Toledo Weather - Tue, Mar 11, 2014 hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 631 am edt tue mar 11 2014 ohz003-006>009-017>019-121045- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron- 631 am edt tue mar 11 2014 ...winter storm watch in effect from late tonight through wednesday evening... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. winter storm watch. ice jam flooding may be possible today as any remaining snow melts and flows into area creeks and rivers. as rainfall develops tonight the threat will increase. .days two through seven...wednesday through monday. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. winter storm watch. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. urgent - winter weather message national weather service cleveland oh 407 am edt tue mar 11 2014 .low pressure will move through the lower ohio valley late tuesday night into wednesday. rain will move into the area ahead of the low tuesday night. the rain will change to snow by sunrise across northwest ohio and spread eastward on wednesday as colder air moves in behind the low. a period of freezing rain is also possible before changing to all snow. based on the current track of the storm...snowfall should be highest across northern ohio into northwest pennsylvania with decreasing amounts further south. a glaze of ice however will also be possible. ohz003-006>009-017>019-111615- /o.ext.kcle.ws.a.0005.140312t0400z-140313t0000z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk 407 am edt tue mar 11 2014 ...winter storm watch now in effect from late tonight through wednesday evening... * accumulations...6 to 8 inches of snow along with a glaze of ice. * timing...rain will occur much of tuesday night. the rain will change to snow by sunrise on wednesday. as the rain transitions to snow there could be a period of freezing rain. the heaviest snow should occur from just after sunrise into early afternoon then taper off into the evening. * winds...north 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph possible. * impacts...accumulating snow along with a glaze of ice will slow travel across the region and make any untreated surfaces slick. precautionary/preparedness actions... a winter storm watch means that heavy snow is possible. if you are within the watch area...remain alert to rapidly changing weather conditions. stay tuned to the national weather service or the local news media for the latest updates and possible warnings. hr. Toledo Express Airport Mar 11, 2014 6:52 am Weather : Fog/Mist Temperature : 37 F Humidity : 96% Wind Speed : W 6 mph Barometer : 29.66 in Dewpoint: 36 F Visibility : 6.00 statute miles Wind Chill : 32 F hr. fxus61 kcle 111033 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 633 am edt tue mar 11 2014 synopsis... a weakening cold front will sag across the area today. this front will stall over central or southern ohio this evening and become the path for low pressure to move along late tonight into wednesday. high pressure will build in on thursday. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... only minor changes to hourly temperatures have been made. previous discussion... a weakening cold front will sag across the area today. this should provide for a cooler day than yesterday. however the region is starting rather warm so we have gone slightly higher than guidance highs. still looks like most of the region will be near or above 50...warmest across the south. as the flow comes off of lake erie this afternoon temperatures will likely fall. we will need to monitor for some fog development as the chilled air from the ice covered lake moves onshore. && short term /6 pm this evening through friday night/... low pressure will move near the ohio river valley tonight into wednesday. this will bring rain into the region overnight. since the models are slightly further north with the low track it appears the rain may persist into wednesday morning from the central county warning area into nw pa. this may end up cutting into the snowfall amounts. we have nudged the heavier snow a bit further north with this forecast package but have not changed the watch area at this time. the reason for leaving it a watch is that there is still uncertainty in the track of the low. there are still a couple solutions that move the track even further north. the main concerns for the county warning area are the nw and ne corners. these two areas have the best shot at seeing the significant snow...especially with an even further north wobble of the track. after an area changes over to snow late tonight into wednesday there will likely be a quick burst with 2 to 4 inches rapidly accumulating. this may impact the evening commute from cleveland to mansfield and locations to the east. we will then see how much lake effect snow can occur in the wake of the low. winds will be gusty in the wake of the low and could exceed 40 mph at times. as the snow tapers off the cold air will continue to filter into the area with lows dipping into the single digits by thursday morning. thursday will be a cold day with lake effect snow showers for ne ohio into nw pa. as high pressure slides east of the area on friday we will have increasing southwesterly flow. any snowpack will slow the warming on friday but it still appears many locations will be into the 40s. however the upper 30s may occur across nw ohio and nw pa if the heavier snow occurs. && long term /saturday through monday/... a cold front will push south across the area on saturday with a chance of lake effect rain/snow showers...mainly in the snowbelt as the trough shifts through. the airmass will dry out as high pressure builds over the central great lakes on sunday with north to northeast flow resulting in below normal