Tue, Jan 21, 2014 Toledo Area Weather

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
353 am est tue jan 21 2014

ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-220900-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga-
ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull-
wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow-
holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie-
crawford pa-
353 am est tue jan 21 2014

...wind chill advisory in effect from 10 am this morning to 11 am
est wednesday...

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

.day one...today and tonight.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

wind chill advisory.

.days two through seven...wednesday through monday.

please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

---

urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
346 am est tue jan 21 2014

...arctic air brings cold wind chills...

.the combination of high pressure building east toward the area
and low pressure across the ohio valley today will cause winds to
increase. the somewhat gusty winds will combine with cold
temperatures to produce cold wind chills today through wednesday
morning.

ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-211700-
/o.new.kcle.wc.y.0003.140121t1500z-140122t1600z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga-
ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-
trumbull-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-
marion-morrow-holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-
southern erie-crawford pa-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland...mentor...chardon...
jefferson...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...medina...akron...
ravenna...warren...upper sandusky...carey...bucyrus...mansfield...
ashland...wooster...canton...youngstown...marion...mount gilead...
millersburg...mount vernon...ashtabula...erie...edinboro...
meadville
346 am est tue jan 21 2014

...wind chill advisory in effect from 10 am this morning to 11 am
est wednesday...

the national weather service in cleveland has issued a wind chill
advisory...which is in effect from 10 am this morning to 11 am
est wednesday.

• wind chill readings...the wind chill readings will drop to
  between -10 and -15 degrees today through wednesday morning.

• winds...winds will be between 10 and 20 mph later this morning
  and continue through the afternoon hours. winds are expected to
  drop to between 6 and 10 mph tonight into wednesday morning.

• temperatures...temperatures are expected to hover around 10
  degrees today but dip to between 0 and -5 degrees tonight across
  the area. the cold temperatures will gradually recover wednesday
  morning.

• impacts...the cold wind chills will pose a threat to those that
  are outside with exposed skin. animals should also be protected
  from the cold wind chills.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

a wind chill advisory is issued when strong wind will combine
with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for
exposed skin. the wind will make it feel like it is 10 degrees
below zero or colder for a period of several hours. if you will
be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly...making sure that
all exposed skin is covered. if possible...avoid prolonged
exposure to the cold to prevent frostbite and hypothermia. stay
tuned to weather radio for further details or updates.

---

Toledo Express Airport
Jan 21, 2014 8:52 am
Weather : A Few Clouds
Temperature : 4 F
Humidity : 63%
Wind Speed : N 16 mph - Gust 23 mph
Barometer : 30.12 in
Dewpoint: -6 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : -15 F

---

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Jan 21, 2014 6:25 am

Today: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 7. Wind chill values as low as -12. North wind around 14 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -1. Wind chill values as low as -13. North wind 5 to 13 mph becoming southwest after midnight.

Wednesday: A chance of snow showers, mainly after 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 15. Wind chill values as low as -12. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Wednesday Night: Snow showers likely, mainly before 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 6. Wind chill values as low as -11. Southwest wind 11 to 13 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday: A slight chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 11. Northwest wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -6.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 14. Breezy.

Friday Night: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 13.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0.

Monday: Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 10.

---

fxus61 kcle 211128
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
628 am est tue jan 21 2014

