Toledo Weather Mon, Jun 29, 2015

#toledo #weather

flood statement
national weather service cleveland oh
1242 am edt mon jun 29 2015

...the flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in ohio...

blanchard river near findlay
scioto river near larue
mahoning river at warren

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

grand river at painesville
maumee river near grand rapids
mahoning river at leavittsburg
eagle creek at phalanx station

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

portage river at woodville
maumee river at waterville

precautionary/preparedness actions...

never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be
deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown!

stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.

&&

ohc095-173-291242-
/o.con.kcle.fl.w.0056.000000t0000z-000000t0000z/
/wtvo1.1.er.000000t0000z.150629t1200z.000000t0000z.no/
1242 am edt mon jun 29 2015

the flood warning continues for
the maumee river at waterville.
* at 12:00 am monday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* forecast...the river will rise to near 14.4 feet by this morning.
additional rises are possible thereafter.
* at 15.0 feet...100 year flood level. residences on water street and
north river road are threatened. the river reaches the water
street. three houses on the river side of water street are cut off
from emergency access. on river road just south of the waterville
elementary school a dozen homes are surrounded by water with
basement inundation. flood waters extend out to jerome road. ten
mile creek likely to flood due to backwater which can cut off
harroun road. portions of state routes 105 and 65 inundated.
* at 14.0 feet...residences along the river may experience basement
flooding.
* at 13.0 feet...floodwaters can back up through storm drains onto
water street in waterville making roads inaccessible.
* at 12.0 feet...flooding begins in side cut metropark. the risver is
out of banks in waterville.
* at 11.0 feet...a few riverside cabins in waterville become
threatened. lowland flooding occurs along with some water
inundation on river road.

&&

lat...lon 4148 8376 4171 8348 4167 8345 4147 8371
4145 8374

$$

flood warning
flood statement
national weather service cleveland oh
1242 am edt mon jun 29 2015

...the flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in ohio...

blanchard river near findlay
scioto river near larue
mahoning river at warren

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

grand river at painesville
maumee river near grand rapids
mahoning river at leavittsburg
eagle creek at phalanx station

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

portage river at woodville
maumee river at waterville

precautionary/preparedness actions...

never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be
deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown!

stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.

&&

ohc095-173-291242-
/o.ext.kcle.fl.w.0058.000000t0000z-150630t1912z/
/grro1.1.er.150628t1540z.150629t0600z.150630t0712z.no/
1242 am edt mon jun 29 2015

the flood warning continues for
the maumee river near grand rapids.
* at 3:45 pm sunday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* flood stage is 17.5 feet.
* minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* forecast...the river is expected to crest near 18.4 feet early
this morning then start to fall by late morning.
* at 18.5 feet...100 year flood level. mary jane thursten state park
campground inundated. homes in wood county cut off from emergency
access. portions of old route 24 inundated. the metropark
facilities inundated.
* at 18.0 feet...water starts to cover front street just west of the
grand rapids business district over portions of beaver, west, and
mill streets. campgrounds along the river are under water.
* at 17.5 feet...flood waters inundate grand rapids road cutting off
access to a few homes. mill street access on the east end of front
street flooded. route 24 threatened by rising flood waters. water
can back up through storm drains causing flooding on the south side
of grand rapids.
* at 16.5 feet...low lying land near grand rapids floods.
* at 15.0 feet...the metropark in grand rapids floods and the park
service road inundated.

&&

lat...lon 4143 8388 4148 8376 4145 8374 4139 8388

$$

flood warning
flood warning
national weather service cleveland oh
129 pm edt sun jun 28 2015

ohc095-173-291945-
/o.ext.kcle.fa.w.0013.000000t0000z-150629t1945z/
/00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/
wood oh-lucas oh-
129 pm edt sun jun 28 2015

the national weather service in cleveland has extended the

• flood warning for urban areas and small streams in...
  wood county in northwestern ohio...
  lucas county in northwestern ohio...

• until 345 pm edt monday

• at 125 pm edt...local law enforcement continues to indicate
  numerous road closures across lucas and wood counties. all creeks
  and streams are in flood and will likely remain that way into the
  overnight. water levels may recede slightly by monday morning but
  another round of rain is likely.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

most flood deaths occur in automobiles. never drive your vehicle into
areas where the water covers the roadway. flood waters are usually
deeper than they appear. just one foot of flowing water is powerful
enough to sweep vehicles off the road. when encountering flooded
roads make the smart choice...turn around...dont drown.

&&

lat...lon 4172 8387 4173 8346 4173 8345 4172 8347
4169 8343 4169 8335 4171 8334 4164 8323
4163 8318 4174 8311 4162 8318 4162 8342
4117 8342 4117 8388 4118 8388

$$

mullen

hazardous weather outlook
hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
1131 pm edt sun jun 28 2015

ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-300345-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga-
ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull-
wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow-
holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie-
crawford pa-
1131 pm edt sun jun 28 2015

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

.day one...tonight.

hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.days two through seven...monday through saturday.

another round of rain will move through the area monday afternoon
and night. most areas will see between a quarter and three
quarters of an inch of rain but locally higher amounts are
possible. given the saturated soil across the area...water will
run-off and could lead to minor flooding or aggravate existing
flooding. scattered thunderstorms are expected on tuesday.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.

