42 min

Nov 17 - 19, 2014 lake effect snow event

Ohio

Ashtabula Inland Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 3:27 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 7 am EST Wednesday... ...Winter Weather Advisory has expired...

  • snow accumulations...through Tuesday night will range from 6 to 12 inches mainly northeast of Painesville and north of Waterford and Corry. Some locations especially over extreme northeast Erie County Pennsylvania could accumulate up to 24 inches by daybreak Wednesday.
  • Timing...lake effect snow showers will develop this evening and may taper off for a time overnight and then intensify on Tuesday before tapering off late Tuesday night.
  • West winds will increase to 20 to 25 mph by tonight with gusts to 40 mph causing blowing and drifting snow. Winds will diminish Tuesday night.
  • Impacts...roads will be or become snow covered and slippery. Visibility will be greatly reduced...especially in the heavy snow bands and when blowing snow. Once the bands of lake effect develop especially tonight and combined with the strong winds...near blizzard conditions will occur. Some roads could become impassable and travel could be difficult if not impossible. However...this is all dependent on where the snow bands line up. The snow bands will be moving around through Tuesday night. They are expected to be close to the Lakeshore...mainly northeast of Painesville which will affect Interstate 90.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates.

PA

Southern Erie Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 3:27 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 7 am EST Wednesday... ...Winter Weather Advisory has expired...

  • snow accumulations...through Tuesday night will range from 6 to 12 inches mainly northeast of Painesville and north of Waterford and Corry. Some locations especially over extreme northeast Erie County Pennsylvania could accumulate up to 24 inches by daybreak Wednesday.
  • Timing...lake effect snow showers will develop this evening and may taper off for a time overnight and then intensify on Tuesday before tapering off late Tuesday night.
  • West winds will increase to 20 to 25 mph by tonight with gusts to 40 mph causing blowing and drifting snow. Winds will diminish Tuesday night.
  • Impacts...roads will be or become snow covered and slippery. Visibility will be greatly reduced...especially in the heavy snow bands and when blowing snow. Once the bands of lake effect develop especially tonight and combined with the strong winds...near blizzard conditions will occur. Some roads could become impassable and travel could be difficult if not impossible. However...this is all dependent on where the snow bands line up. The snow bands will be moving around through Tuesday night. They are expected to be close to the Lakeshore...mainly northeast of Painesville which will affect Interstate 90.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates.

Lake Erie NY

Chautauqua Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Watch, Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 3:47 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 10 am EST Wednesday... ...Lake effect snow watch in effect from Thursday morning through Friday morning...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a lake effect snow watch...which is in effect from Thursday morning through Friday morning.

  • Locations...Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties...greatest amounts along the Lake Erie shore and northern portions of the area.
  • Timing...warning from this evening through Wednesday morning. Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning.
  • Accumulations...snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour in the most intense portion of the band. Storm total accumulations of 1 to 2 feet from tonight through Wednesday morning. Additional significant accumulations possible Thursday through Friday.
  • Winds...southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph producing localized blizzard conditions at times with significant blowing and drifting snow.
  • Visibilities...near zero at times.
  • Impacts...intense lake effect snow and blowing snow will result in very difficult or nearly impossible travel at times within the most intense portion of the band. Some roads may become nearly impassable. If you must travel be prepared for severe winter driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads. This includes the New York state thruway from Ripley to Silver Creek.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions.

If you lose power and plan on running a generator...make sure that the generator is located outdoors and is properly ventilated. Space heaters should also be properly ventilated and used only if they are operating properly. Make sure snow does not block exhausts and fresh air intakes for high efficiency furnaces and water heaters.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.

Report snow accumulation to the National Weather Service in Buffalo by sending an email to bufstorm.Report@noaa.Gov...posting to the NWS Buffalo facebook Page...or tweet...using the hashtag bufwx

Special Statement
Statement as of 8:42 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow will continue to impact the area...

  • at 833 PM EST...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a lake effect snow band capable of producing snowfall rates of one half to one inch per hour...reducing visibility to a half mile or less. The lake effect snow band is located roughly along a line extending from Lackawanna to Akron to Brockport.
  • Some locations affected by the lake effect snow band include... Buffalo... Lackawanna... West Seneca... Alden... Akron... Corfu... Pembroke... Brockport...

This includes the New York thruway between exits 46 and 57.

This includes Interstate 390 between exits 11 and 12.

  • Lightning and a few rumbles of thunder will be possible.

If traveling across the area...slow down and allow for extra time to reach your destination. Watch out for slick spots on area roadways. In addition...be alert for rapidly changing weather conditions.

Driving within this snow band will be difficult at times with snow covered and slippery roadways. If traveling across the area slow down and be prepared for rapidly changing Road and weather conditions.

