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Jan 7, 2014 Toledo Weather
urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
302 am est tue jan 7 2014
...extremely dangerous wind chills with snow and blowing snow...
ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-071615-
/o.ext.kcle.ww.y.0002.000000t0000z-140108t0000z/
/o.con.kcle.wc.w.0001.000000t0000z-140108t1400z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...
upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion...
mount gilead...mount vernon
302 am est tue jan 7 2014
...winter weather advisory now in effect until 7 pm est this
evening...
...wind chill warning remains in effect until 9 am est
wednesday...
- accumulations...no additional snow accumulation is expected
however blowing and drifting of snow on the ground will continue
today.
- timing...through wednesday morning.
- winds...southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph diminishing
some tonight into wednesday morning.
- visibilities...visibilities under a mile possible in blowing
snow.
- impacts...it will take only a few minutes to get frostbite on
exposed skin. blowing snow could quickly cover roads.
- temperatures...gradually rising from the mid teens below zero
this morning to around 10 above by late wednesday morning.
- wind chill readings...extremely dangerous wind chill values from
30 to 40 degrees below zero at times into tonight with gradual
improvement late tonight through wednesday morning.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine
with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for
exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees
below zero or colder for several hours. those planning to venture
outdoors should use common sense and dress warmly.
a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as light snow...blowing snow...
sleet...freezing rain. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for
further details or updates.
&&
$$
hazardous weather outlook
hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
401 am est tue jan 7 2014
ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-080915-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
401 am est tue jan 7 2014
...wind chill warning in effect until 9 am est wednesday...
...winter weather advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and
northwest ohio.
.day one...today and tonight.
please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.
winter weather advisory.
wind chill warning.
.days two through seven...wednesday through monday.
please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.
wind chill warning.
.spotter information statement...
spotter activation is not expected at this time.
fxus61 kcle 070825
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
325 am est tue jan 7 2014
synopsis...
high pressure over the lower mississippi valley will move north into
the ohio valley through tonight. a weak cold front will drop
southeast into lake erie wednesday night and dissipate as the high
spreads over ohio and pennsylvania then shifts off the new england
coast by friday. another cold front will move east across the region
late saturday.
&&
near term /until 6 pm tuesday evening/...
temps still only look to rise just a little above zero today. with
winds still running around 20 mph...wind chills should remain in a
-25 to -35 range all day so wc warning will remain.
from late morning on...mean llvl winds back a little more to the sw
and llvl moisture gets pushed more to the ne. would think threat for
any significant lake effect would thus be over but short term and
near term hi res models all continue produce qpf over erie and
ashtabula co's much the same as they have been doing since early mon
morning. will the models finally be right today...don't know for
sure so will keep the winter storm warning up for erie and ashtabula
lakeshore but change the headline to just wind chill warning for
lake...inland ashtabula and crawford co pa.
there will be some blsn but situation not as bad as yesterday so
headlines for this will be ended.
&&
short term /6 pm tuesday evening through thursday night/...
llvl winds continue to back more sw tonight increasing warm
advection. temps will probably even rise a little during the course
of the night. if temps rise and winds settle down as expected then
the wind chill warning can be backed down to just an advisory.
some mid level moisture shown spreading over the area tonight and
with the warm advective lift could see some light snow or flurries
develop. if the snow occurs...it will be so light that it may not
measure in most areas so pops will be kept low.
warm advection continues wed. moisture at all levels continues to
increase ahead of a weak cold front that will drop to lake erie and
dissipate wed night. increased threat for light snow still looks
reasonable for wed into wed night and probably will hang around for
thu into thu night so chance pops will stay in forecast.
the warm advection will continue to moderate the temps into thu as
highs by thu could rocket all the way to near the freezing
point...especially in the south.
&&
long term /friday through monday/...
the precipitation portion of the forecast continues to be tough. on
friday will keep the forecast dry ahead of cold front that will move
across the area saturday. kept the pops on the high side for friday
night into saturday. some question to the precipitation type...at
this time kept it a mix. it could be mainly rain. some residual
precipitation saturday night in the east.
the models are different for the sunday through monday forecast. the
gfs has a front east of the area while the ecmwf has the front west.
kept close to the previous forecast until the trend is clear.
the temperatures will definitely be a little above normal.
