Toledo weather - Mon, Jan 27, 2014 urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 424 am est mon jan 27 2014 ...more arctic air will be overspreading the region during the next few days... .winds will gust between 35 and 45 mph for a few hours early this morning. widespread blowing and drifting snow will occur as the winds gust and near blizzard conditions are likely for a time in open and rural areas. the winds will decrease by mid morning but they still will cause some blowing and drifting. additional snowfall will be minimal...an inch or two for northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania...with little or no accumulation for northwest ohio. temperatures will fall all day and by mid day or early afternoon wind chill readings of -10 to -15 degrees will be occurring. wind chill readings will be even colder for monday night and tuesday night. keep current with any forecast changes that may occur. ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-271800- /o.can.kcle.wc.a.0002.140128t1700z-140129t1700z/ /o.ext.kcle.wc.w.0002.140127t2300z-140129t1700z/ /o.con.kcle.ww.y.0006.000000t0000z-140127t1500z/ /o.con.kcle.wc.y.0008.140127t1500z-140127t2300z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion... mount gilead...mount vernon 424 am est mon jan 27 2014 ...winter weather advisory remains in effect until 10 am est this morning... ...wind chill advisory remains in effect from 10 am this morning to 6 pm est this evening... ...wind chill warning now in effect from 6 pm this evening to noon est wednesday... ...wind chill watch is cancelled... the national weather service in cleveland has cancelled the wind chill watch. * winds...west winds of 15 to 25 mph today. the most common gusts will be between 30 and 40 mph this morning with a few isolated higher gusts. by mid morning these gusts will be subsiding. wind will remain out of the west tonight at 15 to 20 mph and then shift southwest for tuesday to between 10 and 20 mph. * visibilities...will be a quarter mile or less at times in snow and blowing snow early this morning...when the winds are at their strongest. near blizzard conditions will be likely. visibility will improve greatly by mid morning. * accumulations...little or no additional snow accumulation. blowing and drifting snow will be significant...especially this morning. * temperatures...will continue to fall today...ending up around zero by evening. lows monday night and tuesday night will be 10 below to 15 degrees below zero. * wind chill readings...wind chills readings of 10 to 15 degrees below zero can be expected by midday or early afternoon. by evening those values will range from 15 to 25 degree below zero. from monday night through wednesday morning wind chills will likely be between 20 and 30 below zero with the current forecast temperatures and winds. * timing...impacts from gusty winds...blowing and drifting snow...and areas of falling snow will be at their worst through mid morning. by mid day wind chill readings will be less than -10 degrees and will continue to fall. cold temperatures and dangerously cold wind chills will continue from monday night through tuesday night. * impacts...widespread blowing and drifting snow and near blizzard conditions early this morning. some blowing and drifting snow will persist into monday and monday night. motorists will have to use caution as road conditions can be quite variable. exposed skin will be susceptible to frostbite. precautionary/preparedness actions... if you will be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly...in layers...making sure that all exposed skin is covered. avoid prolonged exposure to the cold...if possible to prevent frostbite and hypothermia. a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of winter weather conditions such as light snow... blowing snow... sleet... freezing rain and wind chills. while the weather will be significant... the word advisory implies that severe winter weather is not anticipated. a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees below zero or colder for several hours. a wind chill advisory is issued when it is expected to feel like -10 to -24 degrees. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further details or updates. && $$ hazardous weather outlook hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 518 am est mon jan 27 2014 ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-281100- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- 518 am est mon jan 27 2014 ...winter weather advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning... ...wind chill advisory in effect from 10 am this morning to 6 pm est this evening... ...wind chill warning in effect from 6 pm this evening to noon est wednesday... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. winter weather advisory. wind chill advisory. wind chill warning. .days two through seven...tuesday through sunday. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. wind chill warning. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ winter weather advisory urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 424 am est mon jan 27 2014 ...more arctic air will be overspreading the region during the next few days... .winds will gust between 35 and 45 mph for a few hours early this morning. widespread blowing and drifting snow will occur as the winds gust and near blizzard conditions are likely for a time in open and rural areas. the winds will decrease by mid morning but they still will cause some blowing and drifting. additional snowfall will be minimal...an inch or two for northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania...with little or no accumulation for northwest ohio. temperatures will fall all day and by mid day or early afternoon wind chill readings of -10 to -15 degrees will be occurring. wind chill readings will be even colder for monday night and tuesday night. keep current with any forecast changes that may occur. ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-271800- /o.can.kcle.wc.a.0002.140128t1700z-140129t1700z/ /o.ext.kcle.wc.w.0002.140127t2300z-140129t1700z/ /o.con.kcle.ww.y.0006.000000t0000z-140127t1500z/ /o.con.kcle.wc.y.0008.140127t1500z-140127t2300z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion... mount gilead...mount vernon 424 am est mon jan 27 2014 ...winter weather advisory remains in effect until 10 am est this morning... ...wind chill advisory remains in effect from 10 am this morning to 6 pm est this evening... ...wind chill warning now in effect from 6 pm this evening to noon est wednesday... ...wind chill watch is cancelled... the national weather service in cleveland has cancelled the wind chill watch. * winds...west winds of 15 to 25 mph today. the most common gusts will be between 30 and 40 mph this morning with a few isolated higher gusts. by mid morning these gusts will be subsiding. wind will remain out of the west tonight at 15 to 20 mph and then shift southwest for tuesday to between 10 and 20 mph. * visibilities...will be a quarter mile or less at times in snow and blowing snow early this morning...when the winds are at their strongest. near blizzard conditions will be likely. visibility will improve greatly by mid morning. * accumulations...little or no additional snow accumulation. blowing and drifting snow will be significant...especially this morning. * temperatures...will continue to fall today...ending up around zero by evening. lows monday night and tuesday night will be 10 below to 15 degrees below zero. * wind chill readings...wind chills readings of 10 to 15 degrees below zero can be expected by midday or early afternoon. by evening those values will range from 15 to 25 degree below zero. from monday night through wednesday morning wind chills will likely be between 20 and 30 below zero with the current forecast temperatures and winds. * timing...impacts from gusty winds...blowing and drifting snow...and areas of falling snow will be at their worst through mid morning. by mid day wind chill readings will be less than -10 degrees and will continue to fall. cold temperatures and dangerously cold wind chills will continue from monday night through tuesday night. * impacts...widespread blowing and drifting snow and near blizzard conditions early this morning. some blowing and drifting snow will persist into monday and monday night. motorists will have to use caution as road conditions can be quite variable. exposed skin will be susceptible to frostbite. precautionary/preparedness actions... if you will be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly...in layers...making sure that all exposed skin is covered. avoid prolonged exposure to the cold...if possible to prevent frostbite and hypothermia. a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of winter weather conditions such as light snow... blowing snow... sleet... freezing rain and wind chills. while the weather will be significant... the word advisory implies that severe winter weather is not anticipated. a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees below zero or colder for several hours. a wind chill advisory is issued when it is expected to feel like -10 to -24 degrees. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further details or updates. hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Jan 27, 2014 7:03 am Today: Areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow before noon, then areas of blowing snow and a slight chance of snow between noon and 3pm. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 7. Wind chill values as low as -15. West wind 14 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around -12. Wind chill values as low as -30. West wind 11 to 18 mph. Tuesday: Sunny and cold, with a high near -1. Wind chill values as low as -33. Southwest wind 14 to 17 mph. Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -30. Southwest wind 14 to 16 mph. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 12. Southwest wind 11 to 13 mph. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 9. Thursday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 22. Friday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. hr. fxus61 kcle 271204 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 704 am est mon jan 27 2014 synopsis... bitterly cold high pressure will be building into the ohio valley today through wednesday. this high will shift east on thursday and allow a cold front to near the area thursday night or friday. the coldest temperatures will be from today through wednesday...with some moderation by the end of the week. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... early morning update...improvement occurring. snow pulling out and what is left is much lighter. winds starting to subside out west...gusts have become more intermittent. only made minor tweaks to the forecast for today. previous...a lot to consider this morning. cold front is through the area...temperatures are falling...winds are blowing...and the main precipitation shield will be pulling out over the next few hours. have some lake effect bands from lake michigan making their way into nw ohio too. winds at their worst now with a strong surface pressure rise/fall couplet. by mid morning gusts closer to 30 mph...instead of 40 mph. this has caused some areas of blowing/drifting snow west of i-71 early this morning per reports received...but wide open area airports still predominately reporting visibilities that are between 1 and 6+ miles. will continue with winter weather advisory mainly for this blowing/drifting and the temporary reductions in visibility under a mile in bursts of snow. little or no snow accumulations west...and inch or two east. wind chill advisory kicks in immediately after the winter weather advisory ends. by midday or early afternoon wind chill readings will have reached -10 to -15 degrees. linger some snow chances into the afternoon for lorain eastward across the snowbelt. it will be much drier that the other day so any lake effect should be minimal. of course unsure of where any breaks in the ice may be. by 6 pm temperatures will have fallen to near zero. && short term /6 pm this evening through thursday night/... confidence continues for the wind chill warning for tonight into early tuesday morning. gradient will still be tight between high pressure building into the ohio valley and low pressure over hudson bay. have stuck with forecast low temperatures for a large portion of the area between -5 and -14 degrees. so wind chills will dip as low as -30. this airmass is not quite as cold as the one from jan 6/7...but the winds tonight will not be as strong either...so potential there to still get those -10 degree lows. have lowered precip chance for any lake effect across far ne oh/nw pa tonight...again because it is so dry this time around. by tuesday morning winds begin to back to the southwest too. dry elsewhere for tuesday. highs around zero. high pressure centered over the ohio valley by tuesday night. have upgraded the wind chill watch to a warning...as the likelihood of hitting -25 wind chill is good and also for simplicity sake. but that is with current forecast as is. some concern that with the high nearby winds may be a tad lighter and that would place us in advisory criteria instead. low temps have to be on target too...and those will be dependent on the wind too. do have a trough crossing the great lakes...so this may keep the wind up just enough. high shifts to our southeast by wednesday evening. temperatures should reach double digits wednesday. a fast moving low is still progged to move across southern canada thursday into friday. a cold front trailing this low will kick off some light snow. this precip should reach nw oh late in the day thursday and then move east across the remaining areas on thursday night. will stick with chance pops for now but expect that we will eventually need likely wording. && long term /friday through sunday/... have made only minor changes to the long term this morning. some lingering lake effect is possible east of kcle on friday. low pressure will move up the ohio valley on friday night and saturday morning. temps will be warming by then but it should remain cold enough for all snow. if this plays out like the models forecast much of the area could see a few inches of snow...possibly enough for advisories. will try to dry things out sunday as high pressure builds in. have used a blend of guidance temps during the period. && aviation /12z monday through friday/... the worst should be over as the arctic front has pushed east of the area. most of the snow is gone and only expecting a few more hours of light snow in the east. cigs for the most part remain vfr except in the heavier snow. do not anticipate cigs to lower from current values. some clearing is possible over the west half this morning but cold air advection clouds should develop later on. expect bkn cigs to gradually lift this afternoon and then become sct in the west toward evening. gusty west winds will continue to come down a knot or two per hour. peak gusts should be in the 25 to 30 knot range by mid morning and in the low to mid 20s by midday. the gustiness should go away toward evening. outlook...non vfr mainly in the snow belt tuesday. && marine... for the nearshore waters...ice coverage is a big factor...but winds are expected to linger around high end small craft criteria. the clipper system exiting the region at the time of this issuance was being followed by a brisk southwest wind with gusts in the mid to upper 20kt range through early evening. look for a shift to the west as a arctic front approaches. the front will have impressive pressure rises with strong cold air advection. the conditions across the lake will be conditionally unstable for any open waters...which will support gale force gusts with sustained speeds remaining elevated in the 25 to 30 kt range. if there is stronger winds aloft...the gale warning may needed for at least a portion of the lake. high pressure will build across the ohio valley monday night into tuesday morning...and the instability and extremely cold air will support breezy but below gale force winds. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...winter weather advisory until 10 am est this morning for ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089. wind chill warning from 10 pm this evening to noon est wednesday for ohz010>014-020>023-031>033-038-089. wind chill advisory until 10 pm est this evening for ohz010>014-020>023-031>033-038-089. wind chill warning from 6 pm this evening to noon est wednesday for ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047. wind chill advisory until 6 pm est this evening for ohz003- 006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047. pa...winter weather advisory until 10 am est this morning for paz001>003. wind chill warning from 10 pm this evening to noon est wednesday for paz001>003. wind chill advisory until 10 pm est this evening for paz001>003. marine...gale warning until 10 am est this morning for lez061-142>149- 162>169. && $$ synopsis...oudeman near term...oudeman short term...oudeman long term...kubina aviation...kubina marine...kubina hr. Toledo Hourly Forecast 8:00 am - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 7 F wind: WNW 17 mph wind chill: -12 F precip chance 26 % cloud cover amount 71 % 9:00 am - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 7 F wind: WNW 16 mph wind chill: -11 F precip chance 27 % cloud cover amount 73 % 10:00 am - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 7 F wind: WNW 15 mph wind chill: -10 F precip chance 27 % cloud cover amount 75 % 11:00 am - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 7 F wind: WNW 15 mph wind chill: -10 F precip chance 25 % cloud cover amount 76 % 12:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 7 F wind: W 14 mph wind chill: -10 F precip chance 21 % cloud cover amount 78 % 1:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 7 F wind: W 15 mph wind chill: -10 F precip chance 19 % cloud cover amount 79 % 2:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 6 F wind: W 15 mph wind chill: -11 F precip chance 16 % cloud cover amount 77 % 3:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 6 F wind: W 15 mph wind chill: -12 F precip chance 12 % cloud cover amount 72 % 4:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 5 F wind: W 15 mph wind chill: -13 F precip chance 9 % cloud cover amount 68 % 5:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 4 F wind: W 16 mph wind chill: -15 F precip chance 11 % cloud cover amount 63 % 6:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: 3 F wind: W 17 mph wind chill: -17 F precip chance 13 % cloud cover amount 59 % 7:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: -1 F wind: W 18 mph wind chill: -22 F precip chance 13 % cloud cover amount 57 % 8:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: -2 F wind: W 17 mph wind chill: -23 F precip chance 14 % cloud cover amount 55 % 9:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: -4 F wind: W 16 mph wind chill: -25 F precip chance 14 % cloud cover amount 53 % 10:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: -5 F wind: W 15 mph wind chill: -26 F precip chance 14 % cloud cover amount 51 % 11:00 pm - Jan 27, 2014 temp: -6 F wind: W 15 mph wind chill: -27 F precip chance 15 % cloud cover amount 49 % 12:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -7 F wind: W 14 mph wind chill: -27 F precip chance 15 % cloud cover amount 47 % 1:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -8 F wind: WSW 13 mph wind chill: -28 F precip chance 12 % cloud cover amount 46 % 2:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -8 F wind: WSW 13 mph wind chill: -28 F precip chance 11 % cloud cover amount 44 % 3:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -9 F wind: WSW 11 mph wind chill: -28 F precip chance 10 % cloud cover amount 41 % 4:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -10 F wind: WSW 11 mph wind chill: -29 F precip chance 8 % cloud cover amount 37 % 5:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -11 F wind: WSW 11 mph wind chill: -30 F precip chance 6 % cloud cover amount 34 % 6:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -11 F wind: WSW 13 mph wind chill: -32 F precip chance 5 % cloud cover amount 30 % 7:00 am - Jan 28, 2014 temp: -12 F wind: WSW 14 mph wind chill: -33 F precip chance 4 % cloud cover amount 29 % hr. Forecast.io high and low temp Toledo forecast as of this morning, Mon, Jan 27, 2014: Today, Jan 27 : 30 and -2 Tue, Jan 28 : 4 and -6 Wed, Jan 29 : 14 and -1 Thu, Jan 30 : 27 and 11 Fri, Jan 31 : 26 and 14 Sat, Feb 1 : 25 and 11 Sun, Feb 2 : 22 and 11 Mon, Feb 3 : 23 and 6 hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Jan 27, 2014 12:20 pm Tonight: Patchy blowing snow before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -12. Wind chill values as low as -29. West wind 11 to 18 mph. Tuesday: Sunny and cold, with a high near -1. Wind chill values as low as -33. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph. Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -30. Southwest wind 14 to 17 mph. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 12. Wind chill values as low as -29. Southwest wind 11 to 13 mph. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 9. Southwest wind 11 to 15 mph. Thursday: A chance of snow after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Night: A chance of snow before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 22. Friday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 26. hr. urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 302 pm est mon jan 27 2014 ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-280415- /o.can.kcle.wc.y.0008.000000t0000z-140127t2300z/ /o.ext.kcle.wc.w.0002.140127t2002z-140129t1700z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion... mount gilead...mount vernon 302 pm est mon jan 27 2014 ...wind chill warning now in effect until noon est wednesday... ...wind chill advisory is cancelled... the national weather service in cleveland has cancelled the wind chill advisory. * winds...west to southwest winds of 10 to 20 mph. gusts around 25 mph this evening and during the day tuesday. * temperatures...dropping to 5 below to 12 degrees below zero tonight and again tuesday night. highs tuesday only zero to 5 above. * wind chill readings...wind chill readings of 20 to 30 below zero will be common much of time. * timing...through wednesday morning. * impacts...hypothermia and frostbite. precautionary/preparedness actions... if you will be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly...in layers...making sure that all exposed skin is covered. avoid prolonged exposure to the cold...if possible to prevent frostbite and hypothermia. a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees below zero or colder for several hours. a wind chill advisory is issued when it is expected to feel like -10 to -24 degrees. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further details or updates. hr. fxus61 kcle 272002 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 302 pm est mon jan 27 2014 synopsis... high pressure over the plains will spread up the ohio valley tonight through wednesday then shift to the east coast thursday. a cold front will move east into the area friday and stall as a wave of low pressure moves along the front through the area friday night and saturday. && near term /until 6 am tuesday/... since wind chills should drop below minus 25 tonight and then tend to stay around or below minus 25 most of the time until midday wed so will just go with a wind chill warning for the whole time to keep things less confusing. the arctic flow across the lake should continue to provide for a threat for light lake effect shsn tonight. accumulation should be an inch or less. scattered flurries possible on the fringes of the core snowbelt. winds gusting to 30 mph may produce a little blowing snow at times early this evening. && short term /6 am tuesday through thursday night/... wind chill issues previously mentioned. drier air will continue to push into the area tue morning so other than some flurries in the morning not expecting snow. high pressure pushing up the oh valley should keep conditions dry into thu other than a few possible flurries in the snowbelt near lake erie. winds will likely continue to gust 25 to 30 mph for much of the time into thu so expect continued areas of some blsn. a slow moving cold front is expected to move about halfway across the cwa by 12z fri. will keep chc pop for snow in the west later thu then increase pop over the whole area thu night but slow eastward progression some. the warm advection should bring temps closer to normal by thu. && long term /friday through monday/... models continue to indicate that a trough will persist over the northern plains into the great lakes. however the timing of the pieces of energy moving through the trough differ in each model. ended up with a much longer period of chance pops in the grids than i would like to see but there is plenty of uncertainty. temperatures will moderate with highs ranging from the upper 20s to the lower to middle 30s. && aviation /18z monday through saturday/... mvfr ceilings will slowly improve across the eastern half of the region through the afternoon. there still may be a brief ifr lake effect snow shower for locations north of a line from kcle to kyng into early evening. vfr conditions should spread across the entire region this evening into the overnight. outlook...non vfr conditions may return across ne oh and nw pa on wednesday. && marine... high pressure will build onto lake erie from the south and southwest tonight with winds shifting to the southwest and decreasing. a couple weak frontal boundaries will cross the lake...one on wednesday and another thursday night. winds will increase with each frontal boundary but believe they will remain below gale force. friday and beyond look unsettled but timing of systems across the region is uncertain. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...wind chill warning until noon est wednesday for ohz003-006>014- 017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089. pa...wind chill warning until noon est wednesday for paz001>003. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...adams near term...adams short term...adams long term...mullen aviation...mullen marine...mullen hr. urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 951 pm est mon jan 27 2014 ohz003-006>013-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-paz003-281100- /o.con.kcle.wc.w.0002.000000t0000z-140129t1700z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow- holmes-knox-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... findlay...