Lat...Lon 4250 7935 4256 7916 4269 7906 4279 7886 4294 7892 4299 7903 4308 7901 4338 7821 4338 7796 4302 7759 4267 7871 4248 7937

Low Pen N. MI

Antrim Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Winter Storm Warning
Statement as of 4:44 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Winter Storm Warning now in effect until midnight EST Tuesday night...

  • short term trends...snow showers will increase in intensity as the evening wears on.
  • Longer term trends...snow showers will continue into Tuesday and will be heavy at times with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour possible. Gusty west winds over 30 mph Tuesday will produce considerable blowing and drifting snow...especially on north-south roadways.
  • Snow accumulations...accumulations of 12 or more inches are possible under heaviest snow squalls between 6pm tonight and 6pm Tuesday evening. Additional snowfall is expected Tuesday night.
  • Impacts...snow covered roads. Near whiteout conditions at times due to a combination of falling snow and areas of blowing snow.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight... food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

UP

Luce Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Advisory
Statement as of 3:59 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect Snow Advisory remains in effect until 7 PM EST Tuesday...

Hazardous weather...

  • lake effect snow off Lake Superior will increase in coverage and intensity this evening and will then fall moderate to heavy at times tonight into Tuesday morning. The lake effect snow will gradually diminish Tuesday afternoon.
  • By late Tuesday afternoon...plan on total lake effect snow accumulations of 6 to 11 inches...with the greatest amounts from McMillan to Pine Stump Junction.
  • Northwest winds gusting to 20 to 30 mph will create blowing snow at times late tonight into Tuesday afternoon...especially near Lake Superior.

Impacts...

  • the combination of lake effect snow and blowing snow will make travel difficult at times tonight through Tuesday.
  • Large waves that will build to as high as 12 to 14 feet will lead to Lakeshore flooding and beach erosion along Lake Superior late tonight through Tuesday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

  • a lake effect Snow Advisory Means Lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas.

UP Houghton area

Houghton Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 3:59 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 1 PM EST Tuesday...

Hazardous weather...

  • lake effect snow will fall moderate to heavy at times through tonight...especially over the higher terrain south of Houghton and also near Copper Harbor this evening. The lake effect snow will then gradually diminish during the day Tuesday.
  • By Tuesday afternoon...plan on lake effect snow accumulations of 7 to 12 inches. As much as 12 to 18 inches of snow may accumulate over the higher terrain south of Painesdale...especially around Twin Lakes.
  • Northwest winds gusting to 35 to 40 mph at times will create considerable blowing snow through early Tuesday. The combination of the falling snow and blowing snow will reduce visibility to as low as one quarter mile at times.

Impacts...

  • the combination of the lake effect snow and blowing snow will make travel difficult through early Tuesday.
  • Large waves that will build to as high as 8 to 12 feet will lead to minor Lakeshore flooding and beach erosion along Lake Superior from late today through Tuesday morning.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

  • a lake effect snow warning means significant amounts of lake effect snow are forecast that will make travel very hazardous.

Lake Erie area near Buffalo

Southern Erie Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Watch, Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 3:47 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 1 PM EST Wednesday... ...Lake effect snow watch in effect from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a lake effect snow watch...which is in effect from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night.

  • Locations...Erie...Genesee...and Wyoming counties including the Buffalo Metro area.
  • Timing...lake effect snow warning from this evening through midday Wednesday. Lake effect snow watch late Wednesday night through late Thursday night.
  • Accumulations...snowfall rates of 3 to 5 inches per hour in the most intense portion of the band. Snow potentially accumulating 2 to 3 feet in the most persistent bands. Additional significant amounts possible late Wednesday night through late Thursday night.
  • Winds...southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph producing localized blizzard conditions at times with significant blowing and drifting snow.
  • Visibilities...near zero at times.
  • Impacts...intense lake effect snow and blowing snow will result in very difficult or nearly impossible travel at times within the most intense portion of the band. Some roads may become nearly impassable. If you must travel be prepared for severe winter driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads. This includes the New York state thruway from Silver Creek to Batavia.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions.

If you lose power and plan on running a generator...make sure that the generator is located outdoors and is properly ventilated. Space heaters should also be properly ventilated and used only if they are operating properly. Make sure snow does not block exhausts and fresh air intakes for high efficiency furnaces and water heaters.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.

Report snow accumulation to the National Weather Service in Buffalo by sending an email to bufstorm.Report@noaa.Gov...posting to the NWS Buffalo facebook Page...or tweet...using the hashtag bufwx

Special Statement
Statement as of 8:42 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow will continue to impact the area...

  • at 833 PM EST...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a lake effect snow band capable of producing snowfall rates of one half to one inch per hour...reducing visibility to a half mile or less. The lake effect snow band is located roughly along a line extending from Lackawanna to Akron to Brockport.
  • Some locations affected by the lake effect snow band include... Buffalo... Lackawanna... West Seneca... Alden... Akron... Corfu... Pembroke... Brockport...

