Toledo Weather - Sun, Mar 9, 2014 hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 606 am edt sun mar 9 2014 for lake erie...north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .days two through seven...monday through saturday. wintry weather is expected tuesday night into wednesday. low pressure will track across the lower ohio valley during this time. precipitation may start out as rain or a rain and snow mix tuesday night...transitioning to all snow wednesday. snow fall accumulations will be dependent on the track of this system and on temperatures. upcoming forecasts will have preliminary snow fall accumulation forecasts. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. Toledo Express Airport: Mar 9, 2014 8:52 am Weather : Fair Temperature : 18 F Humidity : 88% Wind Speed : W 6 mph Barometer : 30.24 in Dewpoint: 15 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Wind Chill : 10 F hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Mar 9, 2014 6:51 am Today: Sunny, with a high near 35. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Breezy, with a southwest wind 16 to 20 mph. Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 48. West wind 15 to 17 mph. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind 7 to 15 mph. Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. West wind 3 to 5 mph. Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow between 11pm and 2am, then snow likely after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Wednesday: Snow likely, mainly before 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 29. Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 46. Breezy. Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. hr. fxus61 kcle 091138 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 738 am edt sun mar 9 2014 synopsis... high pressure will be across the ohio valley today. low pressure will cross the northern great lakes and move east to new england between monday and tuesday. this will bring a cold front to northern ohio/nw pa on tuesday. a complicated system will track across kentucky into maryland on wednesday and be followed by high pressure thursday. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... significant clearing taking place early this morning. patchy fog has developed...but not widespread enough to throw into the forecast. there will still be stratocu off of the lake...patches drifting into ne oh/nw pa through the morning hours. others will clear out. by the afternoon hours mid/high clouds will be on the slow increase as a warm front will be moving east across the great lakes. winds will back to the southwest for the majority of today and temperatures will range from freezing to 40 degrees. this early morning update included tweaks to the clouds first thing this morning and temperatures. those that have cleared have dropped into the teens...others staying in the 20s until they clear before sunrise. && short term /6 pm this evening through wednesday night/... warm air advection tonight and with it a small chance for precip toward monday morning. it does not look like chances are any better or worse than we already had going...basically 20 pops for far ne oh/nw pa. with temperatures the way they are...rain/snow mix. with a continued southwest flow expect temperatures to drop little overnight...or possibly rise some before morning. majority of the lift and moisture exits by monday afternoon. the great lakes low makes its way to new england by tuesday and at this point its cold front will be sinking south toward the area...with moisture gathering along the front tuesday night. from this point forward the forecast gets complicated. the system we had been watching for late tuesday/wednesday has come into closer agreement than it had been...but still leaves much to be desired. average track of the low amongst models takes it across kentucky and to maryland. northern extent of precip drawn further north...aided by the cold front sinking south with this systems northern component. temperatures look to start out marginal for all snow at least for a line from findlay to cleveland to cortland. here and south precip can be rain or a mix for a number of hours reducing the snow accum potential. with time the cold air will be drawn southward into the system and will go to all snow....transitioning early wednesday. no estimate on snowfall this far out...but we will continue to fine tune. trend is for the upper trough to pull east quicker and partial clearing/drying out to take place before 12z thu. this system will be followed by another shot of unseasonably cold air. guidance has a broad range on the potential for lows for wednesday night. have settled with a compromise in the teens. && long term /thursday through saturday/... some lingering snow showers may persist through thursday morning across ne oh and nw pa as the upper level trough moves to the new england coast. this will allow high pressure to ridge into the area thursday evening. the next area of low pressure will move from the northern lakes and cross ontario on friday. southwesterly breezes will bring warmer temperatures back to the region on friday after a well below average high on thursday. most locations on friday should rebound to the 40s. there could be some light precipitation as the low passes friday afternoon/evening into saturday. if