Toledo weather - Mon, Jun 23, 2014

1:50 p.m. EDT

A severe thunderstorm currently exists in northwest Ohio, apparently headed toward southern Lucas County and northern Wood County.

Radar snapshot.
!http://toledotalk.com/images/radar-23jun2014-1347.gif!

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short term forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
124 pm edt mon jun 23 2014

a strong thunderstorm over extreme northwest ohio will continue to move east at 10 mph. the thunderstorm will move to western lucas and wood counties between 300 pm and 330 pm this afternoon. there is the possibility that the storm could produce strong gusty winds...very heavy rain...and cloud to ground lightning as it moves into the area.
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Latest warning statement:

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Statement as of 1:42 PM EDT on June 23, 2014
The National Weather Service in northern Indiana has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... extreme northeastern Defiance County in Northwest Ohio... southwestern Fulton County in Northwest Ohio... northwestern Henry County in Northwest Ohio... southeastern Williams County in Northwest Ohio...

* until 215 PM EDT

* at 136 PM EDT...a severe thunderstorm was located near Bryan...and moving east at 30 mph.

Hazard...quarter size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm...and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways!
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hr.

!http://toledotalk.com/weather/images/mcd1129.gif!

md 1129 concerning severe potential...watch possible for ecntrl il...nrn ind...far srn lower mi...nwrn oh


mesoscale discussion 1129
nws storm prediction center norman ok
1255 pm cdt mon jun 23 2014

areas affected...ecntrl il...nrn ind...far srn lower mi...nwrn oh

concerning...severe potential...watch possible 

valid 231755z - 232000z

probability of watch issuance...40 percent

summary...numerous storms expected across the warm sector this
afternoon. trends will be monitored for storm organization and the
possibility of a ww.

discussion...the warm sector across ern il/ind/wrn oh is heating and
destabilizing...resulting in mlcape values over 1500 j/kg /per
recent mesoanalysis/. the overall shear is relatively weak across
the warm sector with unidirectional swly flow leading to generally
less than 20 kts of deep-layer shear...thus...storms will generally
struggle to organize. one exception may be along/near the warm
front located near the srn lower mi border. another exception may
be farther west across ecntrl il ahead of the mcv...where shear may
be enhanced leading to more organized convection and a damaging wind
threat /supported by recent hrrr runs/.

..jirak/carbin.. 06/23/2014

...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

attn...wfo...cle...iln...dtx...iwx...grr...ind...lot...ilx...

lat...lon 40718891 41018845 41258822 41398793 41528766 41798672
42158624 42188572 42178508 42128437 42048391 41868356
41408360 41018383 40768424 40448511 40278578 40128610
39928671 39578718 39338770 39338833 39528871 39718905
39968918 40718891 



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