This includes the New York thruway between exits 46 and 57.

This includes Interstate 390 between exits 11 and 12.

  • Lightning and a few rumbles of thunder will be possible.

If traveling across the area...slow down and allow for extra time to reach your destination. Watch out for slick spots on area roadways. In addition...be alert for rapidly changing weather conditions.

Driving within this snow band will be difficult at times with snow covered and slippery roadways. If traveling across the area slow down and be prepared for rapidly changing Road and weather conditions.

Lat...Lon 4250 7935 4256 7916 4269 7906 4279 7886 4294 7892 4299 7903 4308 7901 4338 7821 4338 7796 4302 7759 4267 7871 4248 7937

Lake Ontario

Lewis Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Watch, Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 3:47 PM EST on November 17, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect from 7 PM this evening to 3 PM EST Wednesday... ...Lake effect snow watch in effect from late Wednesday night through Friday morning...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a lake effect snow watch...which is in effect from late Wednesday night through Friday morning.

  • Locations...Eastern Lake Ontario region with the greatest amounts from the central and northern Tug Hill to the Watertown and Fort Drum areas.
  • Timing...warning from this evening through Wednesday afternoon. Watch from late Wednesday night through Friday morning.
  • Accumulations...snowfall rates of 3 to 5 inches per hour in the most intense portion of the band. Storm total accumulations of 3 to 4 feet in the most persistent bands.
  • Winds...southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph producing localized blizzard conditions at times with significant blowing and drifting snow.
  • Visibilities...near zero at times.
  • Impacts...intense lake effect snow and blowing snow will result in very difficult or nearly impossible travel at times within the most intense portion of the band. Some roads may become nearly impassable. If you must travel be prepared for severe winter driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads. This includes Interstate 81 from Pulaski to Watertown.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

If you lose power and plan on running a generator...make sure that the generator is located outdoors and is properly ventilated. Space heaters should also be properly ventilated and used only if they are operating properly. Make sure snow does not block exhausts and fresh air intakes for high efficiency furnaces and water heaters.

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.

Report snow accumulation to the National Weather Service in Buffalo by sending an email to bufstorm.Report@noaa.Gov...posting to the NWS Buffalo facebook Page...or tweet...using the hashtag bufwx

maps and radar image

nov 17-19, 2014 - lake effect snow warnings for eastern lake erie and lake ontario where forecast amounts range from 2 to 4 feet.

November plus big wind plus temps in the teens and dropping equals a major lake effect snow event

textile=yes

weather.com - Published: Nov 17, 2014, 9:08 PM EST - Heavy Lake-Effect Snow Underway: Thundersnow Reported, 3 Feet of Snow Possible

The map at right shows forecast snowfall accumulations for the next 48 hours. Keep in mind that additional accumulations may occur even after the end of the 48-hour period.


radar loop ending at 9:45 p.m. EST shows intense snowfall in western NY due to lake effect snow from Lake Erie.

Nov 18

Buffalo area

Southern Erie Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Warning, Lake Effect Snow Watch
Statement as of 9:39 AM EST on November 18, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 1 PM EST Wednesday... ...Lake effect snow watch remains in effect from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night...

  • locations...Erie...Genesee...and Wyoming counties including the Buffalo Metro area. Northern extent of the snow band from roughly a line from downtown Buffalo to Depew and Batavia.
  • Timing...warning through midday Wednesday. Watch from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night.
  • Accumulations...snowfall rates of 3 to 5 inches per hour in the most intense portion of the band. This will bring storm totals to 5 to 6 feet in the most persistent snows.
  • Winds...southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph producing localized blizzard conditions at times with significant blowing and drifting snow.
  • Visibilities...near zero at times.
  • Impacts...intense lake effect snow and blowing snow will result in very difficult or nearly impossible travel at times within the most intense portion of the band. Expect widespread Road closures. Travel will be impossible within the band. If you must travel be prepared for severe winter driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads. This includes the New York state thruway from Silver Creek to Batavia.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions.

If you lose power and plan on running a generator...make sure that the generator is located outdoors and is properly ventilated. Space heaters should also be properly ventilated and used only if they are operating properly. Make sure snow does not block exhausts and fresh air intakes for high efficiency furnaces and water heaters.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.

Report snow accumulation to the National Weather Service in Buffalo by sending an email to bufstorm.Report@noaa.Gov...posting to the NWS Buffalo facebook Page...or tweet...using the hashtag bufwx

Special Statement
Statement as of 12:05 PM EST on November 18, 2014

...Intense lake effect snow will continue to impact the southern half of the Buffalo Metro area...

