• Jan 2, 2014

Jan 1-2, 2014 snowstorm updates

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
651 am est wed jan 1 2014

ohz003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-021200-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-hancock-seneca-huron-
wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
651 am est wed jan 1 2014

...winter weather advisory in effect until 4 pm est thursday...

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and
northwest ohio.

.day one...today and tonight.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

winter weather advisory.

.days two through seven...thursday through tuesday.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

winter weather advisory.

the potential exists for another major winter storm to affect the
local area sunday [Jan 5] through tuesday. an arctic cold front with the
coldest air in quite some time is expected to move east across the
area on sunday while low pressure moves northeast along the front.
the storm will bring with it snow to the area followed by lake
effect snow monday into tuesday. the arctic air mass along with
gusty winds could also bring some dangerously cold wind chills to
the area as well.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Jan 2, 2014

http://toledotalk.com/cgi-bin/tt.pl/article/168080/Snow_plowing_of_roads_in_NW_ohio

Level 2 snow emergency for Lucas County.

According to this map, it's slow-going on the roads. You can view the traffic cameras to see some road conditions, mainly on I-475.

http://www.ohgo.com/dashboard/toledo

! posted by jr on Jan 02, 2014 at 10:25:06 am

---

"I kind of hope the snowplow trucks will have done some damage ..."

That could be tough based upon current weather conditions. At least 8 to 9 inches of snow have fallen on the Toledo area, and light snow should continue for a while longer. It was predicted to be a low-moisture, lightweight snowfall. Strong winds are creating considerable blowing and drifting snow. Air temps are only in the low teens. Outside of a snowbelt lake effect event, I think it's unusual for a significant snowfall to occur in Ohio with temps only in the teens. Usually, temps are in the 20s to low 30s.

Mid-day weather conditions at Toledo Express Airport:

Jan 2, 2014 11:52 am
Weather : Light Snow Fog/Mist and Breezy
Temperature : 13 F
Humidity : 84%
Wind Speed : NNE 23 mph - Gust 32 mph
Barometer : 30.03 in
Dewpoint: 9 F
Visibility : 1.25 statute miles
Wind Chill : -6 F

It's probably loads of fun on the roads in farm country around Toledo.

Latest forecast

This Afternoon: A chance of snow, mainly before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 15. Wind chill values as low as -8. Blustery, with a north wind 18 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Tonight: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around -4. Wind chill values as low as -19. North wind 9 to 17 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 12. Wind chill values as low as -18. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.

---

urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
1044 am est thu jan 2 2014

low pressure will move across the ohio valley later today. snow
will gradually diminish from the west this afternoon as the low
moves east of the area. some lake effect snow showers will linger
across northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania into friday. in
addition northeast winds will increase in intensity this
afternoon causing blowing and drifting snow.

ohz003-006>010-017>019-022100-
/o.con.kcle.ww.y.0019.000000t0000z-140102t2100z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-hancock-seneca-huron-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...lorain...findlay...tiffin...norwalk
1044 am est thu jan 2 2014

...winter weather advisory remains in effect until 4 pm est this
afternoon...

• accumulations...3 to 5 inches today.

• timing...snow will taper off mid to late afternoon.

• winds...north to northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35
  mph today...gradually diminishing tonight to 5 to 15 mph before
  daybreak.

• visibilities...heavier snow and blowing snow will reduce
  visibilities to less than 1/4 mile at times.

• temperatures...wind chills between zero and -10 the remainder of
  today. a wind chill advisory will be needed by this evening with
  wind chills below -10.

• impacts...expect snow and snow covered roads. cold temperatures
  will allow snow to easily stick to the roadways. blowing snow
  will reduce visibility. drifting snow will add to the hazardous
  conditions.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

the winter weather advisory is in effect for a variety of
hazardous winter weather conditions including snow... blowing and
drifting snow and low wind chills. stay tuned to noaa weather
radio for further details or updates.

---

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
503 am est thu jan 2 2014

ohz003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-031015-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-hancock-seneca-huron-
wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
503 am est thu jan 2 2014

...winter weather advisory in effect until 4 pm est this afternoon...

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and
northwest ohio.

.day one...today and tonight.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

winter weather advisory.

.tonight...temperatures will drop to below zero. this combined
with winds of 10 to 20 mph will push winds chills to 10 to 20
degrees below zero.

.days two through seven...friday through wednesday.

the potential exists for another major winter storm to affect the
local area sunday through tuesday. another arctic cold front will
move across the area sunday producing widespread snow. it will
also produce the coldest temperatures of the season. the arctic
air mass along with gusty winds could also produce dangerously
cold wind chills.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.

