Northeast ohio snowbelt lake effect snow event - november 2014

Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 11:11 AM EST on November 14, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 9 am EST Saturday...

• snow accumulations...total accumulation of 2 to 5 inches today. Additional local accumulations of 2 to 4 inches tonight.

• Timing...periods of snow showers will continue through tonight.

• Period of most intense snow...will continue through early afternoon. Snow is expected to increase again into this evening.

• Impacts...visibility will be reduced in snow bands and untreated surfaces will quickly become snow covered and slippery.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates.

Local Storm Report

11/14/2014 0600 am

1 miles SSE of Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m11.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0800 am

Chardon, Geauga County.

Snow m7.0 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0800 am

2 miles W of South Russell, Geauga County.

Snow m6.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0600 am

1 miles SSE of Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m11.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0800 am

2 miles W of South Russell, Geauga County.

Snow m6.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0600 am

1 miles SSE of Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m11.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0700 am

Burton, Geauga County.

Snow m8.0 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0800 am

2 miles W of South Russell, Geauga County.

Snow m6.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0700 am

Burton, Geauga County.

Snow m8.0 inch, reported by snow spotter.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0600 am

1 miles SSE of Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m11.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0700 am

South madsion, Geauga County.

Snow m3.0 inch, reported by trained spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0700 am

Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m5.0 inch, reported by trained spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0800 am

2 miles W of South Russell, Geauga County.

Snow m6.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0600 am

1 miles SSE of Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m11.0 inch, reported by cocorahs.

24 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0700 am

Chardon 2n, Geauga County.

Snow m6.0 inch, reported by trained spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/14/2014 0700 am

Chardon, Geauga County.

Snow m5.0 inch, reported by trained spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/13/2014 0335 PM

South madsion, Geauga County.

Snow m9.5 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/13/2014 0844 PM

Chardon, Geauga County.

Snow m4.2 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/13/2014 0700 PM

Montville, Geauga County.

Snow m6.0 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/13/2014 0806 PM

Chardon, Geauga County.

Snow m4.2 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

11/13/2014 0750 PM

Middlefield, Geauga County.

Snow m2.5 inch, reported by cocorahs.

6 hour snowfall.

11/13/2014 0720 PM

Chardon 2n, Geauga County.

Snow m4.3 inch, reported by snow spotter.

12 hour snowfall.

Public Information Statement
Statement as of 9:50 am EST on November 14, 2014

The following are snowfalll observations taken this morning from our region. Appreciation is extended to Highway departments...cooperative observers...Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/Cleveland

**********************12 hour snowfall**********************

Location 12 hour time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

Ohio

...Ashtabula County... Pierpont 2se 5.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Roaming Shores 4.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Ashtabula 1.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Conneaut I-90 0.8 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Ashtabula 1sw 0.7 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Crawford County... Galion 0.3 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Cuyahoga County... Shaker Heights 6.8 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Solon 6.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Cleveland-old brookl 5.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Beachwood 4.3 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Cleveland-W side 4.2 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Broadview hts 3.4 706 am 11/14 snow spotter Cleveland Hopkins Ai 3.4 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 SSE Parma 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter North Royalton 3.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Lakewood 2.6 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Garfield hts 2.5 708 am 11/14 snow spotter Euclid 1.2 700 am 11/14 snow spotter

...Geauga County... Chardon 2n 6.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Chardon 5.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Montville 5.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter south madsion 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Lake County... Wickliffe 1.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Madison Village 0.9 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Mentor 0.7 746 am 11/14 trained spotter Painesville 0.3 700 am 11/14 snow spotter

...Lorain County... Elyria 4.5 728 am 11/14 public N Ridgeville 3.2 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Medina County... Brunswick 1.5 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Portage County... Hiram 2.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Richland County... mansfld Arpt 0.2 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Summit County... Sagamore Hills 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Twinsburg 2.5 700 am 11/14 snow spotter 2 N cle Airport 1.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Stow 0.5 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Bath TWP 0.2 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Trumbull County... Mesopotamia 5.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Youngstown Warren Ai 0.8 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Newton Falls 0.2 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

Pennsylvania

...Crawford County... canadohta lake 2.9 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Meadville 1.7 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Erie County... Corry 12.0 900 am 11/14 snow spotter Amity TWP 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Cranesville 2.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Girard 0.8 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Millcreek TWP 0.4 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Erie Airport T 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