  • at 1200 PM EST...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a lake effect snow band capable of producing snowfall rates of 4 inches per hour or more...and visibility near zero at times. The sharp northern edge of this lake effect snow band extends from South Buffalo to Depew and eastward towards Darien and Alexander. The southern edge of the band is hugging the Chautauqua County shoreline then extending inland across far northern Chautauqua County...the Boston Hills...and Wyoming County.

Travel within the most intense portion of this band from South Buffalo into the nearby southern and eastern suburbs is impossible. Local officials report all roads are impassable and clogged with snow and stuck vehicles. Do not venture out within this area. If you live north or south of the band of snow do not attempt to drive into the affected areas...you will become trapped.

  • Some locations affected by the lake effect snow band include... South Buffalo... Lancaster... Depew... all of the southern suburbs of Buffalo... Attica... Warsaw... Alexander... Pavilion...

This includes the New York thruway between exits 53 and 61.

  • Lightning and a few rumbles of thunder will be possible.

Travel will be impossible due to the combination of snowfall and strong winds producing significant blowing and drifting snow. Do not drive within the band or you will become trapped.

Lat...Lon 4229 7974 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904 4271 7899 4276 7888 4279 7886 4290 7890 4296 7875 4303 7797 4259 7804 4220 7977 4227 7977

Public Information Statement
Statement as of 11:57 am EST on November 18, 2014

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

New York

...Erie County... West Seneca 45.0 1141 am 11/18 social media Lancaster 42.0 900 am 11/18 NWS employee Alden 32.0 1104 am 11/18 NWS employee Depew 22.0 630 am 11/18 NWS employee Blasdell 19.0 645 am 11/18 trained spotter Hamburg 14.0 1215 am 11/18 NWS employee Orchard Park 12.0 1115 PM 11/17 social media East Aurora 10.5 630 am 11/18 NWS employee 3 se Buffalo 4.0 1045 PM 11/17 social media 2 N Lancaster 3.5 1000 PM 11/17 social media North Buffalo 1.0 1015 PM 11/17 NWS employee

...Genesee County... Pavilion 2.1 916 am 11/17 coop observer 5 S Batavia 1.5 100 PM 11/17 cocorahs

...Jefferson County... Philadelphia 15.0 1128 am 11/18 public

...Lewis County... Harrisville 7.0 655 am 11/18 trained spotter

**********************24 hour snowfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

New York

...Allegany County... Rushford 1.2 630 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 E Whitesville 0.2 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Cattaraugus County... 1 SSW Franklinville 2.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer se West Valley 2.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NNE Franklinville 2.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs Little Valley 1.5 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 5 N Allegany 1.4 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NE Olean 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Chautauqua County... 4 SSW Ripley 2.6 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 SSE Frewsburg 2.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 4 ENE Jamestown 1.2 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 SW Dunkirk 0.6 1143 am 11/17 cocorahs 1 S Dunkirk 0.6 1145 PM 11/17 co-op observer 1 WNW Fredonia 0.2 600 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Erie County... Alden 48.0 1100 am 11/18 amateur radio Lancaster 48.0 1015 am 11/18 amateur radio 1 S East Lancaster 42.0 1000 am 11/18 near Como Park Elma 37.2 820 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 E East Lancaster 37.0 1040 am 11/18 social media 1 WNW Orchard Park 36.0 910 am 11/18 dept of highways 3 WSW Elma 32.4 500 am 11/18 cocorahs Orchard Park 30.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 4 SSE Buffalo 25.0 745 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 N Hamburg 21.5 930 am 11/18 NWS employee Hamburg 20.0 1052 am 11/18 broadcast media 2 SSW Blasdell 19.0 744 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W West Seneca 18.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs WSW Hamburg 18.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 S Akron 16.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 S Wales 10.8 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 W Colden 5.4 730 am 11/18 co-op observer NY Buffalo Intl Arpt 3.2 700 am 11/18 ASOS Akron 3.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 2 NE Boston 3.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 se Glenwood 1.8 800 am 11/18 cocorahs ESE Kenmore 1.2 710 am 11/18 cocorahs 4 N Buffalo 1.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Kenmore 1.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 4 NE Buffalo 1.0 800 am 11/18 co-op observer 3 E Williamsville 1.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 ESE Tonawanda 0.9 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 WNW East Amherst 0.8 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 7 N Buffalo 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 5 NNE Amherst 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 NE Tonawanda 0.3 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NW Kenmore 0.2 600 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Genesee County... East Pembroke 24.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 5 S Batavia 13.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 NE Stafford 5.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 20 Pavilion 5.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Jefferson County... 2 SW Carthage 6.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 S Theresa 5.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 WSW Watertown 2.3 430 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Lewis County... 12 NNW Hooker 9.9 630 am 11/18 co-op observer 5 SSW Harrisville 7.0 530 am 11/18 cocorahs SW Beaver Falls 6.5 659 am 11/18 cocorahs Beaver Falls 6.5 1020 am 11/18 trained spotter Watson 6.0 950 am 11/18 social media Lowville 5.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NW Constableville 3.5 500 am 11/18 cocorahs highmarket 3.0 249 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Livingston County... 4 WSW Dansville 1.9 600 am 11/18 cocorahs Avon 1.6 827 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 ENE Dansville 0.4 730 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W Mt Morris T 800 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Monroe County... Rochester Intl Arpt 2.6 700 am 11/18 ASOS 2 NE Webster 1.0 800 PM 11/17 co-op observer 3 W Webster 0.7 1159 am 11/17 cocorahs 4 WNW Webster 0.5 900 am 11/17 cocorahs

