Toledo weather - tue, may 17, 2016

mod-hvy rainfall between 3:55 and 4:05 p.m.

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TOL: May 17, 2016 10:52 am Weather : Overcast Temperature : 55 F Humidity : 83% Wind Speed : W 6 mph Barometer : 30.21 in Dewpoint: 50 F Visibility : 10.00 statute miles #toledo #weather
From: JR's : micro blog - May 17, 2016 - reply

1 reply
JR: Toledo Suburban Airport (near Lambertville) May 17, 2016 3:35 pm Weather : Rain Temperature : 53 F Humidity : 86% Wind Speed : N 6 mph - Gust 17 mph Barometer : 30.20 in Dewpoint: 49 F Visibility : 7.00 statute miles
- 2 mins ago - # - reply

tol: May 17, 2016 3:52 pm
Weather : Light Rain
Temperature : 54 F
Humidity : 72%
Wind Speed : NNE 18 mph - Gust 23 mph
Barometer : 30.18 in
Dewpoint: 45 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: May 17, 2016 3:46 pm

This Afternoon: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 61. Northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight: A chance of showers, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 67. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.

Friday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 70.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 75.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 78.

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fxus61 kcle 171929
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
330 pm edt tue may 17 2016

synopsis...
high pressure over wisconsin will move across the region wednesday
through friday then low pressure will move into the upper ohio
valley for the weekend before high pressure moves back in from the
west by late sunday.

&&

near term /until 6 am wednesday/...
another lobe of the upper trough over eastern canada will rotate se
across lake erie tonight. this will help to push the cold front off
to the se but also induce overrunning back behind the front. the
shra and clouds will be slow to get pushed se out of the cwa so have
slowed down the exit of both. overall instability is very low so not
expecting tsra but can't rule out and isolated rumble of thunder.

the lingering clouds will help to keep lows in the mid 40s in the se
while the rest of the area sees readings into the lower 40s with
some upper 30s for the inland ne.

&&

short term /6 am wednesday through friday night/...
still more upper s/w's will rotate se across the area wed thru thu.
the airmass should be dry enough to prevent precip but some
cloudiness will occur...especially with daytime heating for the
midday thru late afternoon hours. the clouds and persistent winds
from the n to ne will keep temps below normal wed and
thu...especially near lake erie. temps should start to moderate
closer to normal on friday but a lake breeze should set up in the
afternoon adding a chill for the lakeshore.

another s/w rotating se thru the lakes will open a closed upper low
over the central plains...with both systems phasing and rotating
east up the ohio valley fri into fri night. moisture from this
phasing will be pulled north into the area fri into fri night with
increasing chances for shra...especially for the south half of the
cwa.

&&

long term /saturday through tuesday/...
the models are similar in the extended portion of the forecast in
developing a cut off low along the east coast with ridging over the
western and central great lakes. still not overly confident on the
forecast given that upper lows and blocking patterns and not well
forecast by the models.

given the forecast scenario... the showers should slide east by
sunday and we should be dry early next week with warming
temperatures. lake breezes will probably persist monday and tuesday
otherwise temperatures should actually climb above normal.

&&

aviation /18z tuesday through sunday/...
winds are shifting to north and northeast as pressures fall to our
southwest but the actual cold front has yet to drop across the
area. the combination of frontal passage and overrunning from an
approaching wave will cause showers to flare up through early
evening then sag south of the area late tonight. there will likely
be ifr stratus ceilings develop with the frontal passage in areas
where the showers become most numerous, generally from kfdy to
kmfd and perhaps kcak. drier air will continue to press south
across the area on wednesday and vfr conditions are expected.

outlook...non-vfr possible saturday.

&&

marine...
high pressure from the upper midwest is expected to slowly drift
across the great lakes and become nearly stationary this week. the
northeast flow will be somewhat brisk tonight as the high builds in
but not enough for a small craft advisory. an extended period of
east to northeast flow will continue the remainder of the week. the
gradient will remain light until the weekend when low pressure will
pass south of lake erie. the flow could increase at that point but
not expecting small craft advisory conditions over the weekend at
this time.

&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.

&&

$$
synopsis...adams
near term...adams
short term...adams
long term...kosarik
aviation...kosarik
marine...kosarik

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#toledo #weather