Toledo Weather Tue, Jun 30, 2015

#toledo #weather

flood statement
national weather service cleveland oh
522 am edt tue jun 30 2015

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

scioto river near prospect

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

portage river at woodville
maumee river near grand rapids
maumee river at waterville

precautionary/preparedness actions...

never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be
deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown!

stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.

&&

ohc095-173-301721-
/o.con.kcle.fl.w.0056.000000t0000z-000000t0000z/
/wtvo1.1.er.000000t0000z.150630t0700z.000000t0000z.no/
522 am edt tue jun 30 2015

the flood warning continues for
the maumee river at waterville.
* at 5:00 am tuesday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* forecast...the river will fall to a stage of 12.6 feet by wednesday
morning.
* at 14.0 feet...residences along the river may experience basement
flooding.
* at 13.0 feet...floodwaters can back up through storm drains onto
water street in waterville making roads inaccessible.

&&

lat...lon 4148 8376 4171 8348 4167 8345 4147 8371
4145 8374

$$

flood warning
flood statement
national weather service cleveland oh
522 am edt tue jun 30 2015

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

scioto river near prospect

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

portage river at woodville
maumee river near grand rapids
maumee river at waterville

precautionary/preparedness actions...

never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be
deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown!

stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.

&&

ohc095-173-301721-
/o.con.kcle.fl.w.0058.000000t0000z-150701t2100z/
/grro1.2.er.150628t1540z.150630t0000z.150701t0900z.nr/
522 am edt tue jun 30 2015

the flood warning continues for
the maumee river near grand rapids.
* at 8:00 pm monday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* flood stage is 17.5 feet.
* moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by early
wednesday morning.
* at 19.5 feet...front street inundated. numerous farm fields and
parking lots flooded. businesses threatened in grand rapids.
* at 18.5 feet...100 year flood level. mary jane thursten state park
campground inundated. homes in wood county cut off from emergency
access. portions of route 24 inundated. the metropark facilities
inundated.

&&

lat...lon 4143 8388 4148 8376 4145 8374 4139 8388

$$

flood warning
flood warning
national weather service cleveland oh
235 pm edt mon jun 29 2015

ohc095-173-301945-
/o.ext.kcle.fa.w.0013.000000t0000z-150630t1945z/
/00000.0.er.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/
wood oh-lucas oh-
235 pm edt mon jun 29 2015

the national weather service in cleveland has extended the

• flood warning for urban areas and small streams in...
  wood county in northwestern ohio...
  lucas county in northwestern ohio...

• until 345 pm edt tuesday

• at 225 pm edt...reports from the toledo area continue to indicate
  numerous roadways that are closed due to high water. many of the
  creeks and rivers remain in flood. anyone with interests along the
  rivers need to continue to monitor river forecast levels.

there is a chance of additional rainfall this evening into the
overnight hours. currently it appears that additional rainfall
amounts will be under a half an inch. however if any thunderstorms
drift across the area and bring a quick burst of rain then water
levels will rise.

• some locations that will experience flooding include...
  bowling green...fostoria...perrysburg...oregon...sylvania...
  rossford...waterville...northwood...whitehouse...north baltimore...
  holland...weston...maumee...ottawa hills...walbridge...
  pemberville...millbury...haskins...luckey and bradner.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

most flood deaths occur in automobiles. never drive your vehicle into
areas where the water covers the roadway. flood waters are usually
deeper than they appear. just one foot of flowing water is powerful
enough to sweep vehicles off the road. when encountering flooded
roads make the smart choice...turn around...dont drown.

&&

lat...lon 4172 8387 4173 8346 4173 8345 4172 8347
4169 8343 4169 8335 4171 8334 4164 8323
4163 8318 4174 8311 4162 8318 4162 8342
4117 8342 4117 8388 4118 8388

$$

mullen

---

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Jun 30, 2015 4:58 am

Today: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Light west wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. West wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 75. West wind 7 to 9 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Northeast wind around 9 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59.

Independence Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 78.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

---

fxus61 kcle 300830
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
430 am edt tue jun 30 2015

synopsis...
low pressure at the surface and aloft over the great lakes will
shift to the east on wednesday. high pressure will build over the
central great lakes on thursday and linger into the weekend.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
dense fog is developing across central ohio where the heavier rain
fell yesterday. keeping an eye on observations in our southern
counties but thus far holding with a stratus deck instead. will
include a mention of patchy fog in the forecast for those areas but
not expecting to need an advisory with sunrise around 6 am.

upper level shortwave trough seen over wisconsin will swing across
northern ohio this afternoon. a diffuse area of low pressure remains
at the surface with weak pressure falls expected over the area ahead
of this feature. gfs soundings show a weak cap in place near 800mb
with a little better moisture and instability focused just south of
our area. still expecting scattered showers and thunderstorms to
develop given the larger scale ascent ahead of the trough. cape will
generally be in the 500-800 j/kg range so just expecting garden
variety thunderstorms. any thunderstorm could produce brief heavy
rain but should be moving enough that threat for new flooding is
minimal. drier air starts to spread in from the west during the
afternoon with storms pushing east ahead of the trough. skies are
mostly cloudy to start the day...but expect some peaks of sun this
morning before clouds increase with diurnal heating and showers this
afternoon. will forecast highs in the mid 70s...low 70s in nw pa.