...Niagara County... 6 E Niagara Falls 1.6 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NE Lockport 1.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NNE north tonawand 0.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NE Pendleton 0.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 NE Youngstown 0.4 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Ontario County... 3 W Geneva 1.3 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Oswego County... 5 ESE Oswego 2.5 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 8 NNW Redfield 2.0 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 NE Bennetts bridge 1.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer W Fulton 0.8 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NE Pulaski 0.6 600 am 11/18 cocorahs se Minetto 0.3 730 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Wayne County... 2 SW Walworth 1.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 ESE Macedon 0.6 640 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 E Newark T 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Wyoming County... Attica 18.0 1015 am 11/18 amateur radio 7 SW Attica 11.5 600 am 11/18 co-op observer Wyoming 8.0 1010 am 11/18 social media 6 SW Warsaw 5.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 3 E Varysburg 4.7 800 am 11/18 cocorahs Portageville 2.4 700 am 11/18 trained spotter 3 N Silver Springs 1.8 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

NE OH - NW PA

Ashtabula Inland Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Warning
Statement as of 10:18 AM EST on November 18, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 7 am EST Wednesday...

  • snow accumulations...through tonight should range from 6 to 12 inches mainly northeast of Painesville and north of Waterford and Corry. Some locations especially over extreme northeast Erie County Pennsylvania could accumulate up to 24 inches by daybreak Wednesday.
  • Timing...snow is occurring along the Lakeshore. The snow band that is over the lake expected to move inland this afternoon and then move back out over the lake late tonight. The highest intensity of the snow will be this afternoon and early tonight.
  • West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph causing blowing and drifting snow. Winds will diminish tonight.
  • Impacts...roads will be or become snow covered and slippery. Visibility will be greatly reduced...especially in the heavy snow bands and during blowing snow. Near blizzard conditions are possible in the heavy snow band.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates.

Record Report
Statement as of 9:40 am EST on November 18, 2014

...Record low temperature tied at Cleveland OH and Erie PA...

The temperature at Cleveland Hopkins Airport fell to 10 degrees this morning which ties the record low for today that was set in 1959.

The temperature at Erie Pennsylvania Airport fell to 14 degrees this morning which ties the record low for today that was set in 1959.

Public Information Statement
Statement as of 10:26 am EST on November 18, 2014

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 8 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to Highway departments...cooperative observers...Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/Cleveland

**********************12 hour snowfall**********************

Location 12 hour time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

Ohio

...Ashtabula County... Geneva 0.5 835 am 11/18 snow spotter Ashtabula 1sw 0.5 826 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Crawford County... Galion 1.0 834 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Cuyahoga County... Beachwood 0.3 827 am 11/18 snow spotter Lakewood T 910 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Geauga County... south madsion T 830 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Lake County... Madison-on-the-Lake 2.0 830 am 11/18 snow spotter Madison Village 1.5 954 am 11/18 snow spotter Mentor 1.2 829 am 11/18 snow spotter Painesville 0.5 835 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Lorain County... North Ridgeville T 952 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Mahoning County... Youngstown 0.7 908 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Medina County... Brunswick 1.0 908 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Richland County... Mansfield/Ontario 0.5 835 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Stark County... North Canton 1.5 831 am 11/18 snow spotter 4 NW Massillon 0.5 909 am 11/18 snow spotter Canton 5nw 0.3 952 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Summit County... Bath TWP 2.0 833 am 11/18 snow spotter Greene 1.1 831 am 11/18 snow spotter 2 NNE Akron W side 0.5 953 am 11/18 snow spotter Akron W side T 832 am 11/18 snow spotter

Pennsylvania

...Erie County... Corry 2.0 953 am 11/18 snow spotter Erie Airport 0.3 836 am 11/18 ASOS Girard T 833 am 11/18 snow spotter

