Toledo Weather - Thu, Feb 6, 2014 7:38 West Toledo Wundermap station reports 8 above. The Toledo temps are mainly 5 to 8 degrees above zero. 7:00 a.m. Toledo airport temps: * Express 3 above * Executive 0 * Suburban 5 above hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Feb 6, 2014 6:05 am Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 16. Wind chill values as low as -5. West wind 5 to 13 mph. Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2. Wind chill values as low as -14. West wind 8 to 10 mph. Friday: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 9. Wind chill values as low as -14. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph. Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2. Wind chill values as low as -9. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Saturday: Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 18. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday Night: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 10. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 21. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6. Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 17. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -1. Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 17. Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6. Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 634 am est thu feb 6 2014 ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-071145- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull- wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow- holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie- crawford pa- 634 am est thu feb 6 2014 this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. no hazardous weather is expected today. .days two through seven...friday through wednesday. a wind chill advisory may be needed tonight and friday night. another surge of arctic air will cause wind chill values to fall to -15 to -20 degrees tonight...while wind chill values may fall below -10 degrees again friday night. please stay tuned to the latest forecast for updated information. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. fxus61 kcle 061122 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 622 am est thu feb 6 2014 synopsis... large arctic high over the plains states will move slowly east across the ohio valley/lower great lakes...then move off the mid atlantic coast saturday...which will a allow clipper system to move through. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... no significant changes for the 630 update...just tweaked hourly temps and clouds. clouds have scattered out over much of the west...but still some lingering flurries across the east for this morning. by this afternoon chance of some lake effect snow showers in the east as the 850 mb temps dip to minus 16c this afternoon. even though the surface wind shift to the southwest the 850mb winds still have more of a westerly flow until tonight. however...conditions marginal so only left chance pops. && short term /6 pm this evening through sunday night/... models continue to be in very good agreement on the track and timing of next arctic system. models move the high from the plains states today...across the ohio valley and lower great lakes friday...then off the mid atlantic coast on saturday. that will result in a dry...but cold forecast. lows friday and saturday morning will likely be in the zero to minus 5 degree range. exact timing of the next clipper system still somewhat in doubt as short wave moves across the area this weekend. for now will go likely pops in the west saturday afternoon and likely for entire area saturday night. snow amount should be relatively light as quickly as the models move the system through. && long term /monday through wednesday/... long term begins on monday with models showing a broad upper trof across the great lakes region and high pressure at the surface to our west...a typical setup for this winter. of course this means cold air will be dropping out of canada into the region. will continue with a low chance pop for leftover snow showers off the lake monday. monday night and tuesday the high build over the region. will have dry wx forecast with a little sun. wednesday morning both the gfs and ecmwf have low pressure developing in the northern glfmx and moisture moving north into the area. also models show a short wave moving into the southeast. while the gfs is dry across the region favor the ecmwf/hpc solution of increasing pops across the region from tuesday night into thursday for the potential of having a storm system moving up the appalachians. temps moderating to below normal wednesday and thursday from much below normal monday and tuesday. && aviation /12z thursday through monday/... forecast soundings show ample low level moisture across the area this morning. satellite and obs show mvfr cigs from erie to cak to aoh to tol as well as much of michigan...indiana and southern illinois. high pressure does build toward the area through the day and tonight but this will just manage to strengthen the inversion trapping low level moisture across the area especially tonight. feel that the clear areas will cloud up this morning as sunshine causes the low levels to convect and create clouds. elsewhere existing cloud cover will move in from the west. either way expect ample mvfr cigs across nrn ohio and nwrn pa today and into tonight as well. outlook...non vfr redeveloping again on saturday continuing into sunday monday. && marine... no headlines expected through the period with light to moderate west to southwest flow most of the time. #toledo - #weather