Toledo Weather - Sun, Feb 15, 2014 Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Feb 15, 2014 6:17 am Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 19. Wind chill values as low as -3. Northwest wind around 9 mph. Tonight: A chance of flurries before 11pm, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday: Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Wind chill values as low as zero. Light and variable wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight. Washington's Birthday: Snow likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Southeast wind 6 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday Night: Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 41. Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 409 am est sat feb 15 2014 ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-160915- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull- wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow- holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie- crawford pa- 409 am est sat feb 15 2014 this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .days two through seven...sunday through friday. the region will see a warming trend starting monday and continuing through thursday. temperatures may very well be topping 50 degrees by thursday. the biggest concern with the warming...snowmelt...and any potential rainfall will be for ice jam flooding. other nuisance flooding will also be possible. continue to stay informed about the forecast for the coming week as we are able to put more detail into the forecast. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. fxus61 kcle 151141 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 641 am est sat feb 15 2014 synopsis... a series of weak lows will move east across the region through sunday. high pressure will spread over the area by sunday evening then shift off to the east on monday. a low will move northeast across the lakes through tuesday morning. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... area of flurries off of lake erie have expanded a bit early than anticipated. have added flurries to the zones but they should slowly shift eastward from north central ohio into ne oh and nw pa through the afternoon. cant rule out a couple tenths of an inch of snow in the more persistent light snow areas. otherwise have only made minor changes to the previous forecast. previous discussion... low pressure remains well south of the region but there has been just enough lift with the upper level trough to squeeze out some snow across the extreme southern portion of the county warning area from mount vernon to youngstown. all of this snow is expected to move eastward through the day as an east coast storm takes shape. northwesterly flow will then move over the great lakes with some minor lake effect snow showers expected to develop. most locations will not see much more than flurries off of the lake except over inland nw pa where an inch may be possible. && short term /6 pm this evening through tuesday night/... lake effect snow showers may linger across nw pa until around midnight. again it will be light with another dusting to an inch possible before it ends. high pressure will briefly be in control into sunday morning before southerly flow returns ahead of another weak clipper storm system. it appears it will bring a round of snow to most locations but there will not be much moisture for it to lift. snow amounts will likely only be a few tenths to maybe an inch. high pressure will again briefly return in the wake of the clipper for overnight sunday into monday morning. a stronger area of low pressure will arrive from the central mississippi river valley monday afternoon before tracking across northern ohio monday night into tuesday morning. this track is slightly further south than previous model runs which will keep the region slightly cooler than previous forecasts. if this track holds we may see a longer period of snow. have leaned this way in the forecast at this time and kept any mixed precipitation south of the county warning area. this storm will have the potential to produce a bit more snow with 2 to locally 5 inches of snow monday into monday night. we will provide more details as the models latch on to a definite track for the area of low pressure. the region will not cool much in the wake of low on tuesday and may be a few degrees warmer if cloud cover can decrease enough to provide a decent amount of sunshine by tuesday afternoon. && long term /wednesday through friday/... little change to the end of the week. still looking at a mild/above freezing stretch and the possibility of flooding/ice jams. thursday is the day for unsettled weather. differences in the details on how it evolves and therefore also rainfall amounts. early guidance had wanted us to push above 50 degrees...but trend in guidance is to sit in mid/upper 40s. will take a few off of previous forecast...but still allow most places to hit 50. a lot will depend on the push of warm air and also the impact of the remaining snow cover. flow is rather zonal for thursday and therefore not a huge cool down in the wake of thursdays cold front. && aviation /12z saturday through wednesday/... upper trough axis crossing the area early this morning. flow off of the lake has been able to produce some flurries. mvfr conditions will be predominate today. tol/fdy starting out vfr but borderline mvfr/vfr ceilings will drift their way from lake michigan. all others should keep their mvfr status until evening. it is possible for conditions to lift to vfr sooner...but while we have the nw flow have kept the mvfr ceilings. expecting a break for a while tonight until conditions begin to lower again from west to east with the approach of the next clipper system. will introduce those lower conditions and some light snow into tol/fdy before 12z sun. light nw winds will come around to the south overnight tonight. outlook...non-vfr likely sunday and possible monday afternoon into tuesday. && marine... light flow with little impact on the lake through the weekend. winds shift around to the east-southeast monday as we begin a warm-up for the week. depending on the strength of the low...may get 20+ knot winds with mondays system. after that we keep a southerly component to the flow going into wednesday. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...none. pa...none. marine...none. hr. Forecast.io Toledo hi-lo temp predictions: * today, Feb 15 : 20 and 9 * Sun, Feb 16 : 26 and 11 * Mon, Feb 17 : 31 and 6 * Tue, Feb 18 : 36 and 20 * Wed, Feb 19 : 39 and 30 * Thu, Feb 20 : 44 and 31 * Fri, Feb 21 : 39 and 26 * Sat, Feb 22 : 34 and 25 #toledo - #weather