Toledo Weather - Fri, Apr 4, 2014 hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 408 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ohz003-006>008-017-018-027-050815- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-hancock-seneca-wyandot- 408 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ...flood watch in effect until 2 pm edt this afternoon... ...wind advisory in effect from 2 pm this afternoon to 11 pm edt this evening... this hazardous weather outlook is for northwest ohio. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. flood watch. wind advisory. .days two through seven...saturday through thursday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. flood watch national weather service cleveland oh 325 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ohz003-006>008-017-018-027-041530- /o.con.kcle.fa.a.0002.140404t0800z-140404t1800z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-hancock-seneca-wyandot- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...findlay...tiffin...upper sandusky...carey 325 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ...flood watch remains in effect until 2 pm edt this afternoon... the flood watch continues for * a portion of northwest ohio...including the following areas... hancock...lucas...ottawa...sandusky...seneca...wood and wyandot. * until 2 pm edt this afternoon * additional rain is expected through noon today. even though rainfall amounts will be a third of an inch or less...the ground is saturated so any additional rainfall will cause additional rises in streams and rivers. precautionary/preparedness actions... a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. you should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. stay tuned to weather radio for further details or updates hr. flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 546 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... portage river at woodville black river at elyria blanchard river near findlay maumee river near grand rapids maumee river at waterville scioto river near larue killbuck creek near killbuck eagle creek above findlay precautionary/preparedness actions... never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown! stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further details and updates. && ohc095-173-041746- /o.con.kcle.fl.w.0028.140404t1952z-000000t0000z/ /grro1.2.er.140404t1952z.140406t0000z.000000t0000z.no/ 546 am edt fri apr 4 2014 the flood warning continues for the maumee river near grand rapids. * from this afternoon until further notice. * at 2:00 pm thursday the stage was 5.1 feet. * flood stage is 15.0 feet. * moderate flooding is forecast. * forecast...rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and rise to near 17.9 feet by saturday evening. * at 16.5 feet...thurston state park flooded. low lying land near grand rapids floods. * at 15.0 feet...lowland flooding near the town of grand rapids and secondary roads. $$ flood warning flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 546 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... portage river at woodville black river at elyria blanchard river near findlay maumee river near grand rapids maumee river at waterville scioto river near larue killbuck creek near killbuck eagle creek above findlay precautionary/preparedness actions... never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown! stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further details and updates. && ohc095-173-041746- /o.con.kcle.fl.w.0029.140404t1101z-000000t0000z/ /wtvo1.2.er.140404t1101z.140406t0600z.000000t0000z.no/ 546 am edt fri apr 4 2014 the flood warning continues for the maumee river at waterville. * until further notice. * at 5:00 am friday the stage was 8.7 feet. * flood stage is 9.0 feet. * moderate flooding is forecast. * forecast...rise above flood stage this morning and rise to near 12.8 feet by early sunday morning. * at 12.0 feet...the side cut metro park is inundated. * at 9.0 feet...flooding occurs in lowland areas near the river. hr. short term forecast national weather service cleveland oh 712 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ohz003-006>014-018>023-030>033-038-089-paz002-003-041315- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull- ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-holmes-ashtabula lakeshore- southern erie-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... jefferson...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron...ravenna... warren...ashland...wooster...canton...youngstown...millersburg... ashtabula...edinboro...meadville 712 am edt fri apr 4 2014 .now... areas of dense fog are reducing visibilities to a quarter of a mile or less in some locations. the fog will gradually lift over the next few hours as the wind starts to increase from the south and rain begins to fall. hr. urgent - weather message national weather service cleveland oh 333 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ...a cold front crossing the area will bring strong winds this afternoon and evening... ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>029-036-037-041545- /o.new.kcle.wi.y.0002.140404t1800z-140405t0300z/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot- crawford-richland-marion-morrow- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk... upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...marion... mount gilead 333 am edt fri apr 4 2014 ...wind advisory in effect from 2 pm this afternoon to 11 pm edt this evening... the national weather service in cleveland has issued a wind advisory...which is in effect from 2 pm this afternoon to 11 pm edt this evening. * winds...20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph. * timing...2 pm this afternoon through 11 pm tonight. * impacts...loose objects may be blow around and driving high profile vehicles may be difficult. precautionary/preparedness actions... a wind advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. motorists in high profile vehicles should use caution until the winds subside. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further details or updates. hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Apr 4, 2014 6:14 am Today: Showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a slight chance of showers between 4pm and 5pm. Areas of fog before 9am. High near 55. Breezy, with an east wind 6 to 11 mph becoming southwest 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. West wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 27. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Sunday Night: A slight chance of rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Monday: Rain, mainly after 8am. High near 48. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Night: Rain. Low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Breezy. hr. fxus61 kcle 041016 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 615 am edt fri apr 4 2014 synopsis... low pressure lifting across michigan will pull a cold front across the area today...followed by a reinforcing cold front tonight. high pressure will move across ohio early sunday then a low will quickly move northeast across ohio monday night. high pressure over the plains will slowly move east up the ohio valley wednesday. && near term /until 6 pm friday evening/... northern shield of shra with convective complex near the oh river working ne across the sw third of the cwa. the stronger convection further to the south this morning will continue act as a cutoff for the low level jet and keep the heavier precip further south. have adjusted pop and qpf to account for this. locally dense fog has begun to improve in the sw and this improvement will continue to work ne over the next few hours. after 8 am...daytime heating will add in to help lessen the fog. threat for tsra still exists today but airmass appears to be having a hard time trying to warm enough to get severe storms as better convection expected to stay south of the cwa. a windy day is in store for the area as the cold front makes its way across the region. gusts to 45 mph seem likely in the west so an advisory has been issued for this from fropa time until the end of the evening when winds should start settling down some. high temps today tricky as mos guidance based on skies staying fairly cloudy. any sunshine will make a big difference. warm sector trying to get pinched off in the north so mid 60s may be hard to come by there. && short term /6 pm friday evening through monday night/... cold advection with windy conditions...especially near leri tonight into midday sat. 850 mb winds mainly 40 knots tonight so don't expect many gusts of 45 mph beyond where the wind advisory will be in the west during the evening. wrap moisture with the upper low and colder air to mainly affect the snowbelt. shra should change to shsn or a mix of shsnra. sct and light nature of precip along with precip type should only allow for a half an inch or less of accumulation late tonight and sat morning for the snowbelt most places. dryer air with high pressure moving in later sat should put an end to lingering shsnra as the afternoon progresses. highs sat may not even make it to 40 in parts of the snowbelt while the sw should recover to be close to 50 degrees. the high crossing the area will provide dry but seasonally below normal temps sat night. more temp moderation takes place sun but there may be a lake breeze near leri so will continue to reflect the cooler temps near the lake. this dry spell will also be short-lived as another low will rapidly move nne from the lwr ms valley to cross oh mon eve. the models have slowed the arrival of rain with this system since yesterday's runs. may not see anything until after 12z mon. given track of sfc and upper low it looks like another good widespread rain across the cwa with seasonally cool temps...especially for lakeshore counties from tol to cle as ne winds come off of the chilly lake. colder air wraps in behind the low mon night while the upper trough should be right over the area. will have to watch to see if airmass temps can get just cold enough for a changeover to some wet snow by the end of the night. && long term /tuesday through thursday/... about a 12 hour difference between the models on tuesday as low pressure moves into ny. in any event it appears there will be higher chances of rain through at least tuesday morning. it again looks like there may be just enough cold air for some snow to mix in the the rain showers that linger into wednesday morning. high pressure returns for wednesday night but it will be nudged quickly southward on thursday as low pressure moves across western ontario. this should help to increase the southwest winds and bring some warmth back to the region. highs will be cooler than average tuesday into wednesday with highs ranging from the mid 40s to the lower 50s. warmer by thursday with highs near to slightly above seasonal averages. && aviation /06z friday through tuesday/... very moist airmass covers the region tonight and expect it to remain that way through the morning. ifr and lower conditions will occur at most locations. the only exception will be for the erie area until between 10z and 12z when winds begin to swing around to a southerly direction. rain will spread into the region from southwest to northeast through mid morning. there could be some embedded thunder and have covered this with a vicinity thunder mention in the tafs. the better chance of thunder will occur along a cold front that will sweep across the area through the day. as the front passes winds will increase and may gust in the 35 to 40 knot range. the strongest winds appear that they will be across the western half of the region. otherwise we will monitor for some low level wind shear through the morning as the low level jet noses into at least central ohio. will add this potential with amendments as needed. outlook...non vfr possible ne oh/nw pa into saturday. ifr possible all areas monday afternoon into tuesday. && marine... low pressure will deepen today is it moves from the western great lakes into ontario by this evening. winds just ahead of the front will increase to around 30 knots with stronger winds expected in the wake of the front. so with that said we have hoisted the gale warning for the lake. kept start times same as the previous forecast with 4pm west and 10pm east. as high pressure moves onto the lake saturday winds should subside fairly quick. the high will move east of the region on sunday allowing the next storm system to move northeast from the gulf coast. northeast to east winds will be on the increase sunday night and continue into monday. this low will be east of lake erie by tuesday morning with nw to north winds expected in its wake. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...flood watch through this afternoon for ohz009>011-019>023- 028>033-036>038-047. flood watch until 2 pm edt this afternoon for ohz003-006>008- 017-018-027. wind advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to 11 pm edt this evening for ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>029-036-037. pa...none. marine...gale warning from 10 pm this evening to 10 am edt saturday for lez061-147>149-167>169. gale warning from 4 pm this afternoon to 4 am edt saturday for lez142>146-162>166. && $$ synopsis...adams near term...adams short term...adams long term...mullen aviation...mullen marine...mullen hr. #toledo - #weather