Toledo Weather - Sun, May 31, 2015 TOL: May 31, 2015 6:52 pm Weather : Overcast Temperature : 50 F Humidity : 89% Wind Speed : NNE 16 mph - Gust 24 mph Barometer : 30.14 in Dewpoint: 47 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Wind Chill : 44 F Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: May 31, 2015 5:14 pm Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 45. North wind 8 to 13 mph. Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph. Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light north after midnight. Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 69. East wind 6 to 14 mph. Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 72. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. page created: May 31, 2015 - 7:15 p.m. EDT hr. coastal hazard message national weather service cleveland oh 405 pm edt sun may 31 2015 ...gusty winds will cause hazardous swimming conditions... .a cold front near the south shore of lake erie will continue to move south today as low pressure tracks east across ohio into pennsylvania. high pressure will begin to build south across the area on tuesday. ohz003-007>012-089-paz001-010415- /o.con.kcle.bh.s.0001.000000t0000z-150601t1500z/ lucas-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake- ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie- 405 pm edt sun may 31 2015 ...beach hazards statement remains in effect through monday morning... * hazards...high wave action and dangerous swimming conditions expected. * timing...early sunday morning through monday morning. * location...the entire lake erie shoreline from maumee bay to ripley new york including the following beaches...maumee bay state park...east harbor state park...huntington beach... kelleys island state park...headlands beach state park... presque isle state park and all private beaches. * potential impacts...northeast winds of 20 to 30 knots will create large waves of 4 to 8 feet along the lake erie shoreline. this will cause dangerous currents to develop making swimming hazardous. precautionary/preparedness actions... swimming risk exists today. the combination of wind and or waves will make for potentially dangerous conditions for swimmers including the risk of rip currents. follow the instruction of local authorities or stay out of the water. hr. fxus61 kcle 312259 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 659 pm edt sun may 31 2015 synopsis... low pressure over the upper ohio valley will move east tonight. cool high pressure over the northern great lakes will slowly move east the first half of the week. moisture from the south may begin to spread across the area thursday and friday ahead of a cold front late in the week. && near term /through monday/... showers and thunderstorms are exiting to the east at this time and should be out of the area in the next hour or so. however...will keep a chance of showers in the northeast as flow pushes around to a more northerly direction. cant rule out a possible shower over northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania. otherwise...rest of the area should be mainly dry overnight as moisture pulls out slowly to the east. temperatures continue to hold steady across the northern areas but seeing temperatures fall dramatically as the wave of low pressure pushes east into pennsylvania. previous discussion... the back edge of the rain was moving northeast at about 20 mph and should be moving east of the the cleveland/akron area during the late afternoon. rainfall rates have increased over the last couple of hours...mainly in the convective cells east of cle. the majority of the convection should be from the i-77 corridor and eastward from late afternoon on. will trim the flood watch to areas where rain and convection might still be ongoing...eastern cuyahoga county to summit county and eastward. the remaining showers will pull out from west to east overnight although a few light showers/drizzle could linger across northeast oh and northwest pa overnight. lows from the mid 40s in the colder spots of northwest ohio to the upper 40s and lower 50s elsewhere. clouds and a breeze should continue. && short term /monday night through wednesday night/... model soundings show that high level clouds will linger on monday but drier air should begin to filter into the mid levels and subsidence should increase. cannot rule out some lingering light showers or drizzle especially across northeast oh and northwest pa. still cool with highs only in the upper 50s and lower 60s. the high clouds should continue to thin on tuesday. not much cumulus is expected so we should begin to see sunshine return. high temps will likely jump up around 70 except cooler near lake erie with a continued northeast flow. the models are uncertain on how fast or how far the upper low may begin to lift out later in the week. wednesday will likely remain dry with enough high pressure across the great lakes. highs back up to near normal. && long term /thursday through sunday/... models differ on how much moisture will move northward from low pressure that is expected to move across the southeastern us. for now have gone with slight chances of thunder thursday into early friday. by friday afternoon there may be enough heating to boost thunder chances into the chance category. another front is expected to move southward across the region friday night into saturday but models differ on how fast this will occur. one of the models doesn't move the front south of the region saturday afternoon/evening. it will continue to be warm through the long term with highs