synopsis...
low pressure will move east across the ohio valley this morning
while high pressure builds southeast into the region this afternoon
and evening. another weak area of low pressure will move southeast
over the area tonight. high pressure will move southeast and then
east across the gulf coast states on friday. another low pressure
system will move east across central ontario canada and force a cold
front through the area on saturday.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
light snow continues to occur across the area this morning.
expecting light accumulations and gradually dissipating from west
to east across the area. no real major changes to forecast with
this update.
previous discussion...
overall pattern remains unchanged at this time as ridge continues on
the west coast and broad upper level trough continues over the
eastern united states.
a surface low pressure system will move east across the ohio valley
this morning and spread some light snow into mainly the southern
portions of the forecast area. flow should support the potential for
a multi lake snow band from lake huron across lake erie into eastern
ohio and northwest pennsylvania. expecting the lake effect to be
light as it continues through the day today. snow across the south
should remain light as well and the bulk of it should remain south
of the forecast area.
temperatures are going to be a problem today as some fairly strong
cold air advection takes place. the cold air will start to push
into the region this morning and winds are expected to increase to
between 10 and 20 mph. this in combination with temperatures around
10 degrees will cause wind chills to drop below the -10 threshold
for wind chill advisories. so...will go ahead and hoist the wind
chill advisory for today from 15z through wednesday morning at 16z.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through friday night/...
wind chill temperatures will still be an issue overnight tonight
into wednesday morning. temperatures are expected to drop down to
around 0 to -4 f for lows. even though winds are expected to
diminish during the night a bit...wind chills will still be below
the -10 threshold. will keep the winter weather advisory through the
night into wednesday morning. expecting some warming to take place
wednesday morning along with diminishing winds and we will likely be
able to drop the advisory for a period during the rest of the day
wednesday. this will be short lived as temperatures will dip to the
single digits with winds increasing again for wednesday night. this
will bring wind chills back down to below -10 especially across the
south. it will be close across the northern portions of the area but
will keep the advisory in for that area as well in case winds are a
bit stronger and temperatures are a bit colder. the best chance for
very cold wind chills will come thursday night into friday morning
but more on that as it approaches.
as high pressure builds east across the area tonight...lake effect
snow shower activity will gradually come to an end as flow shifts to
a westerly and then southwesterly direction. then...another low
pressure system will slip southeast across the great lakes region on
wednesday and spread more snow into the area. best chance will be
wednesday evening with weak warm air advection ahead of the low and
best upper level dynamics arriving at this time. as low pressure
pulls out to the east...a trailing surface trough of low pressure
will linger across the forecast area through thursday. then moisture
associated with the trough will exit stage right leaving behind
adequate flow and lake moisture to produce lake effect snow over the
northeast and fair weather elsewhere.
yet another storm system will approach from the northwest friday
into friday night and this storm system will be a repeat of all the
other systems and spread some moisture into the area along with
vigorous upper level positive vorticity maximum over the region.
this system appears that it will be a bit more potent than the
previous one with a bit more moisture to work with as well. will be
keeping an eye on this system for possible headlines.
the next bulls eye for cold temperatures arrives on thursday with
early highs in the morning and then falling through the day. will
try to trend temperature in that direction for now. this should be
the coldest day of this forecast period as warmer air tries to
return ahead of the next system on friday.
&&

long term /saturday through monday/...
little change in the extended forecast with much below normal
temperatures and periods of snow. deep upper level low remains
nearly stationary over hudson bay with a series of short waves
moving across the area. both gfs and ecmwf very similar in timing
with arctic front moving through on saturday. after that the timing
of the short waves between the models out of sync. for now will
just continue with chance pops through the period...especially in
the snowbelt east of cleveland.
&&

aviation /12z tuesday through saturday/...
snow over the area will gradually taper off from the nw as the
surface low now over virginia...moves off the mid atlantic coast
this afternoon. expect most locations to improve to vfr this
afternoon.
outlook...non vfr possible again wednesday afternoon through
thursday night...and again saturday in -sn.
&&

marine...
the lake is mostly ice covered although there are a few open areas
mainly east...and along the south shore. northeast flow over the
lake will shift to the north today...and then to the southwest
wednesday as high pressure moves across the ohio valley. winds
shift back to the northwest wednesday night as a clipper moves
across the lake. winds again back to the southwest friday as
another area of high pressure moves across the tennessee valley.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...wind chill advisory from 10 am this morning to 11 am est
wednesday for ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089.
pa...wind chill advisory from 10 am this morning to 11 am est
wednesday for paz001>003.
marine...none.
&&
$$
synopsis...lombardy
near term...lombardy
short term...lombardy
long term...djb
aviation...djb
marine...djb

#toledo - #weather