---

fxus61 kcle 021722
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1222 pm est thu jan 2 2014

synopsis...
low pressure over the ohio valley will move east and move off the
east coast tonight. arctic high pressure will slide across the
ohio valley and lower great lakes on friday. the south flow on the
back side of the high will bring moderating temperatures this
weekend but another blast of arctic air is expected the first half
of next week.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
the heaviest snow is sliding across the area from west to east
this afternoon. as of noon the heaviest snow has ended around the
i-75 corridor. some lake enhancement can be expected. across the
north central counties. blowing and drifting snow will be a
problem in open areas and especially across the flat terrain of
northwest ohio. hourly temperatures will be "steady" or "falling"
this afternoon. will have to follow up the winter weather
advisory when it expires with wind chill advisories for wind chills
of -10f and lower this evening/tonight.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through 6 pm friday/...
synoptic snow should be pulling out of area by late this evening but
expect lake effect to linger across ne oh into the overnight hours
as wind flow shifts to the north. however...as dry as arctic
air mass is do not expect sustained lake effect tonight. however
in the west with clearing skies and new snow cover expect temps to
plunge to below zero...this combined with winds of 10 to 20 knots
sets up potential wind chills of 10 to 20 below zero. high
pressure builds in quickly on friday cutting off the lake effect
and tempering temps somewhat. models in good agreement with next
front to come through late saturday into sunday.
&&

long term /friday night through wednesday/...
a fairly potent closed low at 500mb will be located over western
ontario by 12z monday. the low will pull down frigid arctic air from
the canadian interior for monday with highs only expected to reach
the single digits in the west and teens in the east. monday night
lows will be below zero in most spots except near the immediate
lakeshore. a brisk east wind will make temperatures feel more like
20 to 30 below zero fahrenheit. tuesday will also be downright
frigid and lake effect snow is likely across the snowbelt.
temperatures will begin to moderate some wednesday as the surface
flow switches from the south on the back side of a high pressure
system and the departing upper low begins to fill over quebec.
wednesday night into thursday morning the temperatures could
actually climb as moderate warm air advection occurs. 850 temps
rebound from about -25c on tuesday morning to just above 0c
thursday and friday. a deep long wave trough sets up over the
midsection of the country by thursday and taps into gulf of mexico
moisture. the upper level pattern suggests friday will be wet...but
with 850 and surface temps near freezing...we could see a wintry
mix...especially in the southern counties.
&&

aviation /18z thursday through tuesday/...
light snow is falling at all 7 terminals at this hour. the snow
will become more persistent throughout the afternoon with brief
periods of moderate snowfall that will restrict visibility to a
half mile at times. it is also likely ceilings will drop to ifr in
the moderate snow. the wind will also be gusty around 25 to 30
knots...causing blowing and drifting snow. between 06 and 09z
conditions improve from west to east as the low pressure center
responsible for today/s snow moves off the atlantic coast and high
pressure builds in from the west.

outlook...ifr conditions will linger in snow showers late
thursday night...especially from cle/mfd east. non- vfr
conditions will return saturday night into sunday with snow
showers accompanying the next cold front.
&&

marine...
the wind will shift from the northeast at 20 to 30 knots as low
pressure tracks across the ohio valley this afternoon towards the
mid atlantic coast. with air temperatures over the water in the low
20s and wind greater than 15 knots...heavy freezing spray remains a
threat to mariners. waves will also meet small craft criteria
through late tonight. by friday night the wind will veer from the
south as a surface low strengthens north of lake superior. waves
will diminish to 2 feet or less in the nearshore. early sunday
morning a cold front will drop across the lake and the wind will
shift west to northwest at 10 to 20 knots.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...winter weather advisory until 1 am est friday for ohz011>014-
020>023-031>033-038-089.
winter weather advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for
ohz003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047.
pa...winter weather advisory until 1 am est friday for paz001>003.
marine...small craft advisory until 4 am est friday for lez142>149.
&&
$$
synopsis...kosarik
near term...kosarik
short term...djb
long term...mayers
aviation...mayers
marine...mayers

---

short term forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
1251 pm est thu jan 2 2014

ohz003-006>008-017-018-027-022000-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-hancock-seneca-wyandot-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...findlay...tiffin...upper sandusky...carey
1251 pm est thu jan 2 2014

.now...
blowing snow will continue this afternoon. north winds of 15 to 25
mph with gusts as high as 35 mph will continue. be alert for low
visibilities and drifting snow in open areas and in the
countryside. east west roads will be most affected. additional
snow accumulation should be an inch or less. wind chills will
average zero to 10 below zero.

---

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Jan 2, 2014 10:26 am

This Afternoon: A chance of snow, mainly before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 15. Wind chill values as low as -8. Blustery, with a north wind 18 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Tonight: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around -4. Wind chill values as low as -19. North wind 9 to 17 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 12. Wind chill values as low as -18. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. Wind chill values as low as -9. South wind 11 to 14 mph.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph.

Saturday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 28. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 6. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Monday: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 6. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -7.

Tuesday: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 3.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -4.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12.

#weather