Jan 6, 2014 Toledo Weather

#weather

urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
341 am est mon jan 6 2014

...dangerously low wind chills with snow and blowing snow...

ohz003-006>008-017-018-027-061645-
/o.can.kcle.ws.w.0002.000000t0000z-140106t0900z/
/o.new.kcle.ww.y.0002.140106t0841z-140107t0300z/
/o.con.kcle.wc.w.0001.140106t0900z-140108t1400z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-hancock-seneca-wyandot-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...findlay...tiffin...upper sandusky...carey
341 am est mon jan 6 2014

...winter weather advisory in effect until 10 pm est this
evening...
...wind chill warning remains in effect until 9 am est
wednesday...
...winter storm warning is cancelled...

the national weather service in cleveland has issued a winter
weather advisory for blowing snow...which is in effect until 10
pm est this evening. the winter storm warning has been cancelled.

• accumulations...little additional accumulation but blowing and
  drifting snow will occur.

• timing...blowing snow into this evening. dangerous wind chill
  readings into wednesday morning.

• winds...west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 35 to 40 mph
  diminishing some by late this evening.

• visibilities...visibilities under a half mile in blowing snow.

• impacts...snow covered roads with blowing and drifting snow. it
  may take 10 minutes or less to get frostbite on exposed skin
  monday into wednesday morning.

• temperatures...dropping below zero by late today then remaining
  near or below zero into wednesday. morning lows in the teens
  below zero tuesday morning.

• wind chill readings...20 to as low as 40 degrees below zero at
  times through wednesday morning.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine
with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for
exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees
below zero or colder for several hours. those planning to venture
outdoors should use common sense and dress warmly.

a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as light snow, blowing snow,
sleet, freezing rain and wind chills. while the weather will be
significant, the word advisory implies that severe winter weather
is not anticipated. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further
details or updates.

&&

$$

short term forecast
short term forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
654 am est mon jan 6 2014

ohz003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-061315-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-
crawford-richland-ashland-marion-morrow-knox-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...
upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...marion...
mount gilead...mount vernon
654 am est mon jan 6 2014

.now...
plenty of blowing and drifting snow will continue through the
morning along with some light snow or flurries. the north south
roads will have the worst drifting.

$$

wind chill warning
urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
341 am est mon jan 6 2014

...dangerously low wind chills with snow and blowing snow...

ohz003-006>008-017-018-027-061645-
/o.can.kcle.ws.w.0002.000000t0000z-140106t0900z/
/o.new.kcle.ww.y.0002.140106t0841z-140107t0300z/
/o.con.kcle.wc.w.0001.140106t0900z-140108t1400z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-hancock-seneca-wyandot-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...findlay...tiffin...upper sandusky...carey
341 am est mon jan 6 2014

...winter weather advisory in effect until 10 pm est this
evening...
...wind chill warning remains in effect until 9 am est
wednesday...
...winter storm warning is cancelled...

the national weather service in cleveland has issued a winter
weather advisory for blowing snow...which is in effect until 10
pm est this evening. the winter storm warning has been cancelled.

• accumulations...little additional accumulation but blowing and
  drifting snow will occur.

• timing...blowing snow into this evening. dangerous wind chill
  readings into wednesday morning.

• winds...west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 35 to 40 mph
  diminishing some by late this evening.

• visibilities...visibilities under a half mile in blowing snow.

• impacts...snow covered roads with blowing and drifting snow. it
  may take 10 minutes or less to get frostbite on exposed skin
  monday into wednesday morning.

• temperatures...dropping below zero by late today then remaining
  near or below zero into wednesday. morning lows in the teens
  below zero tuesday morning.

• wind chill readings...20 to as low as 40 degrees below zero at
  times through wednesday morning.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

a wind chill warning is issued when a strong wind will combine
with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for
exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 25 degrees
below zero or colder for several hours. those planning to venture
outdoors should use common sense and dress warmly.

a winter weather advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as light snow, blowing snow,
sleet, freezing rain and wind chills. while the weather will be
significant, the word advisory implies that severe winter weather
is not anticipated. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for further
details or updates.

---

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Jan 6, 2014 6:11 am

Today: A chance of snow showers before 9am, then areas of blowing snow and a slight chance of snow showers after 9am. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a temperature falling to around -5 by 5pm. Wind chill values as low as -30. Windy, with a west wind 21 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Tonight: Areas of blowing snow and a slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -16. Wind chill values as low as -41. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tuesday: Areas of blowing snow and a slight chance of snow showers before 11am, then areas of blowing snow after 11am. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 1. Wind chill values as low as -43. Breezy, with a southwest wind 21 to 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tuesday Night: A slight chance of snow showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -4. Wind chill values as low as -24. Southwest wind 11 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 18. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Thursday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Thursday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday: Cloudy, with a high near 36.

