h1. 2014 Cleveland Browns Even though preseason does not count, it appears that the Browns are headed toward another major losing season, unless some surprises occur on offense. more. h2. Sep 2, 2014 The 2014 Browns offense may be worse than the 2013 version. Cleveland may be headed toward another four-win season. Five or six wins tops. Actually, a 6-10 season would be some improvement. One year ago, Brian Hoyer was listed as a third string quarterback for the Browns, and now, he's the starter. As of Sep 1, 2014, the Browns are only carrying two QBs. If this was a year ago, would Hoyer have made the team as the number three? Last week, the NFL suspended all-pro wide receiver Josh Gordon for the entire season. Last year, he missed the first two games, but he still put up amazing numbers. That was partly due to the fact that Cleveland threw the ball more than any other team, which was probably due to Cleveland trailing most of the time. Still, Gordon has raw talent, but apparently, he has little interest in playing in the NFL. The Browns will have to rely on rookie WRs. TE Cameron won't be the main receiver. The Browns leading rushers last year, such as they were, are not on this year's team. That's probably not a big loss. The Browns hope to feature the running game this season, but we'll see. At the moment, it appears that the Browns do not have any legitimate deep threat wide receivers, and Hoyer was not impressive this preseason, so it seems that opponents will jam the line of scrimmage to stop the Browns running game, and dare the Browns to complete a pass down field. The Browns strength will allegedly be its defense. Last year, fans and media felt the Browns had a good defense, but Cleveland ranked near the bottom in third down defense and near the bottom in red zone defense. Cleveland must improve a lot in those areas. Johnny Manziel may not have an NFL arm worthy of being a starting quarterback. He may be able to run around behind the line of scrimmage or run down field, but it's unsustainable in the long term. Completing less than 50 percent of the passes won't cut it. First game, Cleveland at Pittsburgh. The Steelers have a big edge over Cleveland in quarterback and in the running game. Defense? Don't know. h3. Predictions +Sep 2, 2014:+ Assuming no major injuries, I think the Bengals will win the division again with 11 or 12 wins, and the Steelers will finish second. Ravens third. Browns last. The Steelers may be good enough this season to make the playoffs as a wildcard. They finished 8-8 last year, and they nearly made the playoffs. If the Bengals stumble a little, then I think Pitt will challenge for the division title. Schedule and my predictions as of Sep 2, 2014: 1 Sun, Sep 7 @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 2 Sun, Sep 14 vs New Orleans 1:00 PM FOX - *LOSS* 3 Sun, Sep 21 vs Baltimore 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 4 BYE WEEK 5 Sun, Oct 5 @ Tennessee 1:00 PM CBS - **WIN** 6 Sun, Oct 12 vs Pittsburgh 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 7 Sun, Oct 19 @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 8 Sun, Oct 26 vs Oakland 4:25 PM CBS - **WIN** 9 Sun, Nov 2 vs Tampa Bay 1:00 PM FOX - **WIN** 10 Thu, Nov 6 @ Cincinnati 8:25 PM NFL - *LOSS* 11 Sun, Nov 16 vs Houston 1:00 PM CBS - **WIN** 12 Sun, Nov 23 @ Atlanta 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 13 Sun, Nov 30 @ Buffalo 1:00 PM CBS - **WIN** 14 Sun, Dec 7 vs Indianapolis 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 15 Sun, Dec 14 vs Cincinnati 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 16 Sun, Dec 21 @ Carolina 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* 17 Sun, Dec 28 @ Baltimore 1:00 PM CBS - *LOSS* Prediction: 5 wins and 11 losses. I think six wins would be the tops for Cleveland this season. The Browns do not have a top 16 QB, so they'll struggle. The other three divisional teams have QBs that lead their teams to the playoffs. I have the Browns going 0-6 within the division. The Browns should win at least one and maybe two divisional games. Maybe the home Ravens game. Divisional