Toledo Weather - Mon, Mar 24, 2014

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Mar 24, 2014 6:31 am

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.

Tonight: A chance of snow showers, mainly after 4am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 22. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Tuesday: Snow showers likely, mainly between 7am and 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Tuesday Night: A chance of snow showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Northwest wind 8 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 32. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.

Thursday: A chance of showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Friday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.

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fxus61 kcle 241117
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
717 am edt mon mar 24 2014

synopsis...
high pressure over the region will move east to the delaware and new
jersey coast by this evening. low pressure will move east across the
deep south with a trough extending north across the local area on
tuesday. high pressure will build east across the tennessee valley
region by wednesday morning and to the east coast by wednesday
night. low pressure will race northeast across the western great
lakes by thursday night forcing a warm front across the area
wednesday night followed by a cold front friday morning.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
clouds continue to persist across northeast ohio and northwest
pennsylvania. however...flow is beginning to shift the clouds more
easterly so a gradual reduction in the lake influence should take
place over the next several hours. this should also reduce the
threat for snow showers as well in the east.
unfortunately...a lot of high clouds are already streaming in from
the west so as the eastern clouds exit to the right...new clouds
will be filling in from the west to affect all areas of the
forecast area.
current forecast appears to be on track with transitioning clouds
so no adjustments needed at this time.
previous discussion...
upper level broad trough will continue to remain present across the
eastern half of the country through today. some signs deepening the
western half of the trough will begin to take place by this evening
from the northwest. at the surface...high pressure over the region
will shift east during the day and bring a return back to fair
weather once again.
the lingering few flurries and light snow showers will continue to
diminish this morning as the high pressure builds into the region.
clouds will begin to thin out in the east as a response to the drier
air working into the region for the short duration across the east.
moisture will then begin to stream into the area later today from
the west in advance of the surface trough moving toward the area
from the west in response to the deep south low pressure system. so
we should see a fair amount of sunshine this morning and early
afternoon.
temperatures will begin to recover nicely in the west where there
will be more sun in the morning and a return westerly flow albeit
light. eastern areas will start to see the cold air begin to retreat
to the east.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through thursday night/...
upper level pattern becoming active again as we move into the middle
of the week. upper level trough is expected to dig deep into the
eastern united states by tuesday night. this will cause rapid
intensification of the east coast low pressure system by mid week.
this storm system will have some impacts on the forecast area as a
trough of low pressure extends from the storm system northwest into
the local area tuesday.
the surface trough will bring another surge of moisture to the
forecast area tonight into tuesday. temperatures at the surface and
aloft will support precipitation in the form of snow beginning late
tonight and continuing on through tuesday night. moisture is not
going to be all that extensive so precipitation amounts should be on
the light side.
as high pressure builds in again on wednesday...precipitation will
come to an end. as has been the case this past winter...the dry
spell will be short lived as yet another storm system is expected to
develop near the oklahoma panhandle and then move northeast into the
western great lakes region. warm frontal boundary will lift
northeast across the forecast area wednesday night and warm air
advection will follow the front. moisture from the gulf of mexico
will likely stream unimpeded into the forecast area. the warm air
advection will be strong enough to support precipitation in the form
of rain this go around starting thursday afternoon in the west
spreading into the rest of the area thursday night. the best
upper level dynamics appear they will arrive late thursday night
ahead of the cold front and this should be the best shot for
rain...especially toward sunrise. cold front is progged to move
through the forecast area friday morning. so will hold off on the
higher pops until then.
a gradual warming trend is expected through this period as cold air
lobe is shunted to the east and northeast allowing for some warm air
advection to take place over the next few days. will gradually trend
temperatures upwards.
&&

long term /friday through sunday/...
models divergent and have opted to follow a mix of wpc/ecmwf
guidance. the long term begins friday with a surface low moving
through the great lakes. airmass fairly moist and would expect a
decent chance of precip thursday night going into friday morning
with decreasing pops friday afternoon. will begin with likely pops
and drop to chance in the afternoon with highest chance east.
trailing cold front will pass through friday as well with a cool off
friday night. any lingering precip east friday night will begin as
rain but would be a rain/snow mix by saturday morning. will continue
with low chance pops for mix into saturday morning east and than
change back to rain saturday afternoon. saturday and sunday high
pressure moves over and then to the southeast. expect dry wx and
moderating temps. friday and saturday temps near to slightly below
normal. temps by sunday and monday above normal.
&&

aviation /12z monday through friday/...
high pressure will build east across the area today. flow off
the lake will likely bring light snow flurries to keri this
morning. as the high drifts east this afternoon mid and high
level clouds will increase. also with lower level moisture still
in place we could see cigs develop/increase around bkn045 through
the early/mid afternoon. still...conditions are expected to remain
vfr through the period.

outlook...non vfr likely developing tuesday...lingering into
tuesday night for ne oh/nw pa. non vfr likely again by friday.
&&

marine...
no headlines expected through the period. today and tonight high
pressure will move across the region and keep winds light. tuesday
and weak low and surface trough move through the area. expect west
to northwest flow to increase to about 15 to 20 knots or so lasting
through tuesday night. wednesday flow will decrease again with
another high over the region. thursday low pressure will develop in
the central plains and move northeast across the lakes friday.
south winds will increase ahead of the low turning southwest
thursday night and eventually west friday behind the system at 15 to
25 knots.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

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fzus51 kcle 240716
nshcle
nearshore marine forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
316 am edt mon mar 24 2014
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
lez142>149-241415-
maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh-
the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh-
avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-
on-the-lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny-
316 am edt mon mar 24 2014

today...west winds 10 knots or less. partly sunny. a chance of snow
showers this morning.

tonight...west winds 10 knots or less. mostly cloudy.

tuesday...south winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west 10 to 20 knots.
cloudy with a chance of snow showers.

tuesday night...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest 10 to
20 knots. mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday.
the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33
degrees and off erie 33 degrees.

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flus41 kcle 240745
hwocle
hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
345 am edt mon mar 24 2014

for lake erie...north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

day one...today and tonight.
no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

days two through seven...tuesday through sunday.
no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

spotter information statement...
spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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