&&
aviation /06z tuesday through saturday/...
bitter cold and gusty winds along with blowing and drifting snow.
snow bands over lake erie are trying to shift back south slowly at
this time and we should see some snow develop or occur at
cleveland and erie. best chance will be erie overnight. some lower
clouds continue to move across the akron and canton area into
youngstown producing some very light snow or flurries.
other than that...most areas should remain vfr across the area.
dont expect winds to diminish until late tomorrow evening so this
will continue to cause some blowing and drifting of snow in the
north and west.
outlook...occasional non vfr in lake effect snow across ne ohio
and nw pa late tuesday night. more non vfr possible across the
entire forecast area wednesday through thursday night.
&&
marine...
continuing the gale warning through this evening. the winds will
gradually decrease as warm advection will start. also continuing the
low water advisory on the west end through this evening. not sure if
it will need to be extended...it will be close...so no changes at
this time.
after this event a southwest flow will occur on the lake through
saturday with a ridge over the ohio valley and a low over canada. it
is possible that a small craft advisory could be needed by saturday
as the southwest flow increases ahead of a cold front that will move
across lake erie late saturday. a small craft advisory may also be
needed after the frontal passage for a short time...then a southwest
flow returns.
&&
cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...wind chill warning until 9 am est wednesday for ohz003-006>014-
017>023-027>033-036>038-047.
winter weather advisory until 7 pm est this evening for ohz003-
006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047.
winter storm warning until 9 am est wednesday for ohz089.
pa...wind chill warning until 9 am est wednesday for paz003.
winter storm warning until 9 am est wednesday for paz001-002.
marine...heavy freezing spray warning until 10 pm est this evening for
lez061-144>149-164>169.
gale warning until 10 pm est this evening for lez061-142>149-
162>169.
low water advisory until 10 pm est this evening for lez142>144-
162>164.
&&
$$
synopsis...adams
near term...adams
short term...adams
long term...kieltyka
aviation...lombardy
marine...kieltyka
The story:
Lucas County has returned to a Level 3 snow emergency amid growing concerns regarding plunging temperatures and stranded vehicles, says the Lucas County Sheriff's office.The emergency level was raised back to 3 at 3:50 a.m. by Lucas County Sheriff John Tharp Tuesday morning. With early morning temperatures going as low as minus-14, local officials raised the level due to concern over cars stalling and becoming stranded in the harsh weather.
There is currently no set time for when the emergency level will be downgraded or discontinued.
Relatively mild temps are forecast for Friday to whenever.
fxus61 kcle 071206
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
706 am est tue jan 7 2014
synopsis...
high pressure over the lower mississippi valley will move north into
the ohio valley through tonight. a weak cold front will drop
southeast into lake erie wednesday night and dissipate as the high
spreads over ohio and pennsylvania then shifts off the new england
coast by friday. another cold front will move east across the region
late saturday.
&&
near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
temps still only look to rise just a little above zero today. with
winds still running around 20 mph...wind chills should remain in a
-25 to -35 range all day so wc warning will remain.
from late morning on...mean llvl winds back a little more to the sw
and llvl moisture gets pushed more to the ne. would think threat for
any significant lake effect would thus be over but short term and
near term hi res models all continue produce qpf over erie and
ashtabula co's much the same as they have been doing since early mon
morning. will the models finally be right today...don't know for
sure so will keep the winter storm warning up for erie and ashtabula
lakeshore but change the headline to just wind chill warning for
lake...inland ashtabula and crawford co pa.
there will be some blsn but situation not as bad as yesterday so
headlines for this will be ended.
&&
short term /6 pm this evening through thursday night/...
llvl winds continue to back more sw tonight increasing warm
advection. temps will probably even rise a little during the course
of the night. if temps rise and winds settle down as expected then
the wind chill warning can be backed down to just an advisory.
some mid level moisture shown spreading over the area tonight and
with the warm advective lift could see some light snow or flurries
develop. if the snow occurs...it will be so light that it may not
measure in most areas so pops will be kept low.
warm advection continues wed. moisture at all levels continues to
increase ahead of a weak cold front that will drop to lake erie and
dissipate wed night. increased threat for light snow still looks
reasonable for wed into wed night and probably will hang around for
thu into thu night so chance pops will stay in forecast.
the warm advection will continue to moderate the temps into thu as
highs by thu could rocket all the way to near the freezing
point...especially in the south.