Friday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 39.

---

fxus61 kcle 061207
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
707 am est mon jan 6 2014

synopsis...
deep low pressure just northeast of lake erie will continue to move
northeast today. high pressure over the southern plains will
gradually build into the ohio valley tonight through wednesday then
shift off the new england coast thursday.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
falling temps will be the biggest weather issue today as arctic air
spreads over the area. wind chills will be dropping well below zero
from west to east as temps fall toward zero and winds of 20 to 30
mph occur. the wind chill warning still looks in order for the next
few days.
the snow will be a tougher issue to deal with due to changeable
conditions. the nam and gfs differ on how much mid level moisture
will be over the northern part of the cwa this afternoon. mean low
level west flow sets up today into tonight so a winter storm warning
in the snowbelt may work out as there should be a decent lake effect
shsn along with blowing snow and wind chill readings falling to 20
below or lower later today into tonight.
outside of the snowbelt...most of the accumulating snow is over so
will be concentrating on the wind chill warning. there will be some
blowing snow but with little or no accumulating snow falling...will
just mention the blsn in with the wind chill warning. however...in
the nw where more snow occurred yesterday and early last night will
keep a winter wx advisory for blsn going there into this evening.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through wednesday night/...
wind chill warnings that run thru 9 am wed morning will be left as
is for now. may be able to downgrade the warning to an advisory
sometime tue night as low level warm advection begins and the core
of the arctic air is pushed ne of the area while the winds also
diminish. likewise...as winds back more to the sw may eventually be
able to end the winter storm warning for part of the snowbelt as the
lake effect snow bands shift more ne into erie co pa or wrn ny.
just as the lake effect should be tapering off wed as conditions
become less favorable...another upper trough dives se into the area
along with a weak surface cold front. an overrunning situation
develops and a band of deeper moisture sets up over the area. will
stay with plan to increase pops wed into wed night for widespread
light snow to develop.
&&

long term /thursday through sunday/...
the weather portion of the forecast is not real clear but the
temperature trend will be moderating temperatures to above normal.
for thursday will keep the likely pops in the warm advection and
with a weak upper trof moving through...confidence is low. chance
pops thursday night...still keeping it mainly snow...this will have
to be watched. on friday dry...in between systems. for friday night
and saturday more precipitation is expected with a front moving
through the area. models not in agreement in the precipitation type.
with the southwest flow went with a mix. kept sunday mainly dry with
high pressure building over the area.
&&

aviation /12z monday through friday/...
the low and cold front that moved through the region during the
night was moving quickly away from the region. a little vort lobe
was moving through ne ohio this morning causing some snow.
elsewhere some light snow or flurries and plenty of blowing and
drifting snow was occurring. strong winds with gusts between 30
and 35 knots will continue through tonight. the best chance for
lake effect snow this afternoon and tonight will be east of
cleveland. some question was the ceilings will do at inland
locations later today. at this time will try to improve them to vfr
for this afternoon and tonight...since the flow is westerly.
outlook...occasional non vfr in lake effect snow across ne ohio
and nw pa tuesday and tuesday. more non vfr possible across the
entire forecast area wednesday through thursday night.
&&

marine...
gale force winds will be developing quickly this morning in the
strong cold advection. the winds should be the strongest this
afternoon and evening. at this time sustained winds of 40 knots seem
strong enough with much higher gusts. gale force winds will continue
through tuesday evening. with the west to southwest winds low water
will occur even with the ice on the west end. it may not get real
low because of the ice. the heavy freezing spray warning continues
in the ice free areas.
southwest winds will return on wednesday and continue into saturday.
winds will become west saturday night after a cold frontal passage.
a small craft advisory may be needed on the east end through sunday
morning until the winds become southwest as high pressure moves into
the ohio valley.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...winter storm warning until 9 am est wednesday for ohz011>014-
089.
wind chill warning from noon today to 9 am est wednesday for
ohz020>023-029>033-037-038-047.
winter weather advisory until 10 pm est this evening for
ohz003-006>008-017-018-027.
wind chill warning until 9 am est wednesday for ohz003-006>010-
017>019-027-028-036.
pa...winter storm warning until 9 am est wednesday for paz001>003.
marine...heavy freezing spray warning until 10 pm est tuesday for
lez061-144>149-164>169.
gale warning until 10 pm est tuesday for lez061-142>149-
162>169.
low water advisory until 10 pm est tuesday for lez142>144-
162>164.
&&
$$
synopsis...adams
near term...adams
short term...adams
long term...kieltyka
aviation...kieltyka
marine...kieltyka