Toledo Weather - Feb 22, 2014

Forecast.io hi-lo Toledo predictions as of 5:41 p.m.

• today : 37 and 31
• Sun, Feb 23 : 31 and 20
• Mon, Feb 24 : 22 and 15
• Tue, Feb 25 : 25 and 16
• Wed, Feb 26 : 18 and 10
• Thu, Feb 27 : 17 and 9
• Fri, Feb 28 : 13 and 3
• Sat, Mar 1 : 17 and 3

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Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Feb 22, 2014 3:14 pm

Tonight: A slight chance of rain and snow before 8pm, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. West wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow before 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 29. West wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 14. Wind chill values as low as zero. West wind 11 to 14 mph.

Monday: A slight chance of snow showers after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 24. Wind chill values as low as -1. West wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday Night: A chance of snow, mainly after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. West wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tuesday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tuesday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 17.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 4.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 18.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -1.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 16.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 4.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 18.

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fxus61 kcle 222104
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
404 pm est sat feb 22 2014

synopsis...
a disturbance will move along a nearly stationary front sitting
across the area tonight. high pressure will move into the ohio
valley later sunday through monday while a trough across the
northern great lakes pulls across the eastern lakes. a low
pressure system wednesday night will bring a much colder airmass
back to the region.
&&

near term /until 6 am sunday morning/...
a minor disturbance will move along the cold front that has become
nearly stationary across northern ohio tonight. it appears likely
that this will produce a band of light precipitation across the
area tonight. snowfall amounts questionable. moisture is somewhat
limited but we do see a period of frontgen forcing and the
resultant lift in a then saturated good snow growth zone. qpf
being painted is upwards of 0.3 to 0.4 inches liquid generally in
a swath from findlay to youngstown. so with more mesoscale
features controlling this system tonight...could see a narrow band
of 3 inches or so...but hard to pin down exactly. temperatures
starting out warm...but will fall as initial precip evaporates. so
there may be a few raindrops to start...but overall expecting most
of the qpf to be snow as colder air filters in aloft too.
the threat for ice jam flooding continues. see the latest flood
warnings.
&&

short term /6 am sunday morning through tuesday night/...
surface ridge builds in behind the overnight system on sunday and
will only keep a lingering chance of light snow across the east
for the first part of the morning sunday.
through the course of the week we will progressively get colder
with each passing disturbance. may have some light lake effect
develop for the far east snowbelt sunday night/monday morning.
questions on how far into the area the better moisture associated
with the troughing over the great lakes can get. went a touch
colder than guidance highs for sunday. by sunday night the area
will see teens again for low temps.
the next weak system/shortwave moves through the mean flow monday
night into tuesday. another light snowfall for the majority of the
area type system. lingering snow showers possible tuesday as the
upper trough axis crosses. by wednesday morning h8 temps will have
returned to around -20c with a temporary high building in. can
expect single digits for wednesday morning.
&&

long term /wednesday through saturday/...
it will definitely be colder than average in the extended. the
uncertainty will be the timing of systems across the region. it
appears that there will be some lake effect snow with each piece of
jet energy that passes. other than a few minor tweaks to the grids
the previous forecast looked good.
&&

aviation /18z saturday through thursday/...
gusty southwest to west winds will slowly decrease into the
evening. as a trough moves into the region winds will shift to the
northwest. as this occurs there will be a swath of snow that
develops near or shortly after midnight. as the trough sags to the
south and east it may produce 1 to locally 3 inches of snowfall.
the heaviest will likely occur near or south of a line from kfdy
to kgkj.
this scenario should allow for vfr conditions into the evening and
most likely until the snow begins. this is when mvfr and localized
ifr will begin. increasing influence of high pressure will bring
ceilings up slightly in the wake of the trough but they will
likely remain mvfr...especially downwind of lake erie.

outlook...non-vfr possible nrn sites on sunday...expanding
sunday night. non vfr returning monday night into wednesday.
&&

marine...
have extended the gale warning across the open waters of the east
end of lake erie until 00z. as the weak frontal boundary moves east
of the lake winds should decrease. winds will again increase at some
point on monday as an arctic cold crosses the region. we may need to
once again issue a gale warning.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...gale warning until 7 pm est this evening for lez061-169.