**********************24 hour snowfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

Ohio

...Crawford County... 1 W Galion 1.5 700 am 11/14 cocorahs 1 NW Bucyrus 0.4 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Cuyahoga County... 1 E Chagrin Falls 6.2 800 am 11/14 cocorahs 2 NNW Parma 4.6 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Geauga County... 1 SSE Montville 11.0 600 am 11/14 cocorahs Burton 8.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter 2 W South Russell 6.0 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Knox County... 4 NNW Fredericktown 0.3 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Lake County... Madison-on-the-Lake 8.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 SW Kirtland 7.8 615 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Lorain County... 1 E Sheffield Lake 1.6 830 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Lucas County... 2 ENE Toledo 0.3 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Medina County... 1 NE Brunswick 1.7 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Portage County... 2 W Aurora 3.2 700 am 11/14 cocorahs 1 NNW Mantua 2.2 700 am 11/14 cocorahs N Hiram 2.0 700 am 11/14 cocorahs 4 NE Kent 1.0 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Richland County... 1 NW Lexington 1.0 730 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Summit County... Munroe Falls 0.1 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Trumbull County... 1 N Newton Falls 0.2 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

Pennsylvania

...Crawford County... 3 WNW Springboro 8.6 700 am 11/14 cocorahs springbor 3nw 8.6 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 NNE Meadville 5.9 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Erie County... 6 SW Erie 9.7 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

***********************snow on ground***********************

Location snow time/date comments on ground of /inches/ measurement

Ohio

...Ashtabula County... Ashtabula 8.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Pierpont 2se 7.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Conneaut I-90 7.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Ashtabula 1sw 6.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Roaming Shores 4.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Crawford County... 1 W Galion 1.0 700 am 11/14 cocorahs Galion 1.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 NW Bucyrus T 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Cuyahoga County... Shaker Heights 9.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Beachwood 7.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Solon 6.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter 1 E Chagrin Falls 6.0 800 am 11/14 cocorahs Euclid 5.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Cleveland-old brookl 5.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter North Royalton 5.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Cleveland-W side 4.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 2 NNW Parma 3.5 800 am 11/14 cocorahs Cleveland Hopkins Ai 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Broadview hts 3.0 706 am 11/14 snow spotter 1 SSE Parma 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Lakewood 3.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Garfield hts 2.5 708 am 11/14 snow spotter

...Erie County... 3 ENE Milan T 600 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Geauga County... 1 SSE Montville 9.0 600 am 11/14 cocorahs Chardon 2n 9.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Montville 9.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Chardon 8.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Burton 6.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter 2 W South Russell 6.0 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Hancock County... SW Arlington T 830 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Knox County... 4 NNW Fredericktown 0.3 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Lake County... Mentor 10.0 746 am 11/14 trained spotter Madison Village 10.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Painesville 9.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Madison-on-the-Lake 8.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 SW Kirtland 7.8 615 am 11/14 cocorahs Wickliffe 4.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Lorain County... Elyria 4.5 728 am 11/14 public N Ridgeville 4.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 E Sheffield Lake 1.6 830 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Lucas County... 2 ENE Toledo T 700 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Medina County... Brunswick 2.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 NE Brunswick 1.5 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Portage County... 2 W Aurora 3.0 700 am 11/14 cocorahs 1 NNW Mantua 2.2 700 am 11/14 cocorahs Hiram 2.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter N Hiram 2.0 700 am 11/14 cocorahs 4 NE Kent 1.0 800 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Richland County... mansfld Arpt T 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Sandusky County... 2 ENE Fremont T 600 am 11/14 cocorahs

...Summit County... Twinsburg 4.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Sagamore Hills 3.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Stow 1.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter 2 N cle Airport 1.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Bath TWP T 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 NNE Munroe Falls T 600 am 11/14 cocorahs Munroe Falls T 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Trumbull County... Mesopotamia 5.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter Youngstown Warren Ai 1.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 N Newton Falls 0.2 700 am 11/14 cocorahs Newton Falls T 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

Pennsylvania

...Crawford County... 3 WNW Springboro 9.0 700 am 11/14 cocorahs springbor 3nw 9.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter canadohta lake 6.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter 1 NNE Meadville 5.0 700 am 11/14 cocorahs Meadville 4.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

...Erie County... Corry 12.0 900 am 11/14 snow spotter Girard 12.0 700 am 11/14 snow spotter 6 SW Erie 11.9 700 am 11/14 cocorahs Millcreek TWP 11.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Erie Airport 9.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Amity TWP 9.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter Cranesville 8.0 700 am 11/14 trained spotter

