h1. Toledo Weather - Fri, May 29, 2015 Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: May 29, 2015 6:29 am Today: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 9 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. High near 78. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of showers after midnight. Low around 49. Northeast wind 16 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Sunday: A chance of showers before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Northeast wind 14 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Monday: Sunny, with a high near 68. Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. page created: May 29, 2015 - 8:15 a.m. EDT hr. link fxus61 kcle 291341 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 941 am edt fri may 29 2015 synopsis... high pressure will move off the new england coast today allowing a cold front to move into the central great lakes this evening. this cold front should sweep across the region saturday. cool canadian high pressure will try to build in from the north on sunday. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... an area of showers over northwest ohio continues to lift north this morning. water vapor channel shows a mid level moisture plume from the carolinas northwest into ohio with these showers on the leading edge of this feature which is being overtopped by upper level moisture/cirrus moving in from the west. the downscaled nam forecast from yesterday indicated the present activity rather well. radar mosaic also shows a few returns over over east central ohio which will lift north into the canton-akron area. we will increase pop today over the sw counties especially and over most of the remaining ohio counties. will add isolated thunder too. made corresponding cloud cover adjustments. && short term /6 pm this evening through monday night/... the late afternoon showers will drift slowly northward through the evening and should exit the county warning area after midnight. we will then wait for the cold front and better lift to arrive saturday. at this point it looks like the showers and thunder will ramp up through the morning with all locations getting at least one round of rain by mid afternoon. the severe threat is a difficult call. cloud cover should limit the heating some as the main jet energy remains over ontario and quebec. however there is a 30 to 40 knot low level jet that may be enough to initiate some stronger convection late morning into early afternoon ahead of the main line of showers and thunderstorms. will still mention severe in the hwo but confidence in its occurrence has decreased slightly. the main cold front will take its time to cross the county warning area with showers likely lingering into sunday morning. all of the showers should be east of the region by sunday evening with cooler and drier air anticipated. skies will clear sunday night with lows dipping into the 40s at most locations. sunday will be the cool day of the weekend with cloud cover and lingering showers holding highs in the 60s...maybe only upper 50s across nw pa. warmer on monday with sunshine. highs will rebound to the upper 60s and lower 70s. && long term /tuesday through thursday/... the models are now showing the cutoff upper low staying over the gulf coast while upper ridging builds over ohio. will carry only minimal pops for widely sct convection for mainly the afternoon and evening. temps should show a warming trend with above normal readings for wed and thu. && aviation /12z friday through tuesday/... winds turning se then south today will bring increasing moisture back into the area. any patchy fog will dissipate by 13z. threat for shra/tsra will be increasing during the day into evening as a warm front lifts across the area. sct tsra will likely hang around tonight as the airmass remains unstable ahead of an approaching cold front. as far as tsra at any given taf site...will use vcts for now then when the threat becomes more definite then more emphasis can be places on timing at specific sites. outlook...non vfr conditions saturday in shra/tsra. non vfr possible into sunday. && marine... south winds should gradually increase to 10 to 20 knots ahead of a cold front that will cross the lake later on sat. winds turn north sat eve then ne later sat night and look to increase to 15 to 25 knots with waves building to about 4 to 6 feet so a sca will be needed for this time. winds and waves slowly subside sun night into tue while remaining east. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... pa...none. ny...none. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...mullen near term...laplante short term...mullen long term...adams aviation...adams marine...adams #toledo #weather