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron...ravenna...warren... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland... wooster...canton...youngstown...marion...mount gilead... millersburg...mount vernon...meadville 951 pm est mon jan 27 2014 ...wind chill warning remains in effect until noon est wednesday... * winds...west to southwest winds of 10 to 20 mph. gusts around 25 mph this evening and during the day tuesday. * temperatures...dropping to 5 below to 12 degrees below zero tonight and again tuesday night. highs tuesday only zero to 5 above. * wind chill readings...wind chill readings of 20 to 30 below zero will be common much of time. * timing...through wednesday morning. * impacts...hypothermia and frostbite. precautionary/preparedness actions... if you will be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly...in layers...making sure that all exposed skin is covered. avoid prolonged exposure to the cold...if possible to prevent frostbite and hypothermia. a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees below zero or colder for several hours. a wind chill advisory is issued when it is expected to feel like -10 to -24 degrees. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further details or updates. hr. fxus61 kcle 280303 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 1003 pm est mon jan 27 2014 synopsis... high pressure over the plains will spread up the ohio valley tonight through wednesday then shift to the east coast thursday. a cold front will move east into the area friday and stall as a wave of low pressure moves along the front through the area friday night and saturday. && near term /through tuesday/... snow band continues across lake...ashtabula and erie counties at this time. latest satellite imagery shows cloud tops cooling and they are also cooling back over michigan as well. this means the snow band will likely continue for a while. flow will become slightly more northwest this evening and will push the band further inland. decided to go with a winter weather advisory for ashtabula and erie counties for the combination of snow and blowing snow. advisory will go until about 4 am. received a report from the 911 center in erie pa of 2 to 4 inches so far across their area since 4 pm this afternoon. previous discussion... since wind chills should drop below minus 25 tonight and then tend to stay around or below minus 25 most of the time until midday wed so will just go with a wind chill warning for the whole time to keep things less confusing. the arctic flow across the lake should continue to provide for a threat for light lake effect shsn tonight. accumulation should be an inch or less. scattered flurries possible on the fringes of the core snowbelt. winds gusting to 30 mph may produce a little blowing snow at times early this evening. && short term /tuesday night through thursday night/... wind chill issues previously mentioned. drier air will continue to push into the area tue morning so other than some flurries in the morning not expecting snow. high pressure pushing up the oh valley should keep conditions dry into thu other than a few possible flurries in the snowbelt near lake erie. winds will likely continue to gust 25 to 30 mph for much of the time into thu so expect continued areas of some blsn. a slow moving cold front is expected to move about halfway across the cwa by 12z fri. will keep chc pop for snow in the west later thu then increase pop over the whole area thu night but slow eastward progression some. the warm advection should bring temps closer to normal by thu. && long term /friday through monday/... models continue to indicate that a trough will persist over the northern plains into the great lakes. however the timing of the pieces of energy moving through the trough differ in each model. ended up with a much longer period of chance pops in the grids than i would like to see but there is plenty of uncertainty. temperatures will moderate with highs ranging from the upper 20s to the lower to middle 30s. && aviation /00z tuesday through saturday/... high pressure and dry air building in across the area. flow off the lake however is keeping mvfr/ifr conditions in at keri this evening. expect this to persist into the night but after 04-06z time frame drier air aloft reaches nwrn pa and end/taper snow showers. otherwise will go with mostly clear skies with winds diminishing overnight. high pressure and dry air mass will continue tuesday. outlook...non vfr conditions may return across ne oh and nw pa on wednesday. && marine... high pressure will build onto lake erie from the south and southwest tonight with winds shifting to the southwest and decreasing. a couple weak frontal boundaries will cross the lake...one on wednesday and another thursday night. winds will increase with each frontal boundary but believe they will remain below gale force. friday and beyond look unsettled but timing of systems across the region is uncertain. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...wind chill warning until noon est wednesday for ohz003-006>014- 017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089. winter weather advisory until 4 am est tuesday for ohz014-089. pa...wind chill warning until noon est wednesday for paz001>003. winter weather advisory until 4 am est tuesday for paz001-002. marine...none. #toledo - #weather