Toledo weather wed June 22 2016 part 2 SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 287 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1025 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...NORTHERN AND EASTERN INDIANA NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY WESTERN AND CENTRAL OHIO * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM UNTIL 500 AM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A GROUPING OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INITIALLY OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS...NORTHWESTERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STILL MORE ORGANIZED AS IT ACCELERATES INTO AND ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME THE MAIN THREAT...PERHAPS WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE ENOUGH TO QUALIFY AS A DERECHO. EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS ALSO MAY REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OR TWO. SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1024 FOR FURTHER INITIAL DETAILS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBUS OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 286... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30040. ...EDWARDS hr. md 1024 concerning tornado watch 286... for northern illinois/northern and central indiana...and western ohio mesoscale discussion 1024 nws storm prediction center norman ok 0853 pm cdt wed jun 22 2016 areas affected...northern illinois/northern and central indiana...and western ohio concerning...tornado watch 286... valid 230153z - 230330z the severe weather threat for tornado watch 286 continues. summary...a tornado threat and potential for large hail and damaging winds continue across the valid portion of ww 286 in much of northern illinois and northwest indiana. through 03z...the greatest threat for strong tornadoes should persist across north-central il with the ongoing cluster of storms as they track to the east-southeast near the warm front. a new tornado watch will be coordinated this evening for a tornado threat and an increasing severe/damaging wind threat downstream of ww 286. discussion...trends in early evening mosaic radar imagery showed a cluster of supercells...some tornadic...tracking to the east-southeast at 25-30 kt...with the greatest tornado threat expected to remain 20-25 miles either side of the warm front. at 00-01z...this front extended from a surface low in southeast ia through the complex of supercells in northern il to central indiana and then tends to become more diffuse across central oh. low-level winds across il/indiana have strengthened from the southwest at 30-40 kt with 0-km srh increasing /ilx wsr-88d vwp 0-1 km srh 300+ m2/s2 at 0124z/. this llj is also providing a feed of very strong instability /mlcape 2500-4000 j per kg/...while the instability gradient extended southeast into central indiana and southwest ohio. and...the strengthening swly low-level winds are aiding in the return of higher surface dew points across the warm sector /into central indiana and southwest to central ohio/. this destabilization suggests the track of an eventual forward-propagating mcs/bow will move through central indiana later this evening and into western/central ohio overnight. a veering and further strengthening low-level jet to 50-55 kt combined with the influx of very strong instability to the upscale growing mcs will result in an increase in the forward speed...greatly enhancing the threat for damaging winds. ..peters/edwards.. 06/23/2016 ...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... attn...wfo...cle...iln...iwx...ind...lot...ilx...dvn... lat...lon 40528981 41099067 41769000 42168929 42188781 41828744 41718691 41568618 41268499 40958381 40058357 39598389 39838519 40118722 39958750 39928818 40188855 40488967 40528981 read more hr. short term forecast national weather service cleveland oh 943 pm edt wed jun 22 2016 ohz003-006>008-017>019-027>030-036>038-047-230230- richland-ottawa-morrow-knox-hancock-marion-wyandot-huron-holmes- lucas-sandusky-seneca-crawford-ashland-wood- 943 pm edt wed jun 22 2016 .now... at 940 pm edt...doppler radar indicated showers and thunderstorms some with locally heavy rain and brief gusty winds continued to to develop and move southeast over northwest and north central ohio. locations to impacted by the showers and storms through 11pm include...mansfield...findlay... marion...bowling green...ashland...tiffin...mount vernon...fremont...bucyrus... upper sandusky...mount gilead...galion...shelby...bellevue and clyde. $$ thompson hazardous weather outlook hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 338 pm edt wed jun 22 2016 lez142>146-162>166-ohz003-006>011-018>022-033-231945- lake erie nearshore waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie nearshore waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie nearshore waters from the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie nearshore waters from vermilion to avon point oh- lake erie nearshore waters from avon point to willowick oh- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie open waters from vermilion to avon point oh- lake erie open waters from avon point to willowick oh-lucas-wood- ottawa-sandusky-erie-lorain-cuyahoga-seneca-huron-medina-summit- portage-mahoning- 338 pm edt wed jun 22 2016 this hazardous weather outlook is for lake erie...north central ohio...northeast ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...this afternoon and tonight. thunderstorms will are expected across central ohio overnight. the area is under a heightened risk for severe weather. the main threats will be very high winds and heavy rain. tornadoes are possible, but have a lower chance of occurring. the main threat will be after midnight. isolated severe weather could occur after 8 pm. .days two through seven...thursday through tuesday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... spotter activation will likely be needed. $$