Toledo Weather - Tue, Feb 4, 2014 hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 403 am est tue feb 4 2014 ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-050915- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- 403 am est tue feb 4 2014 ...winter storm warning in effect from 5 pm this afternoon to 5 pm est wednesday... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. winter storm warning. .days two through seven...wednesday through monday. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. winter storm warning. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 322 am est tue feb 4 2014 ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-041630- /o.ext.kcle.ws.w.0003.140204t2200z-140205t2200z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion... mount gilead...mount vernon 322 am est tue feb 4 2014 ...winter storm warning now in effect from 5 pm this afternoon to 5 pm est wednesday... * accumulations...total of 6 to 9 inches likely. * timing...late today into wednesday afternoon. * winds...northeast to north 10 to 20 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph by wednesday morning. * temperatures...will range from the low to mid 20s. * visibilities...down to a quarter of a mile at times. * impacts...snow covered roads will make driving slow and hazardous. some blowing and drifting snow could make travel difficult. precautionary/preparedness actions... you should use extreme caution if travel is unavoidable. stay tuned to noaa weather radio or your favorite weather source for further details or updates from the national weather service. hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Feb 4, 2014 6:07 am Today: A chance of snow, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tonight: Snow, mainly after 8pm. Low around 18. Northeast wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Wednesday: Snow, mainly before 3pm. High near 25. North wind 11 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Wednesday Night: A chance of snow, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Wind chill values as low as -3. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 17. West wind 7 to 13 mph. Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 17. Friday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 2. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 9. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 23. hr. fxus61 kcle 041129 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 629 am est tue feb 4 2014 synopsis... a low will track northeast from the gulf into west virginia by daybreak wednesday then off the new england coast by evening. high pressure will spread east across ohio thursday into thursday night then shift north friday. another low will move out of the gulf and track across virginia late sunday and off of new england by early monday. && near term /through tonight/... for the most part...things look on track for snow to begin to spread ene across the west half of the cwa by 00z this eve. the ongoing forecast looks reasonable so just minor adjustments to pops. after cold morning lows...temps today should be able to recover back into the mid to upper 20s. the warmer readings will be in the east where the clouds will be slower to thicken. && short term /wednesday through friday night/... the nam lifts the low a little further nw than the gfs bringing somewhat warmer air into mahoning and nearby co's which could cause some mixing of wintry precip to occur but the gfs keeps it cold enough aloft for just snow. for now will maintain consistency and stay with just snow. the day shift can see which way the 12z model runs go and make adjustments to precip type and accumulation if necessary. it still looks like about 4 to 6 inches of snow tonight and another 1 to 3 inches on wed with the 3 inches more likely for the ne part of the cwa. in order to maintain continuity...will leave winter storm headlines as is with this forecast package except to start warning in the west at 22z and in the east at 01z. moisture hangs around wed night into thu with marginal lake enhancement conditions present. will increase pops some for wed night and thu for the snowbelt where some areas could see another inch or two of additional accumulation. arctic air is again pulled down over the area late wed and wed night in the wake of the departing low. lows of 5 to 10 degrees seem likely for wed night except the lakeshore of the snowbelt will probably hang up in a 10 to 13 degree range due to more cloud cover. thu remains cold with highs likely to stay in the teens. high pressure moves over the area for thu night to calm the winds so thu night should be the coldest night with lows close to zero for much of the cwa. think the high will maintain dry conditions thu night into early fri night. enough return moisture ahead of the next system shows up by the end of fri night to warrant at least small chance pops for mainly the west half by the end of fri night. && long term /saturday through monday/... the long term begins saturday with models showing high pressure across the ohio valley. aloft heights show a broad upper trof across the states and the airmass across the region will be moist. with little forcing however will keep pops at low chance category. sunday models out of phase however both the ecmwf and gfs show a developing upper trof moving through the great lakes while a surface low moves up the east coast. will need to watch the evolution of this system but the current model runs are not quite as aggressive in developing the storm as previous runs. still both models indicate the potential for moisture getting into the area sunday associated either with the surface low or the upper trof so will have higher chance pops and favor the east half. sunday night and monday high pressure builds across the area along with decreasing