&&

short term /6 pm this evening through friday night/...

drier conditions will finally return for the second half of the
week as the upper trough axis shifts to the east and dry
northwesterly flow sets up. temperatures will remain a few
degrees below normal.

for tonight...clouds will linger in the eastern areas with some
clearing across nw ohio. could see some areas of stratus develop
in the areas that have cleared. another piece of upper level
energy moves through the central great lakes overnight. can not
rule out a stray shower over lake erie...or pushing into ne
ohio/nw pa on wednesday. elsewhere chances of showers are pretty
low on wednesday with stable conditions developing and removed the
low chance of rain. one last piece of upper level energy slides
across the eastern great lakes wednesday night into thursday. high
pressure will build in at the surface behind this feature. left an
isolated shower in the southeast counties but the airmass will
continue to dry out. models have trended towards the high
expanding farther to the south to end the week which should allow
for dry conditions to continue on friday. temperatures will
recover to the mid 70s to end the week on friday with mostly to
partly sunny skies.

&&

long term /saturday through monday/...
upper level pattern trending toward a change where flow becomes more
zonal with time.l some small perturbations will slip through the
mean flow but no deep troughiness expected through this forecast
period. unfortunately...toward the end of next week...models shaping
up to head back into the troughiness in the east and large
amplification of the ridge to the west.

in the mean time...models are trending toward a drier solution over
the weekend and fourth of july celebrations will not be spoiled by
rain. the trend is pushing the precipitation threat further south
with time so will be dropping chances for precipitation for
saturday. a system is expected to approach the area on sunday and
could bring some more moisture back north into the area. will go
with a slight chance of precipitation for now sunday and up pops to
a chance monday and monday night.

increasing thicknesses will take place as warm air advection takes
shape. this should help temperatures rise back up into the lower 80s
by the end of the weekend for highs and lows in the 60s.

&&

aviation /06z tuesday through saturday/...
last of the scattered rain showers continue to move northeast and
out of the area at this time. ceilings and visibilities are
expected to be up and down throughout the next 24 hours as
lingering moisture remains. more showers and thunderstorms over
indiana and illinois are poised to spread east into the region
during the day so will keep the mention of convection going.
expecting improving conditions for the most part later tonight.
some locations may get some breaks to allow for stratus to develop
so that will have to be watched.

outlook...areas of non vfr wednesday morning. non vfr possible
again on saturday.

&&

marine...
lake may get riled up a bit starting later tonight as winds increase
out of the west at around 15 knots by morning. this will continue
through the day on wednesday and there is a small chance that small
craft advisories may be needed. wind speeds diminish for thursday
but a brief northeast burst of winds are expected thursday night.
once again small craft advisories may be needed then. generally
light and variable winds expected friday and saturday.

&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$
synopsis...kec
near term...kec
short term...kec
long term...lombardy
aviation...lombardy
marine...lombardy

---

10:34 EDT on 06-30-2015
Effective: 10:34 EDT on 06-30-2015
Expires: 23:20 EDT on 06-30-2015
Event: Flood Warning
Alert:
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in ...
Maumee River Near Grand Rapids
Maumee River At Waterville
The flood warning continues for
The Maumee River Near Grand Rapids.

* At 9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.5 feet.

* Minor flooding is occurring.

* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by later this evening.

* At 18.5 feet...100 year flood level. Mary Jane Thursten State Park
Campground inundated. Homes in Wood County cut off from emergency
access. Portions of route 24 inundated. The metropark facilities
inundated.

* At 18.0 feet...Water starts to cover Front Street just west of the
Grand Rapids business district over portions of Beaver, West, and
Mill Streets. Campgrounds along the river are under water.

* At 17.5 feet...Flood waters inundate Grand Rapids Road cutting off
access to a few homes. Mill Street access on the east end of Front
Street Flooded. Route 24 threatened by rising flood waters. Water
can back up through storm drains causing flooding on the south side
of Grand Rapids.

* At 16.5 feet...Low lying land near Grand Rapids floods.

* At 15.0 feet...The metropark in Grand Rapids floods and the park
service road inundated.

* At 12.0 feet...Bankfull stage.

* At 11.0 feet...The river level is hazardous to recrational users.
&&

---

10:34 EDT on 06-30-2015
Effective: 10:34 EDT on 06-30-2015
Expires: 08:00 EDT on 07-01-2015
Event: Flood Warning
Alert:
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in ...
Maumee River Near Grand Rapids
Maumee River At Waterville
The flood warning continues for
The Maumee River At Waterville.

* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.

* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage overnight tonight.

* At 14.0 feet...Residences along the river may experience basement
flooding.

* At 13.0 feet...Floodwaters can back up through storm drains onto
Water Street in Waterville making roads inaccessible.

* At 12.0 feet...Flooding begins in Side Cut Metropark. The risver is
out of banks in Waterville.

* At 11.0 feet...A few riverside cabins in Waterville become
threatened. Lowland flooding occurs along with some water
inundation on River Road.

* At 9.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas near the river.
&&