h1. Toledo weather mon jun 22 2015 - Part 2 #toledo #weather Part 1 [[Toledo weather mon jun 22 2015]] hazardous weather outlook...updated national weather service cleveland oh 634 pm edt mon jun 22 2015 for lake erie...north central ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...tonight. another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is possible overnight. damaging winds will be the primary threat. .days two through seven...tuesday through sunday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. hr. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 537 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0525 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 S SANDUSKY 41.43N 82.71W 06/22/2015 ERIE OH LAW ENFORCEMENT FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED NEAR PERKINS AVENUE IN SANDUSKY && $$ ZPS 000 NWUS51 KCLE 222137 LSRCLE PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 537 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 ...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0525 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 S SANDUSKY 41.43N 82.71W 06/22/2015 ERIE OH LAW ENFORCEMENT FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED NEAR PERKINS AVENUE IN SANDUSKY && $$ ZPS hr. the warm front moved through late this afternoon or early this evening. it help fire up the remnants of the midwest MCS that wreaked havoc over MN, IL, and WI. behind the warm front, our temps have increased this evening with the stronger s-sw winds. our dew points are now in the low 70s at 8:00 p.m. wow. TOL: Jun 22, 2015 7:52 pm Weather : A Few Clouds Temperature : 84 F Humidity : 65% Wind Speed : SSW 17 mph - Gust 25 mph Barometer : 29.80 in Dewpoint: 71 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 89 F (formerly Metcalf Airport) Jun 22, 2015 7:53 pm Weather : A Few Clouds and Breezy Temperature : 85 F Humidity : 63% Wind Speed : SSW 23 mph - Gust 32 mph Barometer : 29.82 in Dewpoint: 71 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 90 F (near Lambertville) Jun 22, 2015 7:55 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 85 F Humidity : 67% Wind Speed : SSW 9 mph Barometer : 29.80 in Dewpoint: 73 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 92 F hr. The warm front moved through our area late this afternoon or early this evening. Behind the front, our wind speeds have increased to 15 to 30 mph from the south-southwest, causing our temps to rise a few degrees this evening. At 8:00 p.m., Toledo area temps were in the mid 80s with dew point temps in the low 70s. Conditions are certainly ripe at the low levels. A line of thundershowers formed recently in central lower Michigan, and this line is dropping southeastward. We could get some rain from this, but I don't think this is the main weather system for late tonight. I think that the severe thunderstorms currently over Wisconsin will also drop southeastward, and this could be our main weather issue after Midnight. Strong storms currently exist in Illinois and Iowa, moving eastward. I'm unsure what their role will be in our weather. Tornado warned counties currently exist in Wisconsin and Illinois. hr. !http://toledotalk.com/weather/images/mcd1124.gif! md 1124 concerning severe potential...tornado watch likely for srn lower mi...nwrn oh...nrn indiana...nern il mesoscale discussion 1124 nws storm prediction center norman ok 0731 pm cdt mon jun 22 2015 areas affected...srn lower mi...nwrn oh...nrn indiana...nern il concerning...severe potential...tornado watch likely valid 230031z - 230130z probability of watch issuance...80 percent summary...tornado watch may be required by 01z from lower mi swwd into nern il. discussion...large scale ascent appears to be increasing across lower mi per expanding elevated convection that is evolving atop boundary layer stratus. while 00z sounding at dtx is notably capped...800mb temperature is 7c cooler at grb in closer proximity to short-wave trough. cooling profiles across this region should contribute to weaker inhibition over the next few hours and elevated convection is expected to strengthen and near-sfc based tstms will likely evolve with time...especially over srn lower mi into nrn indiana. shear profiles strongly support deep rotating updrafts and given the instability observed supercells should evolve. additionally...discrete supercell over nrn il is expected to track sewd along decayed outflow boundary to the south side of the chicago metro area over the next few hours. this activity could spread into nwrn indiana later this evening. ..darrow/carbin.. 06/23/2015 ...