chill readings...as low as 35 to 40 degrees below zero at times especially tuesday morning and wednesday morning. precautionary/preparedness actions... a winter storm watch means that heavy snow is possible. if you are within the watch area...remain alert to rapidly changing weather conditions. stay tuned to the national weather service or the local news media for the latest updates and possible warnings. a wind chill watch is issued when strong winds will combine with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 15 degrees below zero or colder for a period of several hours. if you will be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly...making sure that all exposed skin is covered. if possible...avoid prolonged exposure to the cold to prevent frostbite and hypothermia. stay tuned to weather radio for further details or updates. hr. For the next storm ... "Detroit/Pontiac NWS site":http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx : * "Jan 4-6th, 2014 Winter Storm":http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=dtx&storyid=99359&source=0 ** "Event Slide Briefing":http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/dtx/web/DTX_Briefing_20140103_2pm.pdf - pdf file ** Around 10 inches of snow predicted for Monroe County. A couple slides from the briefing: !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3800/11741651843_86054bd75d_z.jpg! br. !http://farm3.staticflickr.com/2870/11742238376_164df9e32b_z.jpg! h2. Jan 4 Cleveland NWS this morning: q. 6 to 8 inch storm totals for northwest ohio seems reasonable at this point. q.. A bit more snow is expected in southeast Michigan. Toledo's forecast low for Tuesday morning is -15. #weather