h1. Toledo Weather - Thu, May 5, 2016 TOL: May 5, 2016 7:52 am Weather : Fair Temperature : 45 F Humidity : 90% Wind Speed : N 12 mph Barometer : 29.79 in Dewpoint: 42 F Visibility : 7.00 statute miles Wind Chill : 39 F formerly Metcalf Airport) May 5, 2016 7:53 am Weather : Fair with Haze Temperature : 49 F Humidity : 77% Wind Speed : N 10 mph Barometer : 29.79 in Dewpoint: 42 F Visibility : 6.00 statute miles Wind Chill : 45 F (near Lambertville) May 5, 2016 7:55 am Weather : Partly Cloudy Temperature : 47 F Humidity : 84% Wind Speed : NNE 8 mph Barometer : 29.81 in Dewpoint: 43 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Wind Chill : 43 F Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: May 5, 2016 6:42 am Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. North wind 11 to 16 mph. Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. North wind 5 to 11 mph. Friday: Sunny, with a high near 68. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Light and variable wind. Saturday: A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. South wind 7 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Monday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Tuesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Wednesday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%. hr. area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 736 am edt thu may 5 2016 synopsis... an upper level low responsible for ongoing showers will drift south of the area today. the low will drift over the eastern seaboard tonight. a warm front will move in saturday followed by a cold frontal passage saturday night. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... radar shows light rain across most of the forecast area at this time. as the upper low continues to sink south as visible on satellite imagery...the showers will taper off starting in the north. mostly cloudy skies will linger through midday and then gradually clear out in the west this afternoon. meanwhile the eastern counties will see mostly cloudy to cloudy conditions with showers today as the cold pool aloft combines with wrap around moisture and some weak daytime instability to support some redevelopment. prev discussion... satellite imagery shows a well defined upper low over indiana with moisture wrapping around it including over the local area. this feature and moisture will continue to support showers in the region through the afternoon. as the upper low drifts south and east the showers will be confined to the se counties by later in the day. the cold core aloft(-25c @h500) will destabilize the area but not seeing enough instability to add thunder wording to the forecast at this time. clouds...north wind...and showers will keep temperatures in the 50s to 60f this afternoon. in the west there will be less clouds so temperatures could be a few deg above 60f. && short term /6 pm this evening through sunday night/... high pressure will build in from the west overnight at the same time a coastal low will be developing near delmarva. the area will be influenced by both surface features with wrap around moisture keeping mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers in the east and clearing skies in the west. this will continue into friday though expect the rain chances to be reduced in the east...unless the coastal low retrogrades back west as some models are suggesting. with expected sunshine in the west on friday we could see temperatures nearing 70f...with temps in the lower 60s in the more cloudy east. a warm front will move into the area late friday night/saturday morning with low level moisture increasing. some of the models hint at rain chances with this frontal passage...but not convinced we'll see showers given the weak forcing and limited moisture. the best chance for rain will be ahead of and along a cold front late saturday. temperatures are expected to warm into the 70s which will help destabilize the environment enough to support capes around 300-500j/kg. the forcing and moisture are not sufficient for severe storms...but it is favorable for most areas to see some convection. surface based cape fades quickly after dark around the time the frontal passage arrives. the thicknesses fall behind the front with temperatures falling into the 50s and lower 60s for sunday as weak high pressure build in from the west. && long term /monday through wednesday/... the flow remains somewhat blocked and split through the middle of next week which will provide some challenges in timing and strength of systems. ridging early in the week is dampened quickly as a series of upper lows and troughs fight their way eastward across the great lakes. the gfs now looks more like the ecmwf and brings showers east quickly on monday. the cmc holds onto dry weather but the trend is wetter and will have a chance of showers in the forecast monday for all but extreme northeast oh and northwest pa. the next cold front will approach later tuesday. will keep a chance of showers in the forecast and mention thunder for northwest ohio. the showers may hold off until later in the day depending on the timing of the front. the ecmwf is more emphatic about dropping the next cold front down to the ohio valley on wednesday where the gfs leaves the front in the vicinity of the lower great lakes. given the uncertainty...will keep a chance of showers in the forecast on wednesday. temperatures will likely not be far from normal...with tuesday being the warmest day...70s...if we can get into the warm sector and hold off the showers for at least part of the day. #toledo #weather