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... attn...wfo...cle...dtx...iwx...grr...ind...lot...ilx... lat...lon 42128801 43908330 42748214 41588379 40368769 42128801 hr. WOUS64 KWNS 230114 WOU8 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 338 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 915 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 338 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ILC075-091-197-230700- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0338.150623T0115Z-150623T0700Z/ IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE IROQUOIS KANKAKEE WILL INC003-007-015-017-033-039-049-069-073-085-087-089-091-099-103- 111-113-127-131-141-149-151-157-169-171-181-183-230700- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0338.150623T0115Z-150623T0700Z/ IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN BENTON CARROLL CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON HUNTINGTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN TIPPECANOE WABASH WARREN WHITE WHITLEY MIC005-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-049-057-059-063-065-067- 075-077-087-091-093-099-115-125-145-147-149-151-155-157-159-161- 163-230700- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0338.150623T0115Z-150623T0700Z/ MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGAN BARRY BAY BERRIEN BRANCH CALHOUN CASS CLINTON EATON GENESEE GRATIOT HILLSDALE HURON INGHAM IONIA JACKSON KALAMAZOO LAPEER LENAWEE LIVINGSTON MACOMB MONROE OAKLAND SAGINAW SANILAC SHIAWASSEE ST. CLAIR ST. JOSEPH TUSCOLA VAN BUREN WASHTENAW WAYNE OHC039-051-069-125-171-230700- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0338.150623T0115Z-150623T0700Z/ OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEFIANCE FULTON HENRY PAULDING WILLIAMS LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441-442-443-462-463-464- 230700- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0338.150623T0115Z-150623T0700Z/ CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ST. CLAIR RIVER DETROIT RIVER LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION) MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN BORDER LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN BORDER ATTN...WFO...LOT...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND... hr. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 338 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 915 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ILLINOIS NORTHERN INDIANA SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NORTHWEST OHIO LAKE ERIE LAKE HURON * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 915 PM UNTIL 300 AM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING AS A STRONG UPPER JET AND COLD FRONT APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST. A WARM AND VERY MOIST AIRMASS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL FUEL ROBUST STORM UPDRAFTS AMIDST INTENSIFYING DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELDS. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT BOTH SUPERCELL AND FAST-MOVING LINE SEGMENTS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE TORNADOES. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF MOUNT CLEMENS MICHIGAN TO 45 MILES NORTH OF CHAMPAIGN ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 335...WW 336...WW 337... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035. hr. The SPC issued a mesoscale discussion at 8:31 p.m. EDT, followed by a tornado watch at 9:15 p.m. that includes part of the Toledo area. The tornado watch is in effect until 3:00 a.m. mesoscale discussion: !https://farm1.staticflickr.com/294/18881421670_50a64816b7.jpg! br. tornado watch !https://farm4.staticflickr.com/3880/18881341678_9eeb4f890d.jpg! br. From the SPC, the primary threats within the tornado watch box include: * a couple tornadoes possible * scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible * scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible More from the tornado watch summary: q. thunderstorms are likely to increase in coverage and intensity this evening as a strong upper jet and cold front approach the region from the west. a warm and very moist airmass across the watch area will fuel robust storm updrafts amidst intensifying deep-layer wind fields. this should support both supercell and fast-moving line segments with damaging winds...large hail...and possibly a couple tornadoes. q.. hr. Tornado Warning Statement as of 9:44 PM EDT on June 22, 2015 The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a * Tornado Warning for... southeastern Saginaw County in southeastern Michigan... southwestern Tuscola County in southeastern Michigan... * until 1030 PM EDT * at 944 PM EDT... a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Birch Run... moving east at 40 mph. Hazard... tornado and quarter size hail. Source... radar indicated rotation. Impact... flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs... windows and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Frankenmuth and Birch Run around 955 PM EDT. Millington around 1010 PM EDT. Otter Lake around 1020 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Burt... Fostoria and Fosters. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Take cover now! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors... in a Mobile home... or in a vehicle... move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Lat... Lon 4333 8398 4332 8335 4324 8335 4323 8346 4322 8346 4322 8393 4326 8400 time... Mot... loc 0144z 284deg 35kt 4328 8390 Tornado... radar indicated hail... 1.00in Mann