My favorite FiveThirtyEight stories

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/a-belated-welcome-to-datalab/
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/ocean-debris-and-the-search-for-malaysian-airlines-flight-370/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/dont-sleep-on-villanova/

On the surface, there isn’t much difference between FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA bracket and the consensus. Our most probable Final Four — Florida, Arizona, Michigan State and Louisville — are the same teams favored by the plurality of participants in ESPN’s Tournament Challenge.

But there’s disagreement over the Villanova Wildcats, the No. 2 seed in the East region. Our model gives them a 21 percent chance of advancing to Arlington, which is barely lower than Virginia (23 percent) and Michigan State (24 percent). In contrast, just 9 percent of participants in ESPN’s Tournament Challenge picked Villanova from the East, as compared to 46 percent for Michigan State and 23 percent for Virginia.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/a-march-madness-bracket-for-stat-heads/