h1. Toledo weather Sun, Jun 28, 2015 #toledo #weather hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 1149 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ohz003-007-009>012-089-paz001-290400- lucas-ottawa-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-ashtabula lakeshore- northern erie- 1149 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...flood watch in effect until 4 am edt sunday... ...beach hazards statement in effect until 9 am edt sunday... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. beach hazards statement. flood watch. .days two through seven...sunday through friday. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. beach hazards statement. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ beach hazards statement lakeshore hazard message national weather service cleveland oh 1138 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ohz003-007-009-281145- /o.can.kcle.ls.w.0001.000000t0000z-150628t0400z/ /o.con.kcle.bh.s.0004.000000t0000z-150628t1300z/ lucas-ottawa-erie oh- 1138 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...beach hazards statement remains in effect until 9 am edt sunday... ...lakeshore flood warning is cancelled... the national weather service in cleveland has cancelled the lakeshore flood warning. lake levels have dropped to near normal levels on the western basin. * hazards...dangerous swimming conditions. * timing...dangerous swimming conditions will occur through sunday morning. the coastal flooding has been mainly been located along the ottawa and lucas county shorelines. the flooding threat from the lake should decrease as winds shift to the north and northwest this evening. * location...the lakeshore from from lucas county to erie county ohio precautionary/preparedness actions... swimming risk exists today. the combination of wind and or waves will make for potentially dangerous conditions for swimmers including the risk of rip currents. follow the instruction of local authorities or stay out of the water. && $$ flood warning flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 1100 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... black river at elyria cuyahoga river at independence blanchard river near findlay maumee river at waterville scioto river near larue mahoning river at leavittsburg ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... portage river at woodville grand river at painesville maumee river near grand rapids eagle creek above findlay eagle creek at phalanx station precautionary/preparedness actions... never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown! stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further details and updates. && ohc095-173-281100- /o.ext.kcle.fl.w.0056.150628t0249z-000000t0000z/ /wtvo1.1.er.150628t0209z.150628t1800z.000000t0000z.no/ 1100 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 the flood warning continues for the maumee river at waterville. * until further notice. * at 10:00 pm saturday the stage was 10.9 feet. * flood stage is 11.0 feet. * minor flooding is forecast. * forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and rise to near 14.1 feet by sunday afternoon. additional rises are possible thereafter. * at 15.0 feet...100 year flood level. residences on water street and north river road are threatened. the river reaches the water street. three houses on the river side of water street are cut off from emergency access. on river road just south of the waterville elementary school a dozen homes are surrounded by water with basement inundation. flood waters extend out to jerome road. ten mile creek likely to flood due to backwater which can cut off harroun road. portions of state routes 105 and 65 inundated. * at 14.0 feet...residences along the river may experience basement flooding. * at 13.0 feet...floodwaters can back up through storm drains onto water street in waterville making roads inaccessible. * at 12.0 feet...flooding begins in side cut metropark. the risver is out of banks in waterville. * at 11.0 feet...a few riverside cabins in waterville become threatened. lowland flooding occurs along with some water inundation on river road. * at 9.0 feet...flooding occurs in lowland areas near the river. && lat...lon 4148 8376 4171 8348 4167 8345 4147 8371 4145 8374 $$ flood warning flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 1100 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... black river at elyria cuyahoga river at independence blanchard river near findlay maumee river at waterville scioto river near larue mahoning river at leavittsburg ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... portage river at woodville grand river at painesville maumee river near grand rapids eagle creek above findlay eagle creek at phalanx station precautionary/preparedness actions... never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown! stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further details and updates. && ohc095-173-281100- /o.con.kcle.fl.w.0058.150628t0824z-150629t2230z/ /grro1.1.er.150628t0824z.150628t1800z.150629t1030z.no/ 1100 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 the flood warning continues for the maumee river near grand rapids. * from late tonight to monday evening. * flood stage is 17.5 feet. * forecast...the river is forecast to have a maximum value of 18.4 feet sunday afternoon. * at 18.5 feet...100 year flood level. mary jane thursten state park campground inundated. homes in wood county cut off from emergency access. the metropark facilities inundated. * at 18.0 feet...water starts to cover front street just west of the grand rapids business district over portions of beaver, west, and mill streets. campgrounds along the river are under water. * at 