Weather notes for Jan 30, 2015

As of early Fri morning, Jan 30, the last two GFS computer model runs have forecast the Toledo area to receive between 3 and 6+ inches of snowfall by daybreak Monday. At the moment, we're on the forecast border or the northern edge of the heavier snowfall range.

Findlay and Lima should receive several inches. Monroe might receive 2 to 3 inches. If the low pressure tracks a little further north, then Toledo will receive its biggest snowfall of the season.

This morning's snow forecast maps and the area forecast discussion predict the heavier snowfall to occur over the middle third of Ohio or along and south of Route 30.

Regardless, it will be wintry on Sunday in Toledo. We'll receive at least a few inches of snowfall. Our temps will be cold, around 20 degrees, so the snow will probably be light and fluffy. It's forecast to be windy, so blowing snow may be a problem.

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Image-heavy post.

The most recent GFS run is from 1:00 p.m. EST. The heavier snowfall area continues to move north.

I think this run forecasts 7 to 10 inches of snowfall over southeast Michigan and northwest Ohio.

Northern Indiana NWS, which covers northwest Ohio counties west of Lucas County.

Detroit/Pontiac NWS

Total snowfall by 7:00 a.m., Mon, Feb 2

Cleveland NWS

Total snowfall by Noon on Monday.

Weather Prediction Center

Latest snowfall probability forecast maps, issued at 3:25 p.m., Fri, Jan 30.

For the Toledo area:

• 70 to 90 percent chance of at least 4 inches of snow
• 40 to 70 percent chance of at least 6 inches of snow
• 20 to 40 percent chance of at least 8 inches of snow

It seems that the best chances for a big snowfall still exist south of Toledo.

#toledo #weather