games are unpredictable. If the Browns go 2-4 within the division, then Cleveland would finish a respectable 7-9. Respectable for Cleveland. The problem is that Cleveland plays Pittsburgh twice in the first five games. Cleveland will need time to improve. Pitt finished last season well, so they may be significantly better than Cleveland at the start of the season. It's unfortunate that Cleveland's bye week occurs after only the third game. I would think teams would like that bye week to occur in the mid to late part of the season. Cleveland's home game versus Baltimore occurs in week three, which is probably too early for Cleveland who I expect will improve as the season wears on. If the home games against the Ravens and Steelers occurred late in the season, then I could see Cleveland winning. I think the Browns will struggle a lot in the first 3 to 5 games. h2. Browns Roster Info http://espn.go.com/nfl/team/roster/_/name/cle/cleveland-browns http://www.nfl.com/teams/roster?team=CLE br. +To start the regular season+ http://www.clevelandbrowns.com The Browns will start the season with 21 undrafted free agents. I have no context on that. I don't know if that's a high, low, or average number. * "New Browns receiver LaRon Byrd: 'I don’t want to just be a guy on the roster'":http://www.clevelandbrowns.com/news/article-1/New-Browns-receiver-LaRon-Byrd-I-don%E2%80%99t-want-to-just-be-a-guy-on-the-roster/2fdda471-f737-4de7-bc19-bd9cbb0c9dc2 * "Brian Hoyer makes one series count; Johnny Manziel puts on a show":http://www.clevelandbrowns.com/news/article-1/Brian-Hoyer-makes-one-series-count-Johnny-Manziel-puts-on-a-show/e250d482-37f8-4245-8335-410c4291fb17 * "Browns carrying three undrafted free agents on offense":http://www.clevelandbrowns.com/news/article-1/Browns-carrying-three-undrafted-free-agents-on-offense/7a54fff2-08e6-47ab-83cd-ad4e94fdb2c3 * "Browns reduce roster to 53":http://www.clevelandbrowns.com/news/article-1/Browns-reduce-roster-to-53/4553953d-05cc-45f6-9fc2-69b603734771 - Aug 30, 2014, so incomplete. br. +As of Sep 2, 2014+ 48 Agnew, Ray RB ACT 5'10" 247 2/26/1991 0 Southern Illinois 19 Austin, Miles WR ACT 6'2" 215 6/30/1984 9 Monmouth (N.J.) 24 Bademosi, Johnson CB ACT 6'0" 200 7/23/1990 3 Stanford 82 Barnidge, Gary TE ACT 6'6" 250 9/22/1985 7 Louisville 11 Benjamin, Travis WR ACT 5'10" 175 12/29/1989 3 Miami (Fla.) 38 Berry, Aaron DB ACT 5'9" 190 6/25/1988 5 Pittsburgh 75 Bitonio, Joel OT ACT 6'4" 305 10/11/1991 0 Nevada 62 Bowie, Michael OT RES 6'4" 332 9/25/1991 2 Northeastern State (Okla.) 95 Bryant, Armonty DE ACT 6'4" 265 5/20/1990 2 East Central (OK) 92 Bryant, Desmond DE ACT 6'6" 310 12/15/1985 6 Harvard 80 Byrd, LaRon WR ACT 6'4" 220 8/18/1989 3 Miami (Fla.) 84 Cameron, Jordan TE ACT 6'5" 249 8/8/1988 4 USC 59 Carder, Tank ILB ACT 6'2" 235 1/18/1989 3 Texas Christian 34 Crowell, Isaiah RB ACT 5'11" 225 1/8/1993 0 Alabama State 8 Cundiff, Billy K ACT 6'1" 212 3/30/1980 9 Drake 56 Dansby, Karlos ILB ACT 6'3" 251 11/3/1981 11 Auburn 26 Desir, Pierre CB ACT 6'2" 206 9/8/1990 0 Lindenwood 81 Dray, Jim TE ACT 6'5" 255 12/31/1986 5 Stanford 50 Eubanks, Darius ILB RES 6'2" 222 7/12/1991 2 Georgia Southern 18 Gabriel, Taylor WR ACT 5'8" 167 2/17/1991 0 Abilene Christian 21 Gilbert, Justin CB ACT 6'0" 202 11/7/1991 0 Oklahoma State 39 Gipson, Tashaun FS ACT 5'11" 205 8/7/1990 3 Wyoming 12 Gordon, Josh WR SUS 6'3" 225 4/13/1991 3 Baylor 77 Greco, John G ACT 6'4" 318 3/24/1985 7 Toledo 23 Haden, Joe CB ACT 5'11" 195 4/14/1989 5 Florida 74 Hauptmann, Caylin OT ACT 6'3" 300 7/10/1991 2 Florida International 16 Hawkins, Andrew WR ACT 5'7" 180 3/10/1986 4 Toledo 6 Hoyer, Brian QB ACT 6'2" 215 10/13/1985 6 Michigan State 93 Hughes, John DE ACT 6'2" 320 4/27/1988 3 Cincinnati 58 Kirksey, Christian OLB ACT 6'2" 235 8/31/1992 0 Iowa 67 Kitchen, Ishmaa'ily NT ACT 6'1" 330 8/24/1988 3 Kent State 17 Krause, Jonathan WR RES 5'11" 190 1/18/1992 0 Vanderbilt 99 Kruger, Paul OLB ACT 6'4" 270 2/15/1986 6 Utah 5 Lanning, Spencer P ACT 5'11" 200 5/21/1988 2 South Carolina 30 Leonhard, Jim DB ACT 5'8" 188 10/27/1982 10 Wisconsin 55 Mack, Alex C ACT 6'4" 311 11/19/1985 