**********************24 hour snowfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

Ohio

...Crawford County... 1 NW Bucyrus 1.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Galion 0.2 838 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Erie County... 2 NNE Castalia 2.0 730 am 11/18 cocorahs N Berlin Heights 1.9 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 5 NNE Wakeman 0.4 830 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Geauga County... 1 SSE Montville 2.5 500 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W South Russell 1.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs Chardon 0.5 911 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NE Middlefield 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Hancock County... Arlington 0.5 910 am 11/18 snow spotter SW Arlington 0.5 830 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Huron County... 1 N Bellevue 0.5 500 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Knox County... 4 NNW Fredericktown 0.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Lake County... 1 SW Kirtland 1.8 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Lorain County... se Elyria 2.5 540 am 11/18 cocorahs 6 SW Wellington 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Marion County... 4 SSE Marion 0.2 400 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Medina County... Chippewa lk 1.0 837 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NE Brunswick 0.6 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Ottawa County... 3 W Port Clinton 0.2 900 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Portage County... Diamond 4.5 828 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 NNW Mantua 1.3 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W Aurora 1.3 700 am 11/18 cocorahs N Hiram 0.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Richland County... 1 NW Lexington 1.6 715 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Seneca County... 5 S Bellevue 0.5 530 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Summit County... 1 NNE Munroe Falls 2.2 600 am 11/18 cocorahs Munroe Falls 1.4 839 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 ESE Cuyahoga Falls 1.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Trumbull County... 1 N Newton Falls 2.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Warren 0.2 839 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Wood County... 2 WSW Perrysburg 0.5 500 am 11/18 cocorahs

Pennsylvania

...Crawford County... 1 NNE Meadville 2.4 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 WNW Springboro 1.8 700 am 11/18 cocorahs springbor 3nw 1.8 838 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Erie County... 1 WNW North East 0.3 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

***********************snow on ground***********************

Location snow time/date comments on ground of /inches/ measurement

Ohio

...Ashland County... Ashland 4.0 834 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Ashtabula County... Geneva 4.0 835 am 11/18 snow spotter Ashtabula 1sw 3.0 826 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Crawford County... Galion 6.0 834 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 NW Bucyrus 3.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Cuyahoga County... Beachwood 8.8 827 am 11/18 snow spotter Lakewood 4.5 910 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Erie County... 2 NNE Castalia 4.0 730 am 11/18 cocorahs 5 NNE Wakeman 2.5 830 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Geauga County... 1 SSE Montville 7.0 500 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W South Russell 5.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs Chardon 5.0 911 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NE Middlefield 4.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Hancock County... Arlington 3.5 910 am 11/18 snow spotter SW Arlington 3.5 830 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Knox County... 4 NNW Fredericktown 4.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Lake County... Painesville 7.0 835 am 11/18 snow spotter Mentor 7.0 829 am 11/18 snow spotter Madison Village 7.0 954 am 11/18 snow spotter Madison-on-the-Lake 6.0 830 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 SW Kirtland 4.3 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Lorain County... 1 E Sheffield Lake 3.5 815 am 11/18 cocorahs 6 SW Wellington 2.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs se Elyria 2.0 540 am 11/18 cocorahs North Ridgeville 2.0 952 am 11/18 snow spotter Kipton 1.0 829 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Lucas County... 2 WSW Toledo 1.0 600 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Mahoning County... Youngstown 3.0 908 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Marion County... 4 SSE Marion 3.0 400 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Medina County... 5 WNW Wadsworth 4.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Brunswick 4.0 908 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 NE Brunswick 2.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Chippewa lk 2.0 837 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Portage County... 1 NNW Mantua 5.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 4 NE Kent 4.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W Aurora 4.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs N Hiram 4.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Diamond 3.0 828 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Richland County... Mansfield/Ontario 4.0 835 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 NW Lexington 3.5 715 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Stark County... North Canton 6.5 831 am 11/18 snow spotter Massillon 5.0 828 am 11/18 snow spotter 4 NW Massillon 4.0 909 am 11/18 snow spotter Canton 5nw 3.8 952 am 11/18 snow spotter

...Summit County... Greene 5.6 831 am 11/18 snow spotter 2 NNE Akron W side 5.5 953 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 NNE Munroe Falls 4.5 600 am 11/18 cocorahs Munroe Falls 4.0 839 am 11/18 co-op observer Akron W side 4.0 832 am 11/18 snow spotter Bath TWP 3.5 833 am 11/18 snow spotter 1 ESE Cuyahoga Falls 3.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Trumbull County... 1 N Newton Falls 5.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Warren T 839 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Wood County... 2 WSW Perrysburg 3.5 500 am 11/18 cocorahs

Pennsylvania

...Crawford County... 3 WNW Springboro 7.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs springbor 3nw 7.0 838 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NNE Meadville 3.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Erie County... Corry 10.0 953 am 11/18 snow spotter Girard 6.0 833 am 11/18 snow spotter 6 SW Erie 5.6 600 am 11/18 cocorahs Erie Airport 5.0 836 am 11/18 ASOS 1 WNW North East 3.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

Eastern Lake Ontario

Lewis Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio
Lake Effect Snow Warning, Lake Effect Snow Watch
Statement as of 9:39 AM EST on November 18, 2014

...Lake effect snow warning remains in effect until 3 PM EST Wednesday... ...Lake effect snow watch remains in effect from late Wednesday night through Friday morning...