---

fxus61 kcle 141756
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1256 pm est fri nov 14 2014

synopsis...
lake effect snow will continue today as a trough swings across the
forecast area later today. large arctic high over the central
plains will move across the ohio valley saturday...then move off
the mid atlantic coast sunday.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
snow continues to fall across the snow belt this morning and
advisories have been added for northern portions of the secondary
snow belt...along with lorain county. these areas already received 3-4
inches of snow overnight and will continue to see periods of snow
through tonight. cuyahoga county was also upgraded to a warning
as a heavy band set up across the county this morning. snow bands
are becoming more cellular as we head into this afternoon and expect
snow showers to become increasingly more scatted with time. many
of the high resolution models are showing snow bands continuing to
set up across cuyahoga county into tonight and this factored into
the decision to add them into the warning. accumulations for the
remainder of the afternoon will generally range from 1-3 inches
across the area...with a few locally higher amounts possible.
original discussion...
lake effect bands continue with the the best banding
across eastern cuyahoga and geauga counties. bands have shifted
slightly to the east last couple of hours as surface winds have
back slightly ahead of next trough but see no reason to believe
that conditions will change significantly before the morning
commute. as a result added geauga...lake and rest of erie
lakeshore to the lake effect snow warning and issued and advisory
for cuyahoga county for today. could see a good 2 to 5 inches
across cuyahoga county with the highest amounts across the eastern
portions of the county.
expect winds to shift more northwesterly later this morning as
surface trough moves through. upper level trough swings east of the
area this afternoon setting up very slowly improving conditions.
with winds shifting during the day do not expect mega band to set up
and sit over a given location all day. that said do expect a
widespread 3 to 6 inches across inland snowbelt in the higher
elevation.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through sunday night/...
winds back to the west overnight as arctic high...now over the
southern plains...moves into the ohio valley. as winds shift to the
west snow bands will shift to the northern portion of the snowbelt.
moisture and instability will be on the decline...but could still
be enough for a another 2-4 inches along the lakeshore by
daybreak saturday. ridge finally moves over the area by saturday
afternoon forcing boundary layer winds to the southwest and snow
bands back onto lake erie. could still see a good inch or two
saturday before the snow finally comes to an end. models in good
agreement with arctic high shifting off the mid atlantic coast
saturday. this will allow next system to track across the area
late saturday night into sunday. track of system still in doubt as
gfs and ecmwf much further south with system than the nam.
&&

long term /monday through thursday/...
the long term begins monday with another deep upper low...aka polar
vortex...moving through the great lakes. manual graphics suggest
the accompanying arctic boundary will move through during the day
with 850mb temps -12 to -14c in the west by monday evening. monday
night into tuesday the 850mb temps drop further to -14c to -16c
while the upper trough axis remains west of the area. would expect
lake effect to be occurring monday offshore and then move inland
during the day...likely behind the arctic front when winds veer to
more westerly. with instability so extreme thunder-snow would not be
a surprise. no big change occurs tuesday. tuesday night into
wednesday surface high pressure moves through the tennessee and
lower ohio valley and upper heights begin to rise as the upper
system pulls out of the area. winds will will back eventually
taking lake effect offshore. thursday tough to judge as models are
showing differences. the ecmwf is colder for the region with
another upper low over eastern ontario and arctic air closer to the
area vs the gfs. both fairly dry however.
&&

aviation /18z friday through tuesday/...
a northwest flow through saturday morning and then as the surface
ridge moves in the flow will become southwest and any remaining
lake effect will be over the lake.
for this afternoon the snow showers were trying to decrease as
some drier air is moving in and the upper trof that caused the
snow last night moves east.
for this evening the inversion is lowering but it seems like we
will set up a connection with lake michigan and some locations in
the snow belt will get hit hard again...including cle. elsewhere
the clouds will decrease this evening.
on saturday cirrus in the morning and then some mid clouds
developing in the afternoon ahead of the next system.

outlook...non vfr likely saturday night through tuesday.
&&

marine...
will extend the small craft into saturday morning. winds and waves
will be diminishing friday night but still close to 4 feet friday
overnight. waves should diminish further saturday. until then
expect west winds with small craft advisory conditions east half
with waves 4 to 6 feet today and 3 to 5 feet tonight. winds will
remain west to southwest through tuesday. high pressure moves east
on sunday increasing the gradient. small craft conditions will
return sunday behind a surface trough or cold front with waves
reaching 3 to 5 feet. monday deep low pressure will move into the
northern lakes. a cold front associated with the low will move
through during the day. expect winds to increase to 30 knots.
gales will be possibly tuesday behind the front as the gradient
tightens further.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...lake effect snow warning until 9 am est saturday for
ohz011>014-089.
lake effect snow advisory until 9 am est saturday for ohz010-
021>023.
pa...lake effect snow warning until 9 am est saturday for
paz001>003.
marine...small craft advisory until 9 am est saturday for lez146>149.
&&
$$
synopsis...djb
near term...kec
short term...djb
long term...tk
aviation...kieltyka
marine...tk

#weather - #lakeeffect - #greatlakes - #lakeerie