Toledo Weather - Wed, Feb 12, 2014 special weather statement national weather service cleveland oh 428 am est wed feb 12 2014 ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-121330- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage- trumbull-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning- marion-morrow-holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie- southern erie-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... jefferson...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron... ravenna...warren...upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield... ashland...wooster...canton...youngstown...marion...mount gilead... millersburg...mount vernon...ashtabula...erie...edinboro... meadville 428 am est wed feb 12 2014 temperatures will be very cold across the region early this morning...ranging from near zero to 15 degrees below. winds will be calm in most areas and patchy freezing fog is developing. if freezing fog becomes dense it can cause slick spots on untreated roads and sidewalks. persons should dress warmly today and limit exposure to the cold. hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 434 am est wed feb 12 2014 ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-130945- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull- wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow- holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie- crawford pa- 434 am est wed feb 12 2014 this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. temperatures will range from zero to 15 below early this morning. persons should dress warmly and limit exposure to the cold. .days two through seven...thursday through tuesday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. TOL Feb 12, 2014 5:52 am Weather : Overcast Temperature : -12 F Humidity : 81% Wind Speed : Calm Barometer : 30.39 in Dewpoint: -16 F Visibility : 2.50 statute miles (formerly Metcalf Airport) Feb 12, 2014 5:53 am Weather : Mostly Cloudy Temperature : -10 F Humidity : 74% Wind Speed : Calm Barometer : 30.40 in Dewpoint: -16 F Visibility : 8.00 statute miles (near Lambertville) Feb 12, 2014 6:35 am Weather : Fair Temperature : -9 F Humidity : 70% Wind Speed : Calm Barometer : 30.39 in Dewpoint: -17 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Feb 12, 2014 3:43 am Today: Sunny, with a high near 18. Wind chill values as low as -10. Calm wind. Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 3. Calm wind. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Thursday Night: A slight chance of snow showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 27. West wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 19. Saturday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Washington's Birthday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night: A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday: A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. hr. fxus61 kcle 120914 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 414 am est wed feb 12 2014 synopsis... a ridge extending from high pressure over new england will linger over the area through thursday. a clipper will pass north of lake erie on friday and pull a cold front across the region. high pressure will return on saturday with another weak area of low pressure sliding through the ohio valley on saturday night. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... a ridge will linger over the area today...extending from high pressure over new england. temperatures are starting off very cold with findlay down to -15 at 330 am. winds are calm in most areas so we do not have any type of wind chill headlines in effect. skies have finally cleared and will remain sunny today with systems passing both to our north and south. the airmass is very dry with pw values near 0.08 inches. a light southeasterly wind will develop with weak warm advection. after a cold start to the day... temperatures will recover to the low 20s. && short term /6 pm this evening through saturday night/... tonight will be cold again with mostly clear skies and a ridge still over the area. temperatures will approach zero in nw ohio while lows are only forecast to drop to around 10 degrees in ne oh/nw pa where we may hold onto just enough wind to not decouple. also counting on a little bit of mid-level cloud. these temperatures could potentially be too warm though if skies are clear and winds go calm again. a good deal of sun is expected again on thursday with temperatures reaching the upper 20s to near 30 degrees. a clipper will move across the central great lakes from late thursday night into friday. very dry mid-level air wraps around the south side of the system which will limit chances for precipitation. the gfs and canadian models hint there could be trace amounts of precipitation around with the frontal passage late thursday night...and the lack of ice nuclei in the cloud suggests it could be in the form of freezing drizzle. think potential for freezing drizzle is very low given a 6-8 degree dewpoint depression and winds increasing to 10-15 knots. removed chances of snow from the forecast for most areas and we will keep an eye on freezing drizzle potential. a shortwave will slide across illinois and southern ohio on friday with increasing moisture and a light warm advection type snow filling in across southern and possibly central ohio. a low level trough also pushes south across lake erie which may help to enhance convergence downwind of the lake bringing light snow showers. some minor accumulations will be possible...mainly in the snowbelt. scattered snow showers could even linger into saturday in ne oh/nw pa as a trough lingers over the lake. another clipper moves through the northwest flow towards the ohio valley on friday night. this will again bring an opportunity for light snow but models have trended southward and will just carry 30-40 pops with better chances to our south. && long term /sunday through tuesday/... high pressure will briefly ridge across the the area saturday afternoon into sunday. as this high moves east of the area it will allow a much stronger storm system to move into the central or southern great lakes late monday into tuesday. southerly winds ahead of this low will bring some warmth back to the region with highs within a couple degrees of 40 for a large portion of the county warning area. models differ on the exact track of this low which will have significant implications on the precipitation type. for now have gone with rain...snow...or a mix. this area of low pressure should be east of the region by wednesday. && aviation /06z wednesday through sunday/... high pressure will continue to build over the area. skies are skc and will remain that way overnight. there should be a few high clouds on wednesday. light and variable flow will become se at under 10 knots on wednesday. still expecting some patchy mvfr fog inland areas later tonight. outlook...non-vfr in clouds and or visibilities will develop thursday evening and continue off and on through saturday night. && marine... high pressure will move away from lake erie to the new england coast today. this will allow the next clipper storm system to move into the region from the upper great lakes. as it passes across the region it will drag a cold front across the area. the front should clear all of lake erie by saturday morning. high pressure will then briefly ridge across the lake saturday afternoon into sunday. a much stronger storm system will move into the central or southern great lakes late monday into tuesday. gusty winds may make a run at gale force in the wake of it but the models are differing on the timing of the strong area of low pressure across the region. && hr. http://wunderground.com/wundermap Toledo area temps at 7:37 a.m. 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