moisture. && aviation /12z tuesday through saturday/... significant winter storm set to move into the area mostly after 00z this evening. until then expect vfr conditions although cigs will be lowering as moisture increases. brought mvfr into the west around 23z dropping to ifr and below 02-04z time frame. at kcle brought mvfr conditions in by 02z with ifr after 04z. for the overnight expect moderate to occasionally heavy snow across the area. ifr to persist into wednesday morning. outlook...non vfr wednesday and then again on saturday. && marine... low pressure will pass southeast of the lake tuesday night and early wednesday before moving off the delmarva/new england coast wednesday afternoon. ahead of the storm...winds will be from the northeast today...backing to northwest by wednesday afternoon. strongest flow will be late tuesday night and early wednesday at 20 to 25 knots. northwest flow will back to westerly by thursday morning and then southwest thursday afternoon as high pressure builds into the lower ohio valley from the west. winds will remain from the southwest at 10 to 20 knots friday and then drop off saturday to around 10 knots as the high builds over the lake. no headlines expected. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...winter storm warning from 8 pm this evening to 5 pm est wednesday for ohz010>014-020>023-031>033-038-089. winter storm warning from 5 pm this afternoon to 5 pm est wednesday for ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047. pa...winter storm warning from 8 pm this evening to 5 pm est wednesday for paz001>003. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...adams near term...adams short term...adams long term...tk aviation...tk marine...tk hr. Forecast.io hi-lo Toledo temp predictions as of 9:48 a.m., on Tue, Feb 4, 2014: * today, Feb 4 : 23 and 7 * Wed, Feb 5 : 27 and 10 * Thu, Feb 6 : 11 and -3 * Fri, Feb 7 : 11 and -6 * Sat, Feb 8 : 19 and -5 * Sun, Feb 9 : 24 and 18 * Mon, Feb 10 : 19 and 7 * Tue, Feb 11 : 18 and 5 hr. urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 332 pm est tue feb 4 2014 ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-050445- /o.con.kcle.ws.w.0003.140204t2200z-140205t2200z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion... mount gilead...mount vernon 332 pm est tue feb 4 2014 ...winter storm warning remains in effect until 5 pm est wednesday... * accumulations...total of 6 to 10 inches likely. * timing...late today into wednesday afternoon. * winds...northeast to north 10 to 20 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph by wednesday morning. * temperatures...will range from the low to mid 20s. * visibilities...down to a quarter of a mile at times. * impacts...snow covered roads will make driving slow and hazardous. some blowing and drifting snow could make travel difficult. precautionary/preparedness actions... you should use extreme caution if travel is unavoidable. stay tuned to noaa weather radio or your favorite weather source for further details or updates from the national weather service. hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Feb 4, 2014 3:36 pm Late Afternoon: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 24. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tonight: Snow, mainly after 8pm. Low around 20. Northeast wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Wednesday: Snow, mainly before 3pm. High near 26. North wind 15 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Wednesday Night: A chance of snow, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 9. Wind chill values as low as -2. North wind 7 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 14. West wind 9 to 11 mph. Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -5. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 14. Friday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 1. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 10. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 21. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 4. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 20. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0. Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 21. hr. my comment in the winter weather discussion thread at ToledoTalk.com The Storm Prediction Center issued a "mesoscale discussion":http://toledotalk.com/weather/html/mesoscale0066.html at 4:14 p.m. today, Feb 4 that barely includes the Toledo area. !http://toledotalk.com/weather/images/mcd0066.gif! Excerpts: q. heavy snowfall will become common through 00z across srn/cntrl ind...and eventually into wrn/nrn oh. rates of 1-2 per inches per hr will become increasingly likely into the evening hrs /especially within concentrated snow bands/...affecting the indianapolis and dayton metro areas...as well as surrounding portions of srn/cntrl ind and w-cntrl/nwrn oh. q.. br. Toledo forecast "issued":http://toledotalk.com/weather/html/forecast.html at 3:36 p.m. bq. *Tonight:* Snow, mainly after 8pm. Low around 20. Northeast wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of *3 to 7 inches* possible. bq. *Wednesday:* Snow, mainly before 3pm. High near 26. North wind 15 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of *1 to 3* inches possible. br. I like that range: 4 to 10 inches. Sometimes, it's tough to pinpoint the forecast, even as the snow enters the area. 4 inches of snow at this point barely warrants the time to remove it. I think the forecast means that Trilby, Toledo will receive 4 to 5 inches of snow, Viva, Toledo will receive 6 to 7 inches of snow, and Bowling Green will receive 8 to 9 inches of snow. hr. Screen shot of "ToledoWX,":http://toledotalk.com/weather taken on Tuesday afternoon, February 4, 2014: "enlarge":http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7403/12310202163_f6046e44da_o.png #toledo - #weather