Toledo weather - tue, may 10, 2016

east winds continue. popular direction over the past 8 days or more.

TOL:
May 10, 2016 7:52 am
Weather : Light Rain
Temperature : 50 F
Humidity : 86%
Wind Speed : E 12 mph
Barometer : 30.10 in
Dewpoint: 46 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 45 F

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: May 10, 2016 6:20 am

Today: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 56. East wind 13 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday: A chance of showers, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Northeast wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. East wind 3 to 8 mph.

Thursday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

Friday Night: A chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Saturday: A chance of showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.

---

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
705 am edt tue may 10 2016

synopsis...
high pressure over ontario will remain strong enough into the
evening to keep a warm front near the ohio river valley. the front
will move north of lake erie by early thursday as low pressure
moves into the western great lakes. a cold front will cross the
area thursday evening into early friday.

&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
showers continue to decrease in coverage as they drift to the
northeast. will likely see scattered or less coverage by mid
morning then ramping back up during the afternoon with the
approaching upper level energy.

previous discussion...
high pressure over ontario will remain strong enough into the
evening to keep a warm front near the ohio river valley. however
there is enough lift north of the boundary to generate some light
rain across the southwestern half of the county warning area.
drier air over ne ohio into nw pa has made it difficult for the
rainfall to spread any further than a cleveland to canton line.
current thinking is that showers will decrease in coverage as it
moves into the drier airmass. there will not be that much rainfall
as it moves into nw pa but did go with chance pops.

at some point late this morning into early afternoon it appears
there will be a lull in the shower activity as we await a piece of
jet energy that will track into southern ohio. this should allow
for the development of showers over indiana and southwestern ohio
to then track into northern ohio. at this point we have gone with
the best chances of showers for the evening commute. thunder
chances look to be minimal but have placed an isolated mention for
portions of the region.

cloud cover will impact highs again today. most locations are
starting out a bit warmer than yesterday morning. this should
allow many locations to reach the upper 50s to upper 60s. coolest
near the lakeshore where northeast winds off the cooler water will
keep highs in the lower to mid 50s.

&&

short term /6 pm this evening through friday night/...
warm front will be near the southern portion of the county
warning area by wednesday afternoon. the proximity of the front
and ripples of energy moving across the area will keep rain
chances in the forecast tonight through wednesday night. daytime
heating on wednesday will enhance the shower development with
some isolated thunder possible...especially across the southern
half of the area. the warm front should lift north of lake erie
wednesday night as low pressure passes over the western great
lakes. better instability will spread across the region ahead of a
cold front on thursday so expect a more widespread chance of
thunderstorms. a few of them may become stronger for the afternoon
and evening. cloud cover may end up limiting the strength of the
storms enough to keep the severe mention out of the hwo for now.
after morning showers across the east friday morning it appears
that it will be dry. this will be short lived as the next upper
level trough digs into the central great lakes friday night. so
after midnight friday night the rain chances will once again
increase.

warmer wednesday but still some uncertainty about the strength of
the warm advection. if the cloud cover can thin enough for a few
peeks of sunshine highs will warm into the 70s away from lake
erie. thursday will be the warmest day of the short term with all
locations warming into the 70s...even along the lakeshore. cooler
on friday in the wake of the cold front with highs very close to
seasonal averages.

&&

long term /saturday through monday/...
both models continue to push next cold front across the area
saturday morning. left some lingering showers in the east
saturday morning...moving east of the area during the afternoon.
by 00z the 850mb temps dip to -2c...but by then the moisture has
moved east of the area. dry conditions return saturday night into
sunday as a ridge of high pressure moves across the upper ohio
valley. the high moves off the mid atlantic coast sunday evening
allowing another cold front to move across the area sunday night.
showing limited moisture so left slight chance pops going sunday
night into monday.

---

nearshore marine forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
355 am edt tue may 10 2016

for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie

lez142>145-101415-
lake erie nearshore waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh-
lake erie nearshore waters from reno beach to the islands oh-
lake erie nearshore waters from the islands to vermilion oh-
lake erie nearshore waters from vermilion to avon point oh-
355 am edt tue may 10 2016

today...east winds 10 to 20 knots. rain showers likely this
morning...then a chance of rain showers this afternoon. isolated
thunderstorms late. waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.

tonight...east winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northeast. cloudy
with a chance of rain showers. waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to
1 to 3 feet.

wednesday...northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy with a
chance of rain showers. waves 2 to 3 feet.

wednesday night...east winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast.
mostly cloudy. waves 2 feet or less.

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

see lake erie open lakes forecast for thursday through saturday.

the water temperature off toledo is 56 degrees...off cleveland 51
degrees and off erie 48 degrees.

$$

lez146>149-101415-
lake erie nearshore waters from avon point to willowick oh-
lake erie nearshore waters from willowick to geneva-on-
the lake oh-lake erie nearshore waters from geneva-on-the-
lake to conneaut oh-
lake erie nearshore waters from conneaut oh to ripley ny-
355 am edt tue may 10 2016

today...east winds 10 to 15 knots. cloudy with a chance of rain
showers. waves 1 to 3 feet.

tonight...east winds 5 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy. a chance of
rain showers late in the evening. waves 1 to 3 feet.

wednesday...east winds 5 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy. a chance of
rain showers early in the afternoon. waves 1 to 3 feet.

wednesday night...east winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast.
mostly cloudy. waves 2 feet or less.

see lake erie open lakes forecast for thursday through saturday.

the water temperature off toledo is 56 degrees...off cleveland 51
degrees and off erie 48 degrees.

---

TOL's normal high temp for May 10 is 69 degrees.

Today will be another chilly, overcast day with a forecast high of 56. The wind will be stronger than yesterday, making it feel even colder.

Tomorrow's forecast high is 69.

On Thursday, our temps may reach 75 to 80 degrees. It will probably be a thunderstorm day.

From the Cle NWS:

the warm front should lift north of lake erie wednesday night as low pressure passes over the western great lakes. better instability will spread across the region ahead of a cold front on thursday so expect a more widespread chance of thunderstorms. a few of them may become stronger for the afternoon and evening.

Cooler weather returns this weekend with forecast high temps in the mid to upper 50s.

Our low temp on Sunday morning, May 15 could dip into the upper 30s.

---

TOL:
May 10, 2016 10:52 am
Weather : Light Rain
Temperature : 52 F
Humidity : 93%
Wind Speed : E 12 mph
Barometer : 30.09 in
Dewpoint: 50 F
Visibility : 8.00 statute miles

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