Toledo Weather - Fri, Jul 3, 2015 #toledo #weather At 6:00 a.m., Toledo area temps were in the mid 50s, even within the city. !http://image.soupmode.com/images/1435919239-wundermap-3jul2015-0615.jpg! hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Jul 3, 2015 3:04 am Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Independence Day: Sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 84. Light west wind. Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%. hr. area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 606 am edt fri jul 3 2015 synopsis... weak high pressure will remain over lake erie into sunday then shift eat monday. a cold front will slowly move southeast across the area late tuesday then stall and remain over the ohio valley the rest of next week. && near term /until 6 pm friday evening/... the upper trough axis will be west of the cwa into this evening. this fact combined with how weak the high is over the lakes will likely allow enough overrunning to take place for some shra to spread back into at least the southern part of the cwa by late today. will put chc pops back into the forecast for later today and beef up the cloud cover more. airmass is not overly unstable but still could be some isolated thunder in the far south. highs should run 75 to 80 this afternoon but some immediate lakeshore areas could hold up only in the lower 70s. && short term /6 pm friday evening through monday night/... per the discussion above...tonight's forecast will start out with chances for shra and maybe an isolated tsra in the far s and se. as the upper trough axis works ese to be near the oh/pa line by 12z the threat for rain will shift ese and should just be in the extreme east by sat morning but the models differ some on how far to the east the back edge will be by 12z so will leave a slight chc in the east sat morning. another upper s/w drops se across the east part of the snowbelt by daybreak sun. moisture generally lacking but models do show some light rain scattered just north of lake erie so will show a slight increase in pops for this. the models differ on how much moisture around 850 mb will be over the area sun for some widely sct convection to develop. will increase the pops some but not enough for precip to be mentioned yet. upper ridging moves in sun night and should be over the area mon to keep a cap on convective development. temps should finally warm a little above normal for mon due to the upper ridge and winds from the south. increasing south winds ahead of an approaching cold front should moisten the lower levels enough for possible convection to spread into the west toward daybreak tue so will place small chc pops there late mon night. && long term /tuesday through thursday/...the long term begins on tuesday with the gfs and ecmwf showing a cold front poised just to our northwest. moisture from the system will be moving into the northwest during the morning. this deep moisture fills in during the day and remains in place overnight as the slow moving front moves slowly southeast through northern ohio. the front will remain in the area thursday. will have chance pops through the long term for showers and thunderstorms. best chances likely tuesday afternoon through wednesday. temps largely seasonal. && aviation /06z friday through tuesday/... high pressure will continue across the great lakes...nrn ohio and nwrn pa through friday however low pressure moving through the ohio valley could bring a late day shower to southeastern terminals from kmfd to kyng. also could see isolated mvfr visibilities due to morning for inland northeast ohio. otherwise vfr conditions expected. outlook...non vfr conditions possible tuesday in showers and thunderstorms. && marine... high pressure will continue across the lower great lakes through the day. a weak trof will cross lake erie saturday night but high pressure will build back in for sunday and monday. a cold front will move across the lake late tuesday. winds will be from the east to northeast today into saturday before turning southwest. winds will remain from the south to southwest saturday night through tuesday. winds speeds will remain 15 knots or less and waves 2 feet or less through the period. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...none. pa...none. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...adams near term...adams short term...adams long term...tk aviation...tk marine...tk