  • locations...Eastern Lake Ontario region with the greatest amounts from the central and northern Tug Hill to the Watertown and Fort Drum areas.
  • Timing...warning through Wednesday afternoon. Watch from late Wednesday night through Friday morning.
  • Accumulations...snowfall rates of 3 to 6 inches per hour in the most intense portion of the band. Storm totals of 3 to 4 feet in the most persistent snows.
  • Winds...southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph producing localized blizzard conditions at times with significant blowing and drifting snow.
  • Visibilities...near zero at times.
  • Impacts...intense lake effect snow and blowing snow will result in very difficult or nearly impossible travel at times within the most intense portion of the band. Many roads may become nearly impassable. If you must travel be prepared for severe winter driving conditions with near zero visibility and deep snow cover on roads. This includes Interstate 81 from Pulaski to Watertown.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

If you lose power and plan on running a generator...make sure that the generator is located outdoors and is properly ventilated. Space heaters should also be properly ventilated and used only if they are operating properly. Make sure snow does not block exhausts and fresh air intakes for high efficiency furnaces and water heaters.

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in Road and visibility conditions.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.

Report snow accumulation to the National Weather Service in Buffalo by sending an email to bufstorm.Report@noaa.Gov...posting to the NWS Buffalo facebook Page...or tweet...using the hashtag bufwx

Special Statement
Statement as of 12:32 PM EST on November 18, 2014

...Lake effect snow will continue to impact the north country...

  • at 1228 PM EST...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a lake effect snow band capable of producing snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour...and visibility near zero at times. This lake effect snow band was located from Watertown to Fort Drum extending east to near Harrisville.
  • Some locations affected by the lake effect snow band include... Watertown... Fort Drum... Calcium... Harrisville...

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 43 and 49.

  • Lightning and a few rumbles of thunder will be possible.

Travel will be extremely difficult or even impossible due to the combination of snowfall and strong winds producing significant blowing and drifting snow. Motorists should expect to encounter near zero visibilities...snow covered and drifted roadways which will make some roads nearly impassable at times.

Motorists should allow a lot of extra time and be prepared for severe winter driving conditions. If you must travel...be prepared by having an emergency kit...extra blankets and warm clothing in the event that your vehicle has mechanical problems or gets stuck. Make sure you have a fully charged cell phone.

Lat...Lon 4410 7517 4382 7626 4388 7629 4391 7622 4390 7620 4387 7621 4390 7614 4392 7614 4398 7622 4395 7628 4405 7631 4407 7638 4409 7637 4436 7576

Public Information Statement
Statement as of 11:57 am EST on November 18, 2014

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

New York

...Erie County... West Seneca 45.0 1141 am 11/18 social media Lancaster 42.0 900 am 11/18 NWS employee Alden 32.0 1104 am 11/18 NWS employee Depew 22.0 630 am 11/18 NWS employee Blasdell 19.0 645 am 11/18 trained spotter Hamburg 14.0 1215 am 11/18 NWS employee Orchard Park 12.0 1115 PM 11/17 social media East Aurora 10.5 630 am 11/18 NWS employee 3 se Buffalo 4.0 1045 PM 11/17 social media 2 N Lancaster 3.5 1000 PM 11/17 social media North Buffalo 1.0 1015 PM 11/17 NWS employee

...Genesee County... Pavilion 2.1 916 am 11/17 coop observer 5 S Batavia 1.5 100 PM 11/17 cocorahs

