7 min

Toledo Weather - Sun, Feb 15, 2014

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Feb 15, 2014 6:17 am

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 19. Wind chill values as low as -3. Northwest wind around 9 mph.

Tonight: A chance of flurries before 11pm, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday: Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Wind chill values as low as zero. Light and variable wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight.

Washington's Birthday: Snow likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Southeast wind 6 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday Night: Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 41.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42.


hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
409 am est sat feb 15 2014

ohz003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-paz001>003-160915-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga-
ashtabula inland-hancock-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull-
wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-marion-morrow-
holmes-knox-ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie-
crawford pa-
409 am est sat feb 15 2014

this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

.day one...today and tonight.

hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.days two through seven...sunday through friday.

the region will see a warming trend starting monday and continuing
through thursday. temperatures may very well be topping 50 degrees
by thursday. the biggest concern with the warming...snowmelt...and
any potential rainfall will be for ice jam flooding. other
nuisance flooding will also be possible. continue to stay informed
about the forecast for the coming week as we are able to put more
detail into the forecast.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.


fxus61 kcle 151141
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
641 am est sat feb 15 2014

synopsis...
a series of weak lows will move east across the region through
sunday. high pressure will spread over the area by sunday evening
then shift off to the east on monday. a low will move northeast
across the lakes through tuesday morning.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
area of flurries off of lake erie have expanded a bit early than
anticipated. have added flurries to the zones but they should
slowly shift eastward from north central ohio into ne oh and nw pa
through the afternoon. cant rule out a couple tenths of an inch of
snow in the more persistent light snow areas. otherwise have only
made minor changes to the previous forecast.
previous discussion...
low pressure remains well south of the region but there has been
just enough lift with the upper level trough to squeeze out some
snow across the extreme southern portion of the county warning
area from mount vernon to youngstown. all of this snow is expected
to move eastward through the day as an east coast storm takes
shape. northwesterly flow will then move over the great lakes with
some minor lake effect snow showers expected to develop. most
locations will not see much more than flurries off of the lake
except over inland nw pa where an inch may be possible.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through tuesday night/...
lake effect snow showers may linger across nw pa until around
midnight. again it will be light with another dusting to an inch
possible before it ends. high pressure will briefly be in control
into sunday morning before southerly flow returns ahead of another
weak clipper storm system. it appears it will bring a round of
snow to most locations but there will not be much moisture for it
to lift. snow amounts will likely only be a few tenths to maybe an
inch. high pressure will again briefly return in the wake of the
clipper for overnight sunday into monday morning. a stronger area
of low pressure will arrive from the central mississippi river
valley monday afternoon before tracking across northern ohio
monday night into tuesday morning. this track is slightly further
south than previous model runs which will keep the region slightly
cooler than previous forecasts. if this track holds we may see a
longer period of snow. have leaned this way in the forecast at
this time and kept any mixed precipitation south of the county
warning area. this storm will have the potential to produce a bit
more snow with 2 to locally 5 inches of snow monday into monday
night. we will provide more details as the models latch on to a
definite track for the area of low pressure. the region will not
cool much in the wake of low on tuesday and may be a few degrees
warmer if cloud cover can decrease enough to provide a decent
amount of sunshine by tuesday afternoon.
&&

long term /wednesday through friday/...
little change to the end of the week. still looking at a mild/above
freezing stretch and the possibility of flooding/ice jams. thursday
is the day for unsettled weather. differences in the details on how
it evolves and therefore also rainfall amounts. early guidance had
wanted us to push above 50 degrees...but trend in guidance is to sit
in mid/upper 40s. will take a few off of previous forecast...but
still allow most places to hit 50. a lot will depend on the push of
warm air and also the impact of the remaining snow cover. flow is
rather zonal for thursday and therefore not a huge cool down in the
wake of thursdays cold front.
&&

aviation /12z saturday through wednesday/...
upper trough axis crossing the area early this morning. flow off
of the lake has been able to produce some flurries. mvfr
conditions will be predominate today. tol/fdy starting out vfr but
borderline mvfr/vfr ceilings will drift their way from lake
michigan. all others should keep their mvfr status until evening.
it is possible for conditions to lift to vfr sooner...but while we
have the nw flow have kept the mvfr ceilings. expecting a break
for a while tonight until conditions begin to lower again from
west to east with the approach of the next clipper system. will
introduce those lower conditions and some light snow into tol/fdy
before 12z sun. light nw winds will come around to the south
overnight tonight.
outlook...non-vfr likely sunday and possible monday afternoon into
tuesday.
&&

marine...
light flow with little impact on the lake through the weekend. winds
shift around to the east-southeast monday as we begin a warm-up for
the week. depending on the strength of the low...may get 20+ knot
winds with mondays system. after that we keep a southerly component
to the flow going into wednesday.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.


Forecast.io Toledo hi-lo temp predictions:

  • today, Feb 15 : 20 and 9
  • Sun, Feb 16 : 26 and 11
  • Mon, Feb 17 : 31 and 6
  • Tue, Feb 18 : 36 and 20
  • Wed, Feb 19 : 39 and 30
  • Thu, Feb 20 : 44 and 31
  • Fri, Feb 21 : 39 and 26
  • Sat, Feb 22 : 34 and 25

#toledo - #weather

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