it does occur it will be light with most locations seeing sprinkles/light rain. it wont be much cooler in the wake of the low on saturday with highs still near or just above 40. && aviation /12z sunday through thursday/... areas of mvfr ceilings were mainly located over extreme eastern ohio into nw pa and over the central highlands this morning. these clouds should slowly dissipate as they drift to the southeast this morning. fresh snow on the ground and clear skies at sunrise raise the concern about some mvfr fog. southwest winds will increase through the day and may begin to gust to around 20 knots across the west. high level cloud cover will increase through this evening then slowly lower through the overnight. outlook...non vfr likely tuesday night through wednesday in snow. && marine... high pressure will ridge over lake erie this morning then shift slowly southward as the next area of low pressure takes shape over the northern great lakes region. as the low moves across ontario tonight into monday expect to see southwest winds increase to at least 25 knots...maybe reaching 30 knots for a brief period across the eastern half of the lake. low pressure is then expected to track along the ohio river valley wednesday while high pressure remains across ontario. this should set up a tight pressure gradient in the wake of the low. northerly winds should reach at least 25 knots wednesday afternoon. we will have to monitor this closely with the possibility of touching gales. northerly winds will decrease into thursday then back to the west and southwest ahead of the next area of low pressure that will move north of lake erie on friday. winds will once again increase to 25 to 30 knots with this storm system. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...none. pa...none. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...oudeman near term...oudeman short term...oudeman long term...mullen aviation...mullen marine...mullen hr. fzus51 kcle 090749 nshcle nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 349 am edt sun mar 9 2014 for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie lez142>149-091415- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh- avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva- on-the-lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny- 349 am edt sun mar 9 2014 today...west winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest 5 to 15 knots. mostly sunny. tonight...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. mostly cloudy. monday...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. partly sunny. monday night...west winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy. waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered. see lake erie open lakes forecast for tuesday through thursday. the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33 degrees and off erie 33 degrees. hr. Forecast.io Toledo hi-lo temp predictions: * today, Sun, Mar 9 : 34 and 14 * Mon, Mar 10 : 39 and 34 * Tue, Mar 11 : 43 and 33 * Wed, Mar 12 : 36 and 24 * Thu, Mar 13 : 35 and 13 * Fri, Mar 14 : 51 and 33 * Sat, Mar 15 : 43 and 32 * Sun, Mar 16 : 34 and 25 hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 443 pm edt sun mar 9 2014 for lake erie...north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...tonight. no hazardous weather is expected tonight. .days two through seven...monday through saturday. a low moving up the ohio valley tuesday night and wednesday may produce significant snow across the area. initially...the precipitation will start as rain or a mix of rain and snow then change over to all snow late tuesday night into early wednesday morning. preliminary estimates are for 4 to 9 inches of possible snowfall by wednesday evening from this system but estimates will change as the exact track of the low becomes more certain. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. My TT comment As of Mar 9, 2014, Toledo Express Airport has recorded 77.8 inches of total snowfall since July 1. Toledo's average by Mar 9 is 32.7 inches. We still have a solid 3 to 5 inches of snow cover. We've had snow cover for every day of 2014. Temps this week will be up and down. Single digits along with a possible snowstorm are forecast for mid-week. !http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3342/13044455433_57641c8e6d_o.png! br. Currently, the the Detroit / Pontiac National Weather Service predicts around 4 inches of snow to accumulate near the Ohio border. br. Latest info from the Cleveland National Weather Service: q. a low moving up the ohio valley tuesday night and wednesday may produce significant snow across the area. initially...the precipitation will start as rain or a mix of rain and snow then change over to all snow late tuesday night into early wednesday morning. preliminary estimates are for 4 to 9 inches of possible snowfall by wednesday evening from this system but estimates will change as the exact track of the low becomes more certain. the question will be how much snow can accumulate in the short period from when the precip changes to snow to when the snow tapers off. based on temps and snow versus rain it would appear the best chance for the most accumulation would be in the nw. the issuance of any watches will be highly dependent on collaboration with bordering forecast areas. q.. #toledo - #weather