&&
long term /friday through monday/...
the precipitation portion of the forecast continues to be tough. on
friday will keep the forecast dry ahead of cold front that will move
across the area saturday. kept the pops on the high side for friday
night into saturday. some question to the precipitation type...at
this time kept it a mix. it could be mainly rain. some residual
precipitation saturday night in the east.
the models are different for the sunday through monday forecast. the
gfs has a front east of the area while the ecmwf has the front west.
kept close to the previous forecast until the trend is clear.
the temperatures will definitely be a little above normal.
&&
aviation /12z tuesday through saturday/...
a southwest flow continues with some low clouds mainly over ne oh
and nw pa. these clouds will be decreasing as the day goes on and
drier air moves in. the winds are gusty and some blowing and
drifting snow will continue. some lowering of the visibility could
occur because of the blowing snow...the values should not be as
low as yesterday. the winds will start diminishing later today
and that will help decrease the blowing and drifting. most of the
snow showers will remain on lake erie...however...they could brush
the erie pa lakeshore.
for tonight warm advection will begin across the area and clouds
will thicken and lower.
outlook...more non vfr possible across the entire forecast area
wednesday through thursday night and then again friday night into
saturday.
&&
marine...
continuing the gale warning through this evening. the winds will
gradually decrease as warm advection will start. also continuing the
low water advisory on the west end through this evening. not sure if
it will need to be extended...it will be close...so no changes at
this time.
after this event a southwest flow will occur on the lake through
saturday with a ridge over the ohio valley and a low over canada. it
is possible that a small craft advisory could be needed by saturday
as the southwest flow increases ahead of a cold front that will move
across lake erie late saturday. a small craft advisory may also be
needed after the frontal passage for a short time...then a southwest
flow returns.
&&
cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...wind chill warning until 9 am est wednesday for ohz003-006>014-
017>023-027>033-036>038-047.
winter weather advisory until 7 pm est this evening for ohz003-
006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047.
winter storm warning until 9 am est wednesday for ohz089.
pa...wind chill warning until 9 am est wednesday for paz003.
winter storm warning until 9 am est wednesday for paz001-002.
marine...heavy freezing spray warning until 10 pm est this evening for
lez061-144>149-164>169.
gale warning until 10 pm est this evening for lez061-142>149-
162>169.
low water advisory until 10 pm est this evening for lez142>144-
162>164.
&&
$$
synopsis...adams
near term...adams
short term...adams
long term...kieltyka
aviation...kieltyka
marine...kieltyka
urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
1028 am est tue jan 7 2014
ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-072330-
/o.con.kcle.wc.w.0001.000000t0000z-140108t1400z/
/o.con.kcle.ww.y.0002.000000t0000z-140108t0000z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...
upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion...
mount gilead...mount vernon
1028 am est tue jan 7 2014
...wind chill warning remains in effect until 9 am est
wednesday...
...winter weather advisory remains in effect until 7 pm est this
evening...
- accumulations...no additional snow accumulation is expected
however blowing and drifting of snow on the ground will
continue today.
- timing...through wednesday morning.
- winds...southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph
diminishing some tonight into wednesday morning.
- visibilities...visibilities under a mile possible in blowing
snow.
- impacts...it will take only a few minutes to get frostbite on
exposed skin. blowing snow could quickly cover roads.
- temperatures...gradually rising from the mid teens below zero
this morning to around 10 above by late wednesday morning.
- wind chill readings...extremely dangerous wind chill values
from 30 to 40 degrees below zero at times into tonight with
gradual improvement late tonight through wednesday morning.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine
with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for
exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees
below zero or colder for several hours. those planning to venture
outdoors should use common sense and dress warmly.
a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as light snow...blowing snow...
sleet...freezing rain. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for
further details or updates.
&&
$$
hazardous weather outlook
hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
1119 am est tue jan 7 2014
ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-081630-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
1119 am est tue jan 7 2014
...wind chill warning in effect until 9 am est wednesday...
...winter weather advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
this hazardous weather outlook is for north central ohio and
northwest ohio.
.day one...this afternoon and tonight.
please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.
winter weather advisory.
wind chill warning.
.days two through seven...wednesday through monday.
please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.
wind chill warning.
as the region warms into the weekend the threat for ice jam
flooding will increase on area creeks and rivers.
.spotter information statement...
spotter activation is not expected at this time.
From JR's : articles
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