• Fri, Jan 3, 2014

Jan 5-6, 2014 possible storm

Fri, Jan 3, 2014

Morning forecast discussions:

• Cleveland: depending upon the exact track and timing of the low most if not all the area could see a widespread 2-4 or 3-5 inches.

• Detroit/Pontiac: the latest model runs suggest that a solid 5 to 8 inches of snow will be possible over a good part of the cwa [county warning area]

• Northern Indiana: the garcia method with mixing ratios of 3 to over 4 g/kg supports snowfall of 4 to 8 inches in a 12 hour window.

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"Winter Storm Watch hoisted for the counties in the NWS Northern Indiana area."

That includes the counties of Fulton and Henry.

Also, the Detroit/Pontiac NWS issued a Winter Storm Watch that includes Monroe and Lenawee counties.

Winter Storm Watch in effect from late Saturday night through late Sunday night.

From the N. IN office:

light snow is expected to begin late Saturday evening. The snow may become heavy at times Sunday into Sunday evening. Accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are possible through Sunday night.

Gusty northwest winds will cause blowing and drifting snow Sunday into Sunday night.

From the Detroit/Pontiac office:

accumulating snow will begin late Saturday and will peak in intensity on Sunday afternoon.

Snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are forecast by Sunday night with the highest amounts along and south of a Howell to Sandusky line.

Temperatures will hold in the mid 20s.

Northern Indiana National Weather Service office:

• http://www.crh.noaa.gov/iwx
• Jan 3, 2014 - YouTube video - Major Winter Storm Briefing

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6-12 is playing margin of error for the model spread right now. So that is a safe one to go with.

All the forecast models are in the top of this thread and the totals shown in them are NEW snowfall, not what is on the ground.

Quick recap of the totals...

GEM: 6-8"
12Z GFS: 12-15"
12Z NAM: 6-8"
12Z Euro: 8-10"

! posted by JustaSooner on Jan 03, 2014 at 03:12:00 pm # +

#weather