h1. Toledo Weather - Wed, Jul 29, 2015 #toledo - #weather lez142>144-162>164-ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>029-036-037-047-301630- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion-lucas-wood- ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-crawford- richland-marion-morrow-knox- 1217 pm edt wed jul 29 2015 this hazardous weather outlook is for lake erie...north central ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...this afternoon and tonight. heat index values will be in the mid 90s this afternoon with some locations nearing 100 degrees. thunderstorms are possible beginning in northwest ohio this afternoon...spreading east through the evening. these storms will be along and ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. a few of these thunderstorms may produce wind gusts that approach severe limits. .days two through seven...thursday through tuesday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. TOL: Jul 29, 2015 11:52 am Weather : Mostly Cloudy Temperature : 87 F Humidity : 63% Wind Speed : S 7 mph Barometer : 29.95 in Dewpoint: 73 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 94 F hr. !http://toledoweather.info/images/mcd1569.gif! md 1569 concerning severe potential...watch unlikely for portions of ern lower mi...far ern ind...and wrn oh mesoscale discussion 1569 nws storm prediction center norman ok 0128 pm cdt wed jul 29 2015 areas affected...portions of ern lower mi...far ern ind...and wrn oh concerning...severe potential...watch unlikely valid 291828z - 292100z probability of watch issuance...20 percent summary...thunderstorms should continue developing along a cold front through the afternoon...and they may be capable of producing isolated strong/gusty winds. ww issuance is unlikely. discussion...a cold front will continue moving ewd across the lower great lakes and oh valley region today as an upper trough currently over nrn ontario moves newd towards hudson bay. temperatures along and ahead of the cold front have warmed into the mid 80s to around 90...with dewpoints generally in the upper 60s to lower 70s. poor mid-level lapse rates around 5.0 deg c/km ahead of the front per 12z dtx sounding should tend to limit updraft strength...with mlcape estimated by rap mesoanalysis around 1000-2000 j/kg across the mcd area supported mainly by diurnal heating of the low levels. some stronger flow around 30-35 kt between 3-6 km is moving over the nrn portions of this region per latest vwp from kdtx...which may be promoted to the sfc through convective downdrafts. given the linear nature of the front and marginal bulk shear...multicell clusters with occasional strong/gusty winds should be the main storm mode. these thunderstorms should eventually weaken later this afternoon and early evening as they encounter a drier and less unstable airmass over n-cntrl/nern oh. ..gleason/goss.. 07/29/2015 ...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... attn...wfo...cle...iln...dtx...iwx...grr...ind... lat...lon 43098405 43698379 44078318 44088279 43838254 43058239 42548258 42198297 41858289 41668253 40858268 40088311 39428372 39448445 39528492 40038489 41078490 42078442 43098405 hr. special weather statement national weather service cleveland oh 420 pm edt wed jul 29 2015 ohz003-006-292100- lucas-wood- 420 pm edt wed jul 29 2015 ...a strong thunderstorm will affect northern wood and lucas counties... at 419 pm edt...a strong thunderstorm was over swanton...moving east at 15 mph. wind gusts up 40 mph are possible with this storm. locations impacted include... toledo...swanton...perrysburg...sylvania...rossford...waterville... northwood...whitehouse...holland...maumee...ottawa hills... walbridge...haskins...grand rapids...berkey...neapolis and stony ridge. this storm may intensify...so be certain to monitor local radio and tv stations...as well as local cable tv outlets...for additional information and possible warnings from the national weather service.