h1. toledo weather fri jun 26 2015 #toledo #weather flood watch national weather service cleveland oh 501 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood threat saturday with low pressure system... a strong low pressure system will track up the ohio valley on friday night and deepen over northern ohio on saturday. steady rainfall is expected through most of friday night and saturday...with bouts of moderate to heavy rain. the low will be slow moving...and an excessive amount of rain will fall across the area within a relatively short time frame. ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-261715- /o.new.kcle.fa.a.0003.150627t0000z-150628t0800z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage- trumbull-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning- marion-morrow-holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie- southern erie-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... jefferson...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron... ravenna...warren...upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield... ashland...wooster...canton...youngstown...marion...mount gilead... millersburg...mount vernon...ashtabula...erie...edinboro... meadville 501 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood watch in effect from this evening through late saturday night... the national weather service in cleveland has issued a * flood watch for portions of ohio and northwest pennsylvania... including the following areas...in ohio...ashland...ashtabula inland...ashtabula lakeshore...crawford...cuyahoga...erie oh... geauga...hancock...holmes...huron...knox...lake...lorain... lucas...mahoning...marion...medina...morrow...ottawa... portage...richland...sandusky...seneca...stark...summit... trumbull...wayne...wood and wyandot. in northwest pennsylvania...crawford pa...northern erie and southern erie. * from this evening through late saturday night * a slow moving low pressure will deepen across the area then linger through sunday...bringing steady rains. in general a widespread 2 to 4 inches of rain will fall by late saturday night. * flooding...especially in urban areas...can occur very quickly...primarily at underpasses and poor drainage areas. quick rises on area creeks and streams will be likely from the heavy rainfall. precautionary/preparedness actions... a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. you should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. stay tuned to weather radio for further details or updates && $$ hazardous weather outlook hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 502 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-270915- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull- wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow- holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie- crawford pa- 502 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood watch in effect from this evening through late saturday night... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. flood watch. .days two through seven...saturday through thursday. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. flood watch. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 437 am edt fri jun 26 2015 synopsis... a wave of low pressure will deepen into a closed low by friday afternoon across eastern missouri. the low will track up the ohio valley towards lake erie on saturday and strengthen into a large frontal system. the low will linger across ohio through sunday. a surface ridge will briefly build in monday night before another weaker low dives out the upper midwest across northern ohio on tuesday. && near term /through tonight/... a stationary front extending from the southern rockies to the virginia piedmont will continue to bring periods of unsettled weather across the midsection of the country today. the trend has been for nocturnal disturbances to flare along the boundary and propogate eastward. the nearest cluster of thunderstorms is located across southern indiana. expect this area to glance the area with mostly mid and high clouds for the first half of the day. swrn part of the fa could even see a few light showers this morning. next disturbance down the line arrives just after 18z in the fdy and tol areas. this precip will be the precursor to the large low pressure system that will begin to affect the area fri night. increased pops out west to account for the earlier timing of the rain/thunder...then steadily advance pops east through the afternoon. of course eastern cities have the better chance of seeing fewer clouds/precip initially during the day. highs were adjusted down a few degrees in the western two thirds of the area based on the earlier onset of clouds and rain. && short term /saturday through sunday night/... a series of disturbances embedded along a frontal boundary will merge across the heartland and deepen as a 700mb trof drops se from the upper midwest. ul jet location will be ideal for rapid deepening of the sfc low which all models show happening. the latest ec shows the low bottoming out at 995 mb across northern ohio by saturday afternoon. the other available guidance isn't too far off that mark. this would be an unseasonably deep low for this time of year. guidance consistently shows 2 to 4 inches qpf through late saturday night. given the relatively low capes...this system should bring mostly non-convective steady rain with periods of moderate to heavy rain. this will cut back on the flash flood threat some. however...flooding is still a concern with steady prolonged rains and saturated soils. a lull in the rain will likely occur during the late afternoon with a dry slot...but rain should pick up again with ample wraparound moisture and occlusion of the low. a flood watch is in effect from 8pm sat to 4am sun. the low eventually pulls out early sun morning and conditions improve through the afternoon/evening as a ridge extension wedges in from the south. && long term /monday through thursday/... unsettled weather is expected during the long term period as a long wave trough gets established over the eastern conus. have again been unable to find a dry period. differences between the models remain this morning so confidence in timing the waves of precip is low today. it appears best chances for precip will occur tuesday and tuesday night ahead of an approaching cold front. this front will cross the area sometime wednesday and then stall out. below normal temperatures can be expected next week with highs mainly in the middle 70s. && aviation /06z friday through tuesday/... cigs have improved and most areas are now vfr. big question is how long that will last...given the deep moisture just to the south expect the southern taf sites to dip to mvfr with vsbys and cigs overnight. conditions will improve to vfr during the morning hours. precip will spread back across the area late in the taf period beginning near kfdy later this afternoon. cigs should again drop to mvfr soon after the precip starts. light and variable flow will become e to ne during the day. outlook...widespread non vfr expected friday night through sunday in widespread rain. && marine... it will not be a good weekend for boating on lake erie. east to northeast flow will develop today as low pressure heads northeast out of the central plains. speeds will begin to increase tonight and gales appear likely for saturday. per coordination with yyz and dtx will go ahead and issue a gale watch. suspect day crew will go with a warning in a few hours. will also have to worry about lakeshore flooding especially given the water levels on the lake. the surface low will pass just to the southeast of the lake saturday night with the winds become northerly. speeds should diminish after midnight. westerly flow will develop on sunday. a ridge will cross the lake on monday briefly changing the flow to southerly. another low will cross the lake monday night into tuesday with winds again becoming westerly. will likely need small craft headlines behind this system. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...flood watch from this evening through late saturday night for ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089. pa...flood watch from this evening through late saturday night for paz001>003. marine...gale watch from saturday morning through late saturday night for lez142>149-162>169. && $$ synopsis...mayers near term...mayers short term...mayers long term...kubina aviation...kubina marine...kubina hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Jun 26, 2015 9:57 am This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. East wind 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 59. Northeast wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 67. Breezy, with a northeast wind 18 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 55. Breezy, with a northwest wind 18 to 23 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday: A chance of showers before 8am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. West wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday: A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%. hr. flood watch national weather service cleveland oh 955 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood threat saturday with low pressure system... a strong low pressure system will track up the ohio valley on friday night and deepen over northern ohio on saturday. steady rainfall is expected through most of friday night and saturday... with bouts of moderate to heavy rain. the low will be slow moving...and an excessive amount of rain will fall across the area within a relatively short time frame. ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-262200- /o.con.kcle.fa.a.0003.150627t0000z-150628t0800z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage- trumbull-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning- marion-morrow-holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie- southern erie-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... jefferson...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron... ravenna...warren...upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield... ashland...wooster...canton...youngstown...marion...mount gilead... millersburg...mount vernon...ashtabula...erie...edinboro... meadville 955 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood watch remains in effect from 8 pm edt this evening through late saturday night... the flood watch continues for * portions of ohio and northwest pennsylvania...including the following areas...in ohio...ashland...ashtabula inland... ashtabula lakeshore...crawford...cuyahoga...erie oh...geauga... hancock...holmes...huron...knox...lake...lorain...lucas... mahoning...marion...medina...morrow...ottawa...portage... richland...sandusky...seneca...stark...summit...trumbull... wayne...wood and wyandot. in northwest pennsylvania...crawford pa...northern erie and southern erie. * from 8 pm edt this evening through late saturday night. * a slow moving low pressure will deepen across the area then linger through sunday...bringing steady rains. in general a widespread 2 to 4 inches of rain will fall by late saturday night. * flooding...especially in urban areas...can occur very quickly...primarily at underpasses and poor drainage areas. quick rises on area creeks and streams will be likely from the heavy rainfall. precautionary/preparedness actions... a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. you should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. stay tuned to weather radio for further details or updates hr. coastal hazard message national weather service cleveland oh 420 pm edt fri jun 26 2015 ohz003-007-009>011-270430- /o.new.kcle.bh.s.0004.150627t0800z-150628t1300z/ lucas-ottawa-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga- 420 pm edt fri jun 26 2015 ...beach hazards statement in effect from 4 am edt saturday through sunday morning... the national weather service in cleveland has issued a beach hazards statement for dangerous swimming conditions...which is in effect from 4 am edt saturday through sunday morning. * hazards...dangerous swimming conditions. * timing...4 am saturday morning through sunday morning * location...all beaches from lucas county to cuyahoga county * potential impacts...large waves will cause rip currents to develop. precautionary/preparedness actions... swimming risk exists today. the combination of wind and or waves will make for potentially dangerous conditions for swimmers including the risk of rip currents. follow the instruction of local authorities or stay out of the water. && $$ flood watch flood watch national weather service cleveland oh 303 pm edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood threat saturday from an unseasonably strong storm... a strong low pressure system will develop tonight and track up the ohio valley and deepen over northern ohio on saturday. rain is expected to overspread the region tonight and become heavy toward morning especially south of us route 30. moderate to heavy rain is expected over most of the region on saturday. the low will be slow moving...and an excessive amount of rain will fall across the area within a relatively short time frame. ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-270315- /o.con.kcle.fa.a.0003.150627t0000z-150628t0800z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage- trumbull-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning- marion-morrow-holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie- southern erie-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... jefferson...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron... ravenna...warren...upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield... ashland...wooster...canton...youngstown...marion...mount gilead... millersburg...mount vernon...ashtabula...erie...edinboro... meadville 303 pm edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood watch remains in effect from 8 pm edt this evening through late saturday night... the flood watch continues for * portions of ohio and northwest pennsylvania...including the following areas...in ohio...ashland...ashtabula inland... ashtabula lakeshore...crawford...cuyahoga...erie oh...geauga... hancock...holmes...huron...knox...lake...lorain...lucas... mahoning...marion...medina...morrow...ottawa...portage... richland...sandusky...seneca...stark...summit...trumbull... wayne...wood and wyandot. in northwest pennsylvania...crawford pa...northern erie and southern erie. * from 8 pm edt this evening through late saturday night * a slow moving low pressure will deepen across the area then linger through sunday...bringing steady rains. in general a widespread 2 to 4 inches of rain will fall by late saturday night with locally higher amounts in thunderstorms. with saturated soil...expect an especially immediate and rapid rise of creeks and even rivers on saturday. * flooding...especially in urban areas...can occur very quickly...primarily at underpasses and poor drainage areas. quick rises on area creeks and streams will be likely from the heavy rainfall. precautionary/preparedness actions... a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. you should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. stay tuned to weather radio for further details or updates && $$ laplante hazardous weather outlook hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 502 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-270915- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull- wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow- holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie- crawford pa- 502 am edt fri jun 26 2015 ...flood watch in effect from this evening through late saturday night... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. flood watch. .days two through seven...saturday through thursday. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. flood watch. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time.