into the 80s. && aviation /18z sunday through friday/... low pressure over central ohio will continue to move eastward through the evening. rain wraps from southern ontario to nw ohio but is shifting eastward with the low. locations where the rain has ended are seeing ceilings lift to low end mvfr. the southeastern portion of the area...including kcak and kyng...have mixed a bit with ceilings briefly bouncing to vfr. however as the showers return mvfr conditions are expected. cant completely rule out some thunder across the east but chances seem low enough to only go with a vicinity mention. there will be brief ifr with the stronger showers. as the colder air spills across lake erie this evening into the overnight hours there should at least be a period of ifr cloud cover. best chances of this occurring will be east and north of a line from sandusky to kmfd to to kcak to kyng. winds will be southwest to south for kcak to kyng through 20z or 21z as the low shifts eastward. all locations will then be northeast and gusty through the evening. the strongest wind gusts will be near the lakeshore with a few gusts up to 40 knots possible. winds will decrease after midnight as they shift to the north but will remain around 10 knots. outlook...non vfr likely monday...continuing monday night in ne oh/nw pa. && marine... low pressure over central ohio will weaken as it moves eastward across pa tonight. is it does high pressure will build over the lake and eventually become centered over lake huron tuesday afternoon. this will allow the 30 knot northeast winds to decrease through this evening. as winds become northerly they should decrease but may continue to cause some larger waves into monday morning. will keep the small craft and beach hazards going in their current configuration. easterly winds will once again increase on wednesday but should not exceed 15 knots. winds look as if they become light and variable thursday into friday. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... pa...beach hazards statement through monday morning for paz001. flood watch until 10 pm edt this evening for paz001>003. ny...none. marine...small craft advisory until 10 am edt monday for lez144>149. small craft advisory until 4 am edt monday for lez142-143. && $$ synopsis...kosarik near term...kosarik/lombardy short term...kosarik long term...mullen aviation...mullen marine...mullen hr. fzus51 kcle 312236 aaa nshcle nearshore marine forecast...updated national weather service cleveland oh 636 pm edt sun may 31 2015 for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie lez142-143-010215- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- 636 pm edt sun may 31 2015 ..small craft advisory in effect until 4 am edt monday... tonight...northeast winds 15 to 25 knots. cloudy. a chance of rain showers this evening...then a slight chance of rain showers after midnight. waves 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. monday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy. waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. monday night...northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. partly cloudy. waves 1 to 3 feet. tuesday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming east. mostly sunny. waves 2 feet or less. see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday. the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 56 degrees and off erie 62 degrees. $$ lez144>147-010215- the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh- avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 636 pm edt sun may 31 2015 ..small craft advisory in effect through monday morning... tonight...northeast winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots. cloudy with a chance of rain showers. waves 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. monday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. cloudy. waves 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. monday night...northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy. waves 1 to 3 feet. tuesday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly sunny. waves 2 feet or less. see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday. the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 56 degrees and off erie 62 degrees. $$ lez148-149-010215- geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny- 636 pm edt sun may 31 2015 ..small craft advisory in effect through monday morning... tonight...northeast winds to 30 knots diminishing to 20 to 25 knots. rain showers. waves 5 to 8 feet. monday...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. cloudy with a chance of rain showers. waves 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. monday night...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy. waves 1 to 3 feet. tuesday...northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. mostly sunny. waves 2 feet or less. see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday. the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 56 degrees and off erie 62 degrees. hr. 7:25 p.m. forecast.io data Toledo Area Forecast Summaries (using forecast.io data) Now: Overcast 51 F - NNE at 12 mph Next 24 Hours: Mostly cloudy throughout the day. Next 7 Days: Light rain today through Saturday, with temperatures rising to 82�F on Friday. Weather for Toledo More at Forecast.io 51� and rising Overcast Wind: 12 mph (N) Today 56� 50� Mon 65� 49� Tue 67� 51� Wed 71� 54� Thu 80� 59� Fri 82� 65� Sat 72� 61� Sun 74� 58� !https://farm1.staticflickr.com/432/18137532429_b394c9f7e8_o.png! #toledo #weather