h1. Toledo Weather - Wed, Jul 13, 2016 It was a tough evening in Monroe County with the heavy rainfall, wind damage, and a *blizzard.* Local Storm Report Issued: National Weather Service bc. 07/13/2016 0725 PM Monroe, Monroe County. Blizzard, reported by Emergency Mngr. Several reports of power lines and trees down Monroe County... Dundee hr. special weather statement national weather service cleveland oh 753 pm edt wed jul 13 2016 ohz003-006>008-017-018-027-028-036-140030- ottawa-hancock-marion-wyandot-lucas-wood-sandusky-seneca-crawford- 753 pm edt wed jul 13 2016 ...a strong thunderstorm will affect marion...sandusky...wyandot... ottawa...wood...lucas...hancock...crawford and seneca counties... at 750 pm edt...strong thunderstorms were over findlay...tiffin...prospect...and near bowling green moving northeast at 30 mph. winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these storms. brief heavy rainfall of two inches per hour could cause reduced visibilities and minor ponding on roadways. these storms will continue over the region through 900 pm. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further updates. lat...lon 4116 8380 4172 8387 4173 8346 4162 8341 4150 8341 4146 8334 4150 8308 4073 8272 4071 8278 4071 8285 4068 8286 4064 8296 4043 8303 4048 8325 4051 8325 4051 8342 4068 8342 4071 8348 4082 8351 4082 8388 time...mot...loc 2350z 221deg 24kt 4113 8364 $$ jamison hazardous weather outlook hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 116 pm edt wed jul 13 2016 lez142>144-162>164-ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-141730- lake erie nearshore waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie nearshore waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie nearshore waters from the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh-lucas-wood- ottawa-sandusky-erie-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-crawford-richland- ashland-marion-morrow-knox- 116 pm edt wed jul 13 2016 this hazardous weather outlook is for lake erie...north central ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...this afternoon and tonight. there is a slight chance of severe weather this evening mainly in the form of damaging winds. .days two through seven...thursday through tuesday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. Monroe County is getting drenched. q. *flash flood warning* national weather service detroit/pontiac mi 753 pm edt wed jul 13 2016 the national weather service in detroit/pontiac has issued a * flash flood warning for... monroe county in southeastern michigan... * until 1045 pm edt * at 752 pm edt...doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. *between one and two inches of* *rain has already fallen.* flash flooding is expected to begin shortly. * some locations that will experience flooding include... monroe...flat rock...milan...dundee...carleton...temperance... ida...luna pier...petersburg...maybee...ottawa lake... lambertville...la salle...erie...rockwood...south rockwood... estral beach...samaria...azalia and oakville. additional rainfall amounts of an inch or more are possible in the warned area. q.. hr. Local Storm Report: bc. 07/13/2016 0705 PM Ottawa, Putnam County. Thunderstorm wind gust m55 mph, reported by trained spotter. With outflow ahead of the storm. hr. ~7:20 p.m. !https://c1.staticflickr.com/9/8836/28259542726_498d7d313f.jpg! hr. TOL: Jul 13, 2016 4:52 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 92 F Humidity : 46% Wind Speed : S 12 mph - Gust 21 mph Barometer : 29.84 in Dewpoint: 68 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 96 F (formerly Metcalf Airport) Jul 13, 2016 4:53 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 92 F Humidity : 47% Wind Speed : S 10 mph Barometer : 29.85 in Dewpoint: 69 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 97 F (near Lambertville) Jul 13, 2016 5:15 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 92 F Humidity : 47% Wind Speed : SW 7 mph Barometer : 29.85 in Dewpoint: 69 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 97 F hr. Toledo Air Show this weekend. http://toledoairshow.com/ #event Gates open both days at 9:00 a.m. Toledo Forecast - Last Update: Jul 13, 2016 3:42 pm * Saturday: ** *Morning:* Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. ** *Afternoon:* Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. * Sunday: ** *Morning:* Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. ** *Afternoon:* Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Even Sunday's mid to late afternoon high temp should feel a little better than this afternoon's weather, which currently has temps in the low 90s and heat index values in the mid to upper 90s. hr. TOL: Jul 13, 2016 3:52 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 90 F Humidity : 50% Wind Speed : SW 13 mph Barometer : 29.90 in Dewpoint: 69 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 95 F (formerly Metcalf Airport) Jul 13, 2016 3:53 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 92 F Humidity : 47% Wind Speed : SW 12 mph - Gust 23 mph Barometer : 29.91 in Dewpoint: 69 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 97 F (near Lambertville) Jul 13, 2016 4:15 pm Weather : Partly Cloudy Temperature : 91 F Humidity : 49% Wind Speed : SSW 8 mph - Gust 16 mph Barometer : 29.89 in Dewpoint: 69 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles Heat Index : 96 F hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 343 am edt wed jul 13 2016 for lake erie...north central ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania. .day one...today and tonight. there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms today. the main threat will be damaging wind gusts. .days two through seven...thursday through tuesday. there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms today. the main threat will be damaging wind gusts. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Jul 13, 2016 6:15 am Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. West wind 10 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. West wind 7 to 14 mph. Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%. hr. fxus61 kcle 131144 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 744 am edt wed jul 13 2016 synopsis... high pressure over the central appalachian mountains will move little over the next twenty four hours. a cold front will move southeast toward the area thursday. a trough of low pressure will move southeast across the area friday. high pressure will then build east across the area over the weekend. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... a narrow line of showers continues to move east mainly across the extreme northern tier counties and adjacent lake erie. most of it is probably just sprinkles. current forecast updated to account for these brief showers. otherwise, no other major changes at this time. previous discussion... surface high pressure will continue to be the dominant weather feature across the forecast area today. the warm tropical southwest flow with dewpoint temperatures in the lower 70s will continue today and help to keep the atmosphere unstable through the day. however, atmosphere remains fairly well capped through much of the day and then begins to break down toward mid afternoon. this is when we could see a brief period of showers and thunderstorms developing but widely scattered across the area. storm prediction center has the forecast area in a marginal threat for severe weather today. but as mentioned, that all hinges on when the cap will break down supporting convection. otherwise, it will be another hot one with muggy conditions. as dewpoints remain in the lower 70s, heat index values will be well into the upper 90s today. && short term /6 pm this evening through saturday night/... a broad upper level trough will swing through the area thursday and friday forcing some cooler air back into the region. in the mean time, surface high pressure will dominate the forecast area through the night into thursday morning with a muggy air mass dominating the forecast area. instability will be present in the tropical air mass but may have difficulty supporting convection due the cap holding strong. some scattered activity is expected overnight and a better chance is expected thursday ahead of the cold front. storm prediction center has the local area in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms again tomorrow ahead of the cold front. thursday will have a better chance for the severe activity to develop and main threats will be high winds and hail. once the cold front slips by thursday...cooler air will move into the region. a trough of low pressure will move southeast across the area friday and could support a minor threat for showers and thunderstorms. high pressure will begin to build into the region from the west saturday into saturday night. leaning toward persistence in the temperature forecast and remain slightly warmer than guidance. cold air advection arrives thursday night and continues through saturday night in the wake of the cold front so will drop temperatures into the 80s for highs and lows in the 60s. && long term /sunday through tuesday/... a weak trough aloft is expected to hang on across the eastern great lakes and northeast states early in the week. a short wave is progged to drop across the upper midwest and great lakes later sunday into monday. convection is likely to develop in the vicinity of the short wave but could run out well ahead of the short wave. will have a chance of showers and thunderstorms sunday night into monday. we will remain precariously between the heat ridge in the middle of the country and the weak trough aloft in the northeast and cannot rule out thunderstorms in the weak baroclinic zone right into midweek. will keep a low pop chance of showers and thunderstorms tuesday. && aviation /12z wednesday through sunday/... a decent size patch of lower clouds, ifr and low mvfr, has expanded across the upper ohio valley and northwest pa. these lower clouds will clip kcak and kyng this morning but should stay south of keri. elsewhere, scattered to broken cumulus will develop in the airmass which has moistened up. showers and thunderstorms over the mississippi valley will likely reach northwest ohio by late afternoon. not sure how far east they will hold together this evening and made the forecast less definitive farther east (prob30 and vicinity). outlook...areas of non-vfr possible thursday in showers and thunderstorms. non-vfr possible across ne oh/nw pa friday. && marine... a relatively light south flow will become more southwesterly and increase in speed today and again on thursday ahead of a weak cold front. the southwest direction will keep the larger waves on the east and north side of the lake and we should be able to avoid a small craft advisory until perhaps on friday when the flow will become more westerly. this would bring the larger waves into the south shore, especially east of cleveland. high pressure will build across the eastern great lakes on saturday. the flow will veer northwest and perhaps north but the gradient should be light. the flow will come around from the south on sunday as the ridge moves east but the flow could be light enough for a lake breeze. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...none. pa...none. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...lombardy near term...lombardy short term...lombardy long term...kosarik aviation...kosarik marine...kosarik #toledo #weather