17.5 feet...flood waters inundate grand rapids road cutting off access to a few homes. mill street access on the east end of front street flooded. water can back up through storm drains causing flooding on the south side of grand rapids. * at 16.5 feet...low lying land near grand rapids floods. * at 15.0 feet...the metropark in grand rapids floods and the park service road inundated. * at 12.0 feet...bankfull stage. * at 11.0 feet...the river level is hazardous to recrational users. && lat...lon 4143 8388 4148 8376 4145 8374 4139 8388 $$ flood watch flood watch national weather service cleveland oh 941 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...flood threat continues tonight... ohz003-006>014-017>019-022-023-033-089-paz001>003-280800- /o.con.kcle.fa.a.0003.000000t0000z-150628t0800z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga- ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-portage-trumbull-mahoning- ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie-crawford pa- including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton... fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon... jefferson...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...ravenna...warren... youngstown...ashtabula...erie...edinboro...meadville 941 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...flood watch remains in effect until 4 am edt sunday... the flood watch continues for * portions of ohio and northwest pennsylvania...including the following areas...in ohio...ashtabula inland...ashtabula lakeshore...cuyahoga...erie oh...geauga...hancock...huron... lake...lorain...lucas...mahoning...ottawa...portage... sandusky...seneca...trumbull and wood. in northwest pennsylvania...crawford pa...northern erie and southern erie. * until 4 am edt sunday * a stalled low pressure system near cleveland will slowly drift off to the east through sunday morning allowing the threat for new flooding to lessen toward daybreak. widespread rainfall of 2.0 to locally 4 inches has fallen causing flooding of low-lying areas...creeks and rivers. additional rainfall through 3 am could reach up to an inch in some locations...especially between interstate 75 and the port clinton and fremont ohio areas. * flooding...as runoff from the heavy rainfall continues to make its way into the waterways...additional rises on area creeks...streams and rivers will occur. precautionary/preparedness actions... a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. you should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. stay tuned to weather radio for further details or updates. use caution while driving as many roadways may be flooded ot starting to flood. && $$ flood warning flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 759 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ohc095-173-281945- /o.con.kcle.fa.w.0013.000000t0000z-150628t1945z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ wood oh-lucas oh- 759 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...a flood warning for urban areas and small streams remains in effect until 345 pm edt sunday for wood and lucas counties... at 751 pm edt...doppler radar continued to indicate a large area of moderate to locally heavy rain falling over lucas and wood counties. radar estimates that much of the area has received 3 to 4 inches of rainfall over the past 24 hours with half of that falling this afternoon and evening. up to an inch of additional rainfall may occur through midnight then the rain will start to diminish and shift off to the east. some roadways are flooded and now it will be getting dark soon...extra caution will be needed to avoid driving into a flooded area. some locations that will experience flooding include... bowling green...fostoria...perrysburg...oregon...sylvania... rossford...waterville...northwood...whitehouse...north baltimore... holland...weston...maumee...ottawa hills...walbridge...pemberville... millbury...haskins...luckey and bradner. precautionary/preparedness actions... excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small creeks and streams...highways and underpasses in urban areas. additionally...country roads and farmlands along the banks of creeks...streams and other low lying areas are subject to flooding. be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. if flooding is observed act quickly. move up to higher ground to escape flood waters. do not stay in areas subject to flooding when water begins rising. && lat...lon 4172 8387 4173 8346 4173 8345 4172 8347 4169 8343 4169 8335 4171 8334 4164 8323 4163 8318 4174 8311 4162 8318 4162 8342 4117 8342 4117 8388 4118 8388 $$ adams hr. flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 644 am edt sun jun 28 2015 ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... black river at elyria grand river at painesville maumee river near grand rapids scioto river near larue eagle creek at phalanx station ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... portage river at woodville blanchard river near findlay maumee river at waterville mahoning river at leavittsburg precautionary/preparedness actions... never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown! stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further details and updates. && ohc095-173-281844- /o.con.kcle.fl.w.0056.000000t0000z-000000t0000z/ /wtvo1.1.er.000000t0000z.150628t1800z.000000t0000z.no/ 644 am edt sun jun 28 2015 the flood warning continues for the maumee river at waterville. * at 6:00 am sunday the stage was 12.5 feet. * flood stage is 11.0 feet. * minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * forecast...the river will rise to near 14.2 feet by this afternoon. additional rises are possible thereafter. * at 14.0 feet...residences along the river may experience basement flooding. * at 13.0 feet...floodwaters can back up through storm drains onto water street in waterville making roads inaccessible. && lat...lon 4148 8376 4171 8348 4167 8345 4147 8371 4145 8374 $$ flood warning flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 644 am edt sun jun 28 2015 ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... black river at elyria grand river at painesville maumee river near grand rapids scioto river near larue eagle creek at phalanx station ...