---

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Jun 29, 2015 2:18 am

Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 69. Light south wind becoming southeast 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9pm, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers before 10am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind 11 to 16 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Independence Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.

---

fxus61 kcle 290841
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
441 am edt mon jun 29 2015

synopsis...
another round of rain expected today as low pressure tracks across
indiana towards lake erie. active weather continues on tuesday as
the upper level trough deepens over the central great lakes. high
pressure over the upper great lakes on wednesday will build to the
central great lakes on thursday. meanwhile another low pressure
system will move through the lower ohio valley on thursday.

&&

near term /through tonight/...
a flood watch has been issued for portions of northern ohio for
today and tonight. much of this area received between 1-3 inches
with locally up to 5 inches over the weekend and the ground is
saturated. new rainfall today could aggravate residual flooding or
quickly lead to new flooding.

low pressure over eastern illinois will move into northern ohio this
evening...then continue northeast across lake erie tonight. regional
radars show rain filling in ahead of the low across indiana and this
is expected to spread into northwest ohio this morning...continuing
east into tonight. the 925-850mb front will lift into northern ohio
ahead of the low with lift enhanced along the front by a 30 knot low
level jet. this should produce a corridor of moderate to locally
heavy rain ahead of the low with high res models placing this axis
from near findlay northeast towards cleveland. rainfall is generally
expected to range from a half inch to an inch...although some models
are hinting at higher totals...especially in the area from findlay
to norwalk. not expecting a lot of thunderstorms today...but chances
do increase as the elevated warm front pushes north this
afternoon. considered issuing a flash flood watch as some areas
can not handle much rain but generally not expecting the heaviest
rain to be very widespread. this does not rule out that a few
flash flood warnings may be needed. did not include counties
already under areal flood warnings in the watch as flooding is
already ongoing. will adjust the statements to highlight threat
for new flooding to develop today.

the rain is expected to continue northeast into tonight so did not
include extreme eastern ohio or nw pa in the watch. we will monitor
trends today and could expand the watch later in the day if
warranted. cool temperatures again today with highs only reaching
the low to mid 70s...coolest in the west where rain arrives by
midday.

&&

short term /tuesday through wednesday night/...
unfortunately the rain does not end today as the next upper level
waves drops into the trough on tuesday. this energy arrives on
tuesday afternoon and will align with peak heating for scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop. again this would not
be a heavy rain scenario by itself...but given the extremely wet
conditions over the past month...additional flood headlines may be
needed.

as the upper level trough shifts east of the area on
wednesday...drier air starts to work into northwest ohio. there will
still be a chance of showers and thunderstorms...highest from
mansfield to youngstown...but overall coverage will be less than
tuesday.

&&

long term /thursday through sunday/...
the endless eastern united states trough lives on. extended periods
trending toward another deep digging upper level trough expected to
dive southeast into the forecast area by thursday. this feature will
track a surface low east across the western portions of the ohio
valley and then settle over northern ohio by saturday morning. high
pressure to the north may be strong enough to keep the precipitation
at bay for friday but will eventually give way to the low lifting
northeast into ohio. unfortunately...this means unsettled weather
expected through sunday. there may be light at the end of the
tunnel as the upper level flow tries to become more zonal headed
into next week. this means warmer temperatures but not necessarily a
drier scenario.

&&

aviation /06z monday through friday/...
next storm system fast approaching from the west. expecting rain
to move into the area from west to east and should arrive in
toledo and findlay later this morning. erie may win out today and
stay dry for much of the day and then rain will spread into that
area this evening. expecting ceilings and visibility to fall this
afternoon and evening as well as rain moves into the area. ifr to
mvfr conditions expected overnight. winds are not expected to be
more more than 10 to 15 knots through the period.

outlook...non vfr possibly lingering into tuesday. areas of non
vfr wednesday.

&&

marine...
lake is expected to be quiet through much of the day. expecting
winds to increase later this afternoon as low pressure approaches
from the west. as low tracks off to the east...easterly flow is
expected tonight across the lake. the strongest winds appear they
will occur on the western half of the lake. as low passes by over
the lake the flow becomes more southwest across the area by tuesday
morning. winds diminish tuesday and tuesday night but increase again
as the next storm system approaches on wednesday. expecting light
and variable winds thursday through friday.

&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...flood watch from 4 pm edt this afternoon through late tonight
for ohz010>013-020>022-031.
flood watch from 11 am edt this morning through this evening
for ohz009-017>019-027>030.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$
synopsis...kec
near term...kec
short term...kec
long term...lombardy
aviation...lombardy
marine...lombardy

---

forecast.io 6:25 a.m.

Toledo Area Forecast Summaries
(using forecast.io data)
Now: Mostly Cloudy 60 F - SSE at 5 mph

Next 24 Hours: Light rain until this evening.

Next 7 Days: Light rain throughout the week, with temperatures rising to 83°F on Monday.

Weather for Toledo More at Forecast.io
60°
and rising
Mostly Cloudy
Wind: 5 mph (SE)
Today
69°59°
Tue
75°61°
Wed
77°63°
Thu
76°64°
Fri
77°62°
Sat
77°65°
Sun
81°60°
Mon
83°69°