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fzus51 kcle 222041
nshcle
nearshore marine forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
341 pm est sat feb 22 2014
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
lez142>146-230315-
maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh-
the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh-
avon point to willowick oh-
341 pm est sat feb 22 2014

tonight...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. snow likely.

sunday...west winds 5 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy. a chance of snow
in the morning.

sunday night...west winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy in the
evening...then becoming partly cloudy.

monday...west winds 15 to 25 knots. partly sunny. a small craft
advisory may be needed.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for tuesday through thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 34 degrees
and off erie 33 degrees.
$$
lez147>149-230315-
willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh-
conneaut oh to ripley ny-
341 pm est sat feb 22 2014

tonight...southwest winds to 30 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots
after midnight. a chance of snow this evening...then snow likely
after midnight.

sunday...west winds 5 to 15 knots. partly sunny. a chance of snow
in the morning.

sunday night...west winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy. a chance
of snow showers overnight.

monday...west winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots. mostly
cloudy with a chance of snow showers. a small craft advisory may be
needed.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for tuesday through thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 34 degrees
and off erie 33 degrees.

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md 0148 concerning winter mixed precipitation for portions of central il...central/nrn ind...nwrn oh

mesoscale discussion 0148
nws storm prediction center norman ok
0901 pm cst sat feb 22 2014

areas affected...portions of central il...central/nrn ind...nwrn oh

concerning...winter mixed precipitation

valid 230301z - 230700z

summary...mixed precipitation types will change to all snow within a
narrow zone in which snow rates may approach one inch/hr for a
couple of hours. precipitation will diminish in intensity or end
from west to east in the 05z-08z time frame.

discussion...a narrow zone of mixed precipitation types extends
across portions of central il and central/nrn ind at 0230z within a
broadly cyclonic mid and upper level flow regime. frontogenetic
forcing within the saturated 850 mb-700 mb layer will continue to
support a narrow band of precipitation. forecast soundings suggest a
continued transition from rain to snow with snow rates of one
inch/hr...locally higher...possible for a couple of hours at any
given location. forecast soundings also suggest drier air will
overspread the area in the 05z-08z time frame resulting in
precipitation ending or diminishing in intensity from west to east.

..bunting.. 02/23/2014

...please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

attn...wfo...cle...iln...iwx...ind...lot...ilx...lsx...

lat...lon 39569088 40768730 41118501 41248398 40738384 40298530
39188910 39069061 39569088

read more

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flood warning
national weather service cleveland oh
1001 pm est sat feb 22 2014

ohc095-173-231500-
/o.new.kcle.fa.w.0020.140223t0301z-140223t1500z/
/00000.0.ij.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.000000t0000z.oo/
wood oh-lucas oh-
1001 pm est sat feb 22 2014

the national weather service cleveland has issued a

• flood warning for ice jam flooding in...
  southwestern lucas county in northwest ohio
  western wood county in northwest ohio

• until 1000 am est sunday

• at 957 pm est...the river gage at waterville continued to
  indicate an ice jam along the maumee river...with water levels
  rising and falling rapidly.

• water backing up behind the ice jam will cause flooding to occur in
  the warned area. there is also the threat of flooding downstream of
  the ice jam once it breaks up.

• some locations that will experience flooding include...waterville.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

ice jam flooding can occur suddenly and advance into an area from an
unusual direction. if you see water approaching...move away from the
river to higher ground.

lat...lon 4143 8387 4146 8381 4156 8368 4154 8366
4151 8368 4148 8371 4145 8375 4143 8377
4140 8383 4142 8386

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