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio... portage river at woodville blanchard river near findlay maumee river at waterville mahoning river at leavittsburg precautionary/preparedness actions... never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown! stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further details and updates. && ohc095-173-281844- /o.ext.kcle.fl.w.0058.000000t0000z-150630t0600z/ /grro1.2.er.000000t0000z.150628t1200z.150629t1800z.nr/ 644 am edt sun jun 28 2015 the flood warning continues for the maumee river near grand rapids. * flood stage is 17.5 feet. * forecast...the river is forecast to have a maximum value of 19.3 feet this morning. * at 19.5 feet...front street inundated. numerous farm fields and parking lots flooded. businesses threatened in grand rapids. * at 18.5 feet...100 year flood level. mary jane thursten state park campground inundated. homes in wood county cut off from emergency access. portions of route 24 inundated. the metropark facilities inundated. && lat...lon 4143 8388 4148 8376 4145 8374 4139 8388 $$ flood warning flood statement national weather service cleveland oh 759 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ohc095-173-281945- /o.con.kcle.fa.w.0013.000000t0000z-150628t1945z/ /00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/ wood oh-lucas oh- 759 pm edt sat jun 27 2015 ...a flood warning for urban areas and small streams remains in effect until 345 pm edt sunday for wood and lucas counties... at 751 pm edt...doppler radar continued to indicate a large area of moderate to locally heavy rain falling over lucas and wood counties. radar estimates that much of the area has received 3 to 4 inches of rainfall over the past 24 hours with half of that falling this afternoon and evening. up to an inch of additional rainfall may occur through midnight then the rain will start to diminish and shift off to the east. some roadways are flooded and now it will be getting dark soon...extra caution will be needed to avoid driving into a flooded area. some locations that will experience flooding include... bowling green...fostoria...perrysburg...oregon...sylvania... rossford...waterville...northwood...whitehouse...north baltimore... holland...weston...maumee...ottawa hills...walbridge...pemberville... millbury...haskins...luckey and bradner. precautionary/preparedness actions... excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small creeks and streams...highways and underpasses in urban areas. additionally...country roads and farmlands along the banks of creeks...streams and other low lying areas are subject to flooding. be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. if flooding is observed act quickly. move up to higher ground to escape flood waters. do not stay in areas subject to flooding when water begins rising. && lat...lon 4172 8387 4173 8346 4173 8345 4172 8347 4169 8343 4169 8335 4171 8334 4164 8323 4163 8318 4174 8311 4162 8318 4162 8342 4117 8342 4117 8388 4118 8388 $$ adams hazardous weather outlook hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 515 am edt sun jun 28 2015 ohz003-007-009>012-089-paz001-290915- lucas-ottawa-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-ashtabula lakeshore- northern erie- 515 am edt sun jun 28 2015 ...beach hazards statement in effect until 4 pm edt this afternoon... this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the internet for more information about the following hazards. beach hazards statement. .days two through seven...monday through saturday. another round of rain will move through the area monday afternoon and night. most areas will see between a quarter and three quarters of an inch of rain but locally higher amounts are possible. given the saturated soil across the area...water will run-off and could lead to minor flooding or aggravate existing flooding. scattered thunderstorms are expected on tuesday. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ beach hazards statement coastal hazard message national weather service cleveland oh 447 am edt sun jun 28 2015 ohz003-007-009>012-089-paz001-281700- /o.ext.kcle.bh.s.0004.000000t0000z-150628t2000z/ lucas-ottawa-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-ashtabula lakeshore- northern erie- 447 am edt sun jun 28 2015 ...beach hazards statement now in effect until 4 pm edt this afternoon... * hazards...dangerous swimming conditions. * timing...through sunday afternoon * location...all beaches from lucas county ohio to erie county pennsylvania * potential impacts...large waves will cause rip currents to develop precautionary/preparedness actions... swimming risk exists today. the combination of wind and or waves will make for potentially dangerous conditions for swimmers including the risk of rip currents. follow the instruction of local authorities or stay out of the water. && $$ hr. link fxus61 kcle 281154 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 754 am edt sun jun 28 2015 synopsis... the low pressure system that has been effecting the region will pull away to the east today with conditions starting to dry out from west to east. another low pressure system will move through the southern great lakes region on monday night. the upper level trough overhead will maintain unsettled conditions through tuesday. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... light rain and drizzle continues from north central ohio into pennsylvania. meanwhile the back edge of the cloud field is into nw ohio. only minor tweaks with the forecast update to pops and clouds. previous discussion... the flood watch has been allowed to expire for all areas as the threat for additional heavy rain has ended. flood advisories and warnings continue in portions of nw ohio and nw pa with ongoing flooding for numerous rivers. rises continue on many rivers and creeks as runoff continues into waterways. 1002 mb surface low over northeast ohio will make good eastward progress today as a ridge builds in from the west. radar trends over the last 2 hours show showers within the deformation axis finally starting to shift east and weaken. rain should just about be done for lucas/wood/hancock counties and should continue to exit to the east through late afternoon. some clearing is expected across the western counties which will allow temperatures to recover into the low 70s. far eastern areas may see almost no rise in temperatures today given the clouds and showers...with steady temperatures near 60 degrees. && short term /6 pm this evening through wednesday night/... skies will clear for most areas tonight before high cloud starts to spread in from the west late. although dewpoints are expected to dip into the low 50s...expecting some patchy ground fog to develop as winds become light over the moist ground. included patchy fog most areas except in the east where clouds will linger for much of the night. next area of low pressure over minnesota will move into western ohio by late monday afternoon. moisture increases ahead of this wave with showers spreading east across the area again. expecting qpf to be near a half inch in some areas but can not rule out some locations seeing up to an inch. this would aggravate ongoing flooding problems...mainly in nw ohio where the highest rainfall occurred on saturday. we will monitor model trends with respect to where the highest qpf will be located...and may need to consider a small flood watch for especially saturated areas. broad cyclonic flow remains in place on tuesday as the next piece of the upper trough deepens overhead. showers and thunderstorms will increase into the afternoon given the cool air aloft with 50-60 percent pops during the afternoon. the surface trough pulls away to the east on wednesday with weak high pressure building in. a few showers may develop again...mainly across the southern counties where a minimal amount of instability will develop during the afternoon. temperatures will remain below normal through the short term. && long term /thursday through saturday/... 12z thu both the gfs and ec show an amplified longwave ul trof broadening out across the eastern conus. both then suggest a series of shortwaves riding the periphery of broader trough across the region through most of the extended forecast. however...the timing of these shortwave perturbations is not consistent between the 2 models...so for now...only going with slight chance pops for thu and chance 30 to 40 pops on fri through sat night. sfc bndry also appears to be south of the area...for now...which is where most the of the shower and thunderstorm activity will be focused initially. the gfs shows a low riding up that boundary towards northern ohio fri night...then dragging a cold front across the region early sat morning. by sun the primary trof draws poleward allowing an ul shortwave ridge to briefly build across the region...but sun night yet another cold front will be closing in on ohio. && aviation /12z sunday through thursday/... the low is finally beginning to move out of the area. current location is along the southern lakeshore of lake erie near the ohio pennsylvania border. showers continue to shift east with the low. most of the shower activity is now occurring from cle and mfd...east. this is where lifr/ifr cigs will linger through the early afternoon. visibility will occasionally be restricted as well with showers and br. of note...showers are much weaker than they were just 6 to 8 hours ago across the tol and fdy terminals. expect this trend to continue as the showers work east through the afternoon. sharp clearing can also be seen on the back side of the low. skies are clear across indiana and most of illinois. tol is already vfr and fdy will follow suite within the next hour or 2. clearing will work its way east through the afternoon. not expecting eri and yng to clear until after 00z. outlook...non vfr expected monday/monday night and wednesday. && marine... allowed gale warning to expire at 3 am. extended the small craft advisory for willowick east through 4 pm as the flow becomes nwly across le behind the exiting sfc low. also included maumee to the islands in the small craft with 4 foot waves expected to linger into the nearshore from the earlier gales over the open lake. beach hazards statement goes until 4 pm this afternoon as well...though waves will not be as high from ashtabula county east towards erie pa. another area of low pressure will move across the great lakes on monday with a wind shift. another low approaches on friday...but this time around it will approach from the southwest. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...beach hazards statement until 4 pm edt this afternoon for ohz003-007-009>012-089. pa...beach hazards statement until 4 pm edt this afternoon for paz001. marine...small craft advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for lez142>149. && $$ synopsis...kec near term...kec short term...kec long term...mayers aviation...mayers marine...mayers