Toledo weather August 10 2016 Toledo Weather Back Lucas and Wood Counties click to collapse contents link fxus61 kcle 101315 afdcle area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 915 am edt wed aug 10 2016 synopsis... a slow moving cold front over the upper midwest will push across the area saturday night into sunday then high pressure will spread east over the region early next week. && near term /until 6 pm this evening/... very moist airmass over the region with precipitable water values around 2" and dew points in the lower 70s. this airmass will support scattered showers and thunderstorms with more coverage this afternoon as daytime heating adds to the instability. we could end up with a lake shadow today as the lake breeze kicks in, which in itself could become a catalyst for convection this afternoon. with h850 temperatures around 18c we can expect another hot day for the area. the clouds and showers could help keep some areas in the upper 80s, however most of the area should reach the lower 90s. this combined with dew points in the 70s will support heat index values in the mid/upper 90s this afternoon, warmest near toledo where we expect more sun. without much in the way of shear not overly concerned about severe weather. however with a saturated airmass in place and storm motions around 15 to 20 mph we could see some heavy rain, localized flooding issues. wpc has the region in a marginal risk for flash flooding. && short term /6 pm this evening through friday night/... as daytime heating wanes the threat for convection will taper off thru midnight with only a slight chc for activity after that. light winds and a humid airmass should lead to fog formation late tonight for much of the area. thu and fri will show little change with very warm and humid conditions continuing with daily chances for tsra for mainly the afternoon and evening. highs will mostly run from the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows mostly 70 to 75. patchy fog will likely occur late each night. && long term /saturday through tuesday/... cold front looks like it will sag slowly across the region saturday evening into early sunday. warm moist airmass ahead of the front will allow for the development of thunderstorms. since the airmass is so moist we will need to monitor the flooding potential. the main concern will be intense rainfall rates that may lead to some flash flooding. high pressure will gradually increase its influence as it moves into the area from the northern plains monday into tuesday. it appears the region will dry out by tuesday. it will be warm and humid over the weekend. the warmest day of the long term looks to be saturday with highs in the middle 80s. slightly cooler sunday through tuesday but still very close to seasonal averages. && aviation /12z wednesday through sunday/... middle level cloud cover seems to have been enough to limit the fog development this morning. still expect to see some patchy mvfr fog but it looks as if it will be short lived. otherwise there were still a few showers near and south of a line from marion to corry. these showers may also produce some mvfr conditions as they drift to the northeast. beyond this morning the convective initiation is a difficult call. it does appear that there will be some development but there is not a clear trigger. for now have only gone with a vicinity thunderstorms at kmfd, kcak and kyng. winds away from this mornings thunderstorms will generally be from the south. weak lake breeze will likely develop from kcle to keri with an onshore flow. outlook...non-vfr possible in thunderstorms thursday through the weekend. areas of non-vfr fog possible each morning. && marine... ridge of high pressure will gradually decrease its influence into friday as it is nudged east and southeast. a cold front will then approach the area on saturday with a slight increase in southwesterly winds. winds friday into saturday should not exceed 15 knots. the front passes by sunday morning. && cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...none. pa...none. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...adams near term...adams/jamison short term...adams long term...mullen aviation...mullen marine...mullen Fulton and Henry Counties click to expand contents Monroe and Lenawee Counties click to expand contents The three regional National Weather Service offices that cover the Toledo area include Cleveland, Detroit/Pontiac, and Northern Indiana. page created: Aug 10, 2016 - 11:03 a.m. EDT hr. hazardous weather outlook national weather service cleveland oh 934 am edt wed aug 10 2016 ohz003-006>011-017>021-027>031-036>038-047-111345- lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie-lorain-cuyahoga-hancock-seneca-huron- medina-summit-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-marion-morrow- holmes-knox- 934 am edt wed aug 10 2016 this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio...northeast ohio and northwest ohio. .day one...today and tonight. scattered thunderstorms expected today. torrential rainfall...localized flooding...gusty winds and dangerous lightning form storms. max heat indices in the middle to upper 90s. .days two through seven...thursday through tuesday. no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .spotter information statement... spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ #toledo #weather