...Jefferson County... Philadelphia 15.0 1128 am 11/18 public

...Lewis County... Harrisville 7.0 655 am 11/18 trained spotter

**********************24 hour snowfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

New York

...Allegany County... Rushford 1.2 630 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 E Whitesville 0.2 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Cattaraugus County... 1 SSW Franklinville 2.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer se West Valley 2.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NNE Franklinville 2.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs Little Valley 1.5 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 5 N Allegany 1.4 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NE Olean 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Chautauqua County... 4 SSW Ripley 2.6 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 SSE Frewsburg 2.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 4 ENE Jamestown 1.2 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 SW Dunkirk 0.6 1143 am 11/17 cocorahs 1 S Dunkirk 0.6 1145 PM 11/17 co-op observer 1 WNW Fredonia 0.2 600 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Erie County... Alden 48.0 1100 am 11/18 amateur radio Lancaster 48.0 1015 am 11/18 amateur radio 1 S East Lancaster 42.0 1000 am 11/18 near Como Park Elma 37.2 820 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 E East Lancaster 37.0 1040 am 11/18 social media 1 WNW Orchard Park 36.0 910 am 11/18 dept of highways 3 WSW Elma 32.4 500 am 11/18 cocorahs Orchard Park 30.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 4 SSE Buffalo 25.0 745 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 N Hamburg 21.5 930 am 11/18 NWS employee Hamburg 20.0 1052 am 11/18 broadcast media 2 SSW Blasdell 19.0 744 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W West Seneca 18.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs WSW Hamburg 18.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 S Akron 16.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 S Wales 10.8 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 W Colden 5.4 730 am 11/18 co-op observer NY Buffalo Intl Arpt 3.2 700 am 11/18 ASOS Akron 3.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 2 NE Boston 3.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 se Glenwood 1.8 800 am 11/18 cocorahs ESE Kenmore 1.2 710 am 11/18 cocorahs 4 N Buffalo 1.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs Kenmore 1.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 4 NE Buffalo 1.0 800 am 11/18 co-op observer 3 E Williamsville 1.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 ESE Tonawanda 0.9 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 WNW East Amherst 0.8 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 7 N Buffalo 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 5 NNE Amherst 0.5 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 NE Tonawanda 0.3 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NW Kenmore 0.2 600 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Genesee County... East Pembroke 24.0 1000 am 11/18 social media 5 S Batavia 13.0 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 NE Stafford 5.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 20 Pavilion 5.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Jefferson County... 2 SW Carthage 6.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 S Theresa 5.0 800 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 WSW Watertown 2.3 430 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Lewis County... 12 NNW Hooker 9.9 630 am 11/18 co-op observer 5 SSW Harrisville 7.0 530 am 11/18 cocorahs SW Beaver Falls 6.5 659 am 11/18 cocorahs Beaver Falls 6.5 1020 am 11/18 trained spotter Watson 6.0 950 am 11/18 social media Lowville 5.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NW Constableville 3.5 500 am 11/18 cocorahs highmarket 3.0 249 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Livingston County... 4 WSW Dansville 1.9 600 am 11/18 cocorahs Avon 1.6 827 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 ENE Dansville 0.4 730 am 11/18 cocorahs 2 W Mt Morris T 800 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Monroe County... Rochester Intl Arpt 2.6 700 am 11/18 ASOS 2 NE Webster 1.0 800 PM 11/17 co-op observer 3 W Webster 0.7 1159 am 11/17 cocorahs 4 WNW Webster 0.5 900 am 11/17 cocorahs

...Niagara County... 6 E Niagara Falls 1.6 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 1 NE Lockport 1.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NNE north tonawand 0.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NE Pendleton 0.5 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 NE Youngstown 0.4 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Ontario County... 3 W Geneva 1.3 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Oswego County... 5 ESE Oswego 2.5 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 8 NNW Redfield 2.0 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 NE Bennetts bridge 1.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer W Fulton 0.8 600 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 NE Pulaski 0.6 600 am 11/18 cocorahs se Minetto 0.3 730 am 11/18 cocorahs

...Wayne County... 2 SW Walworth 1.2 700 am 11/18 cocorahs 3 ESE Macedon 0.6 640 am 11/18 cocorahs 1 E Newark T 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

...Wyoming County... Attica 18.0 1015 am 11/18 amateur radio 7 SW Attica 11.5 600 am 11/18 co-op observer Wyoming 8.0 1010 am 11/18 social media 6 SW Warsaw 5.0 700 am 11/18 co-op observer 3 E Varysburg 4.7 800 am 11/18 cocorahs Portageville 2.4 700 am 11/18 trained spotter 3 N Silver Springs 1.8 700 am 11/18 co-op observer

SPC Mesoscale Discussion

(for areas south of Buffalo)

md 1926 concerning heavy snow for coastal areas of lake erie in wrn ny

mesoscale discussion 1926
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0526 pm cst tue nov 18 2014

areas affected...coastal areas of lake erie in wrn ny

concerning...heavy snow

valid 182326z - 190200z

summary...very heavy snowfall rates exceeding 2 inches per hour will
probably persist for the next few hours.

discussion...radar loop over the past few hours has show little
overall movement in an intense shallow convective band down the axis
of lake erie into the ern shores of lake erie in wrn ny. surface
observations continue to indicate strong low-level confluence
surrounding the lake effect snow band. forecast soundings show
low-level lapse rates in the 8-9 deg c per km range during the
evening hours. lightning flashes have been noted recently to the
ese of buf.

as the mid-level trough axis --currently upstream over swrn
ontario-- pivots through the area...a gradual weakening in the
snowfall rates is expected. models vary some regarding the veering
of the flow to a more wly component in the lowest 1-2 km...but once
this occurs...a slight swd shift in the very heavy snowfall rates
near buf may shift into more of chautauqua and cntrl and srn
portions of erie county.

..smith.. 11/18/2014

...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

attn...wfo...buf...cle...

lat...lon 42837888 42907855 42667842 42487873 42207954 42277978
42477967 42837888

#weather - #greatlakes - #lakeeffect

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