6 California 2 Manziel, Johnny QB ACT 6'0" 210 12/6/1992 0 Texas A&M 52 Martin, Eric LB ACT 6'2" 250 7/21/1991 2 Nebraska 74 McQuistan, Paul T ACT 6'6" 315 4/30/1983 9 Weber State 51 Mingo, Barkevious OLB ACT 6'4" 240 10/4/1990 2 LSU 15 Moore, Marlon WR SUS 6'0" 190 9/3/1987 5 Fresno State 42 Nelson, Robert DB ACT 5'9" 175 2/16/1990 0 Arizona State 33 Poyer, Jordan CB ACT 6'0" 191 4/25/1991 2 Oregon State 53 Robertson, Craig ILB ACT 6'1" 234 2/11/1988 3 North Texas 71 Rubin, Ahtyba DE ACT 6'2" 325 7/25/1986 7 Iowa State 72 Schwartz, Mitchell T ACT 6'5" 320 6/8/1989 3 California 62 Seymour, Ryan OG ACT 6'4" 301 2/7/1990 2 Vanderbilt 97 Sheard, Jabaal OLB ACT 6'3" 264 5/10/1989 4 Pittsburgh 22 Skrine, Buster CB ACT 5'9" 185 4/26/1989 4 Tennessee-Chattanooga 87 Smith, Andre TE RES 6'5" 270 9/26/1988 2 Virginia Tech 44 Tate, Ben RB ACT 5'10" 220 8/21/1988 5 Auburn 98 Taylor, Phillip NT ACT 6'3" 335 4/7/1988 4 Baylor 73 Thomas, Joe T ACT 6'6" 312 12/4/1984 8 Wisconsin 35 Trufant, Isaiah DB RES 5'7" 170 12/9/1982 4 Eastern Washington 20 West, Terrance RB ACT 5'10" 225 1/28/1991 0 Towson 31 Whitner, Donte SS ACT 5'10" 208 7/24/1985 9 Ohio State 36 Williams, K'Waun DB ACT 5'9" 183 7/12/1991 0 Pittsburgh 90 Winn, Billy DE ACT 6'4" 300 4/15/1989 3 Boise State 31 Winston, Glenn RB ACT 6'2" 220 4/29/1989 0 Northwood 57 Yount, Christian LS ACT 6'1" 250 7/8/1988 4 UCLA h2. NFL 2013 Stats * "Overall Defense":http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=2&defensiveStatisticCategory=GAME_STATS&conference=ALL&role=OPP&season=2013&seasonType=REG&d-447263-s=TOTAL_YARDS_GAME_AVG&d-447263-o=1&d-447263-n=1 * "Overall Offense":http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=2&offensiveStatisticCategory=GAME_STATS&conference=ALL&role=TM&season=2013&seasonType=REG&d-447263-s=TOTAL_YARDS_GAME_AVG&d-447263-o=2&d-447263-n=1 * "Red Zone Defense":http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-red-zone-scoring-pct * "Third Down Defense":http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-third-down-conversion-pct h2. 2014 Week One Browns at Steelers Sunday Sep 7, 2014 - 1:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA | Odds: Pittsburgh by 6.5, Total Points: 41 http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/matchup/browns-steelers-week-1-2014 Their "Likely Score" prediction: Pitt 23 - Clev 20. "Vegas Implied" prediction: Pitt 23.8 - 17.2. h2. Rookie Quarterbacks News info as of Sep 2, 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/sports/wp/2014/08/27/lack-of-rookie-starting-qbs-entering-season-goes-against-recent-nfl-trend/ http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/writer/jason-la-canfora/24684535/ten-bold-nfl-predictions-plenty-of-rookie-qbs-will-start-in-2014 http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/09/02/dennis-allen-derek-carr-can-lead-us-to-victory/ Derek Carr will be the only rookie QB to start week one. From the CBS Sports story predictions for this season: q. 1. At least seven rookie QBs start games this season: As I write this, the entire rookie class of quarterbacks was still slated to open the season holding a clipboard. But soon enough that will change. Their teams will struggle, the veteran incumbents were always on a short leash and as the weeks go by more and more of these kids will be flinging the ball. I still wouldn't be shocked to see Derek Carr be the first to start, though his injury has slowed that process, while Blake Bortles and Johnny Manziel will be starting by October, I reckon. Teddy Bridgewater is there by midseason, I say. And, due to injuries or otherwise, I bet at least two more do as well. Zach Mettenberger and Tom Savage would get my early nod to be those guys. 5. One North rises; One North Falls: The AFC North is back, ya'll. Three of those teams will reach the postseason -- which we've seen before. The Bengals are loaded and the Ravens and Steelers are getting back to where they are accustomed to being. On the NFC side, however, the Packers will run away with things and the rest of the group will be shuffling along. q.. #sports - #nfl - #browns - #blog_jr