temperatures to end the week. && aviation /06z tuesday through saturday/... southwest winds over the area will decrease towards 12z...possibly becoming light and variable in nw ohio. as this occurs...visibilities could drop in br towards dawn...mainly at tol/fdy where snowmelt is contributing moisture to the boundary layer. not expecting fog but can not entirely rule it out. otherwise winds will eventually shift around to the north/northeast by early evening on tuesday ahead of low pressure approaching the mid-mississippi valley. slowed down the arrival of precipitation with the approaching system...leaning more towards the nam. eventually will see rain begin at all sites tuesday night...with aviation conditions deteriorating as we transition to a wintry mix on wednesday. outlook...non vfr becoming widespread late tuesday night and continuing into wednesday night especially in the snow belt. non vfr friday night into saturday. && marine... southwest winds of 10 to 20 knots will decrease through midday then shift to the north by this evening. northerly winds will undergo rapid strengthening from late tonight into wednesday as low pressure deepens as it tracks through the ohio valley. the gradient really tightens up over the southern lakes region between the system to the south and high pressure strengthening over lake superior. a gale watch has been issued for the whole lake for wednesday with 35-40 knot gales expected. gusts to 50 knots will be possible and some movement of the ice sheet is expected. winds will drop off considerably by thursday as high pressure builds east across the region. southwesterly winds near 20 knots will develop on friday ahead of low pressure passing north of the lakes. the associated cold front will push south across the lake on saturday. && hydrology... flow into the rivers will continue again today with some snow melt flowing into a few of the area rivers. we are continuing to monitor an ice jam along the chagrin river near willoughby. if it continues to rise we may need to issue an areal flood warning. if you live near the chagrin take any precautions needed to protect your property. otherwise there will be a period of rain tonight into wednesday morning that will provide additional flow to all of the rivers. any ice jams will need to be monitored closely. law enforcement and emergency management from counties with rivers that flow into lake erie will be needed to help with warning decisions. another concern that could develop is the strong winds on the west side of the low on wednesday. the strong northerly winds may bring significant amounts of ice on lake erie back into the mouth of the rivers and could add to the ice jam problems. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...winter storm watch from late tonight through late wednesday night for ohz010>014-089. winter storm watch from late tonight through wednesday evening for ohz003-006>009-017>019. winter storm watch from wednesday morning through late wednesday night for ohz020>023-029>031. winter storm watch from wednesday morning through wednesday evening for ohz027-028-036-037. pa...winter storm watch from late tonight through late wednesday night for paz001>003. marine...gale watch from wednesday morning through wednesday evening for lez061-142>149-162>169. && $$ synopsis...mullen near term...mullen short term...mullen long term...kec aviation...kec marine...kec hydrology...mullen hr. fzus51 kcle 110818 nshcle nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 418 am edt tue mar 11 2014 for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie lez142>146-111415- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh- avon point to willowick oh- 418 am edt tue mar 11 2014 ..gale watch in effect from wednesday morning through wednesday evening... today...southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. mostly cloudy. tonight...northeast winds 10 knots or less increasing to 15 to 25 knots overnight. a chance of rain in the evening...then rain and snow overnight. wednesday...northeast winds to 30 knots becoming north gales to 35 knots in the afternoon. rain and freezing rain in the morning. snow. wednesday night...north winds to 35 knot gales...decreasing to 15 to 25 knots. snow showers likely in the evening...then a chance of snow showers overnight. waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered. see lake erie open lakes forecast for thursday through saturday. the water temperature off toledo is 34 degrees...off cleveland 34 degrees and off erie 34 degrees. $$ lez147>149-111415- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh- conneaut oh to ripley ny- 418 am edt tue mar 11 2014 ..gale watch in effect from wednesday morning through wednesday evening... today...southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest 10 knots or less. mostly cloudy. tonight...northeast winds 10 knots or less increasing to 10 to 20 knots. a chance of rain in the evening...then rain overnight. wednesday...northeast winds to 30 knots becoming north gales to 35 knots in the afternoon. rain and freezing rain in the morning. snow. wednesday night...north winds to 35 knot gales...decreasing to 20 to 25 knots. snow showers in the evening...then a chance of snow showers overnight. waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered. see lake erie open lakes forecast for thursday through saturday. the water temperature off toledo is 34 degrees...off cleveland 34 degrees and off erie 34 degrees. $$ hr. Forecast.io Toledo hi-lo temp predictions * today, Tue, Mar 11 : 44 and 37 * Wed, Mar 12 : 37 and 13 * Thu, Mar 13 : 24 and 0 * Fri, Mar 14 : 46 and 25 * Sat, Mar 15 : 42 and 33 * Sun, Mar 16 : 34 and 23 * Mon, Mar 17 : 30 and 16 * Tue, Mar 18 : 44 and 21 #toledo - #weather