h1. Toledo Weather - Tue, Nov 1, 2016 amazing weather. no thunderstorm weather. november, the most variable and volatile month of the great lakes. TOL: Nov 1, 2016 11:52 am Weather : Fair Temperature : 70 F Humidity : 68% Wind Speed : SSW 16 mph - Gust 23 mph Barometer : 29.98 in Dewpoint: 59 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles (formerly Metcalf Airport) Nov 1, 2016 11:53 am Weather : Fair Temperature : 72 F Humidity : 66% Wind Speed : SSW 17 mph - Gust 24 mph Barometer : 29.99 in Dewpoint: 60 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles near Lambertville) Nov 1, 2016 12:14 pm Weather : Fair Temperature : 73 F Humidity : 62% Wind Speed : SSW 8 mph Barometer : 29.98 in Dewpoint: 59 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles hr. Toledo 7-day forecast Last Update: Nov 1, 2016 9:24 am This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind around 14 mph. Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Wednesday: A slight chance of showers after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night: Showers, mainly after 11pm. Low around 50. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday: Showers, mainly before 8am. High near 59. Northwest wind 9 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Friday: Sunny, with a high near 56. Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 61. Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Monday: Sunny, with a high near 58. page created: Nov 01, 2016 - 12:30 p.m. EDT hr. area forecast discussion national weather service cleveland oh 1208 pm edt tue nov 1 2016 .synopsis... high pressure centered over new england will move off the coast this afternoon...allowing a warm front to lift north across the area. a low pressure system will move across the lower lakes wednesday night. the low will track across upstate ny thursday forcing the front south as a cold front. && .near term /until 6 pm this evening/... a few showers have developed over southeast ohio. the dngnam appears to have a good handle on these showers and moves them to the east of the forecast area this afternoon. based on the satellite imagery and dngnam, i will bump pops up slightly in the south but not enough to mention precipitation at this time. temperatures appear to be on track so no other adjustments. original discussion... warm front currently across nern ky will lift ne across the forecast area this afternoon...as high pressure centered over new england shifts east. dense cirrus across illinois and indiana will move across the forecast area this morning filtering the sunshine. but the clouds will shift east of the area this afternoon allowing for more sunshine. as the front lifts ne the temps will warm into the 70s. the record highs for today are in the lower 80s most places so do not expect any new records...but temperatures will be roughly 15 to 20 degrees above normal for this time of year. && .short term /6 pm this evening through friday night/... the unseasonably warm weather will continue into wednesday...as the warm front stalls north of the forecast area. little change in the remainder of the short term forecast. models continue to move a low pressure system across the lower lakes wednesday night ushering in widespread rain showers for the entire area wednesday night. could see a stray shower wednesday evening...but bulk of the precip should occur after midnight. although the exact track and timing of the low is still in doubt...all 3 models track the low across upstate ny thursday...dragging a cold front across the forecast area. this will usher in more seasonal conditions by friday. && .long term /saturday through monday/... dry conditions with a stretch of near seasonal temperatures expected during the extended portion of the forecast. the area will reside between a trough over new england and a high amplitude ridge over the plains. a dry northwesterly flow will be in place aloft with high pressure centered over the ohio valley. we will have to continue to monitor the northwest flow for any stronger impulses moving south out of canada that could impact the region but at this time the dry forecast looks on track. the upper level ridge will build overhead early next week with temperatures trending warmer. && .aviation /12z tuesday through saturday/... scattered to broken clouds between 3000-5000 feet are in place across much of northeast ohio. this band of clouds is expected to continue moving northeast this morning with low clouds scattering out by around 15z. will continue with a short window of low level wind sheer at tol as a 35-40 knot low level jet near 2000 feet extends from indiana into michigan. otherwise most sites will see south to southwest winds increase by this afternoon to around 20 knots. southwest winds will drop off to 10 knots or less by 22z. a frontal boundary will sink south to near lake erie after 06z tonight with vfr clouds lowering below 10000 feet. outlook...non-vfr possible wednesday night into thursday in showers then again thursday night into friday in northeast ohio/northwest pennsylvania. && .marine... a warm front will lift north across lake erie today with southerly winds of 10-20 knots, settling into the 10-15 knot range this evening. a weak frontal boundary will sink south towards the lake on wednesday with winds becoming light and possibly shifting to the northeast. an area of low pressure is forecast to track east along this boundary on wednesday night, pulling a cold front south across the lake behind it on thursday. a small craft advisory may be needed late thursday as north to northwest winds increase to near 20 knots on the eastern half of the lake. high pressure will build over the lake on friday and slowly build east over the weekend. && .cle watches/warnings/advisories... oh...none. pa...none. marine...none. && $$ synopsis...djb near term...garnet short term...djb long term...kec aviation...kec marine...kec hr. nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 916 am edt tue nov 1 2016 for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie lez142>145-012015- lake erie nearshore waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie nearshore waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie nearshore waters from the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie nearshore waters from vermilion to avon point oh- 916 am edt tue nov 1 2016 .rest of today...south winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. mostly cloudy late this morning...then becoming mostly sunny. waves 2 feet or less. .tonight...southwest winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to 10 knots or less. partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. waves 2 feet or less. .wednesday...southwest winds 10 knots or less. mostly cloudy. waves 2 feet or less. .wednesday night...south winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. a chance of rain showers through early evening...then rain showers from late evening on. waves 2 feet or less. see lake erie open lakes forecast for thursday through saturday. the water temperature off toledo is 53 degrees...off cleveland 58 degrees and off erie 57 degrees. $$ lez146>149-012015- lake erie nearshore waters from avon point to willowick oh- lake erie nearshore waters from willowick to geneva-on- the lake oh-lake erie nearshore waters from geneva-on-the- lake to conneaut oh- lake erie nearshore waters from conneaut oh to ripley ny- 916 am edt tue nov 1 2016 .rest of today...south winds 10 to 20 knots. partly sunny. waves 1 to 3 feet. .tonight...south winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. waves 2 feet or less. .wednesday...southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. mostly cloudy. waves 2 feet or less. .wednesday night...southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. rain showers from late evening on. waves 2 feet or less. see lake erie open lakes forecast for thursday through saturday. the water temperature off toledo is 53 degrees...off cleveland 58 degrees and off erie 57 degrees. $$ page created: Nov 01, 2016 - 12:30 p.m. EDT #toledo #weather