Toledo Weather - Mar 1, 2014

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Mar 1, 2014 6:44 am

Today: A slight chance of snow after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. West wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tonight: Snow, mainly after 10pm. Low around 15. North wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Sunday: Snow, mainly before 4pm. High near 20. Wind chill values as low as zero. Northeast wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday Night: A chance of snow, mainly before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Wind chill values as low as -9. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 17. North wind 9 to 11 mph becoming west in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 0.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23.

Tuesday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 6. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 21.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 28.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20.

Friday: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

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fxus61 kcle 011145
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
645 am est sat mar 1 2014

synopsis...
a cold front across the central great lakes to the mississippi
valley will drop southeast across the area today. the front will
stall across kentucky and west virginia sunday. low pressure will
come out of texas sunday and move northeast along the front. high
pressure will build in on monday.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
update...most of the moisture should remain to our northwest this
afternoon however just didn't like how the radar return was
increasing so boosted pops to chance for the afternoon in the
northwest. kept all other areas at slight chance. no other changes.
original...for today a cold front over the central great lakes
will drop across the area. snow showers currently are across
wisconsin and nrn lower mi with patchy cloud/virga return south of
those areas. as the front drops across the area today moisture
will increase although with dewpoints as low as they are am
skeptical that we will see a lot of snow. looking at bufkit
forecast soundings most soundings show low level dry air with the
airmass moistening up above. will therefore go with mostly cloudy
skies and a slight chance of rain or snow for the afternoon.
guidance highs of mid 30s northwest to lower 40s southeast
reasonable.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through tuesday night/...
the short term begins with the cold front just south of the cwa
and moisture deepening across the area from the west. the gfs is
faster here with the model indicating snow across much of the area
by 00z this evening while the nam has it just about to move in.
have shaded toward the drier nam given the slight chance pop
during the day saturday but the small model differences in
moisture not relevant as both show deep moisture and categorical
pops for the evening and the overnight. temps across the north
favor any rain/mix changing back to snow through the early
evening. further south however thicknesses support a period of
mixed precip. favor the cooler gfs with any mix remaining mainly
across the far south. will continue with categorical pops for snow
sunday...tapering from the north sunday night as drier air and
high pressure build in. monday and monday night high pressure
builds across the area and will go with a dry forecast. tuesday
moisture increases to our north. will go with slight chance pops
across the northeast...increasing to chance pops tuesday night.
sunday through tuesday temperatures...below normal.
&&

long term /wednesday through friday/...
the models show high pressure extending south into the area for wed
but also show a band of moisture associated with a back door cold
front still across the area. will carry a slight chance for light
snow wed into wed night more in line with guidance pops while temps
stay below normal.
for fri...a southern system in a split flow should stay far enough
south of the area to keep precip from that system out of the area.
however...a weak upper trough in the northern flow with a surface
cold front may get close enough to the nw for some light rain by
late in the day fri or fri night.as temps jump all the way into the
mid to upper 30s.
&&

aviation /12z saturday through wednesday/...
vfr should generally prevail until this evening when snow will then
spread se across the area. there could be some sct flurries or
sprinkles as a cold front passes thru today while sw winds turn to
the nw then n to nne tonight. would think conditions will
deteriorate down to ifr within 2 to 4 hours of the onset of the snow
during the 1st half of the night.

outlook...non-vfr sunday...and possibly into monday in widespread
accumulating snow.
&&

marine...
a cold front crossing the lake today will shift the ssw flow of 10
to 15 knots to nw then north into tonight will winds increase to
mainly 15 to 20 knots. high pressure moves into the lake by mon eve
to diminish the flow then a back door cold front slides south across
the lake tue so there should be some increase in a ne flow into wed.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...winter storm watch from this evening through monday morning
for ohz017-027>033-036>038-047.
pa...none.
marine...none.
&&
$$
synopsis...tk
near term...tk
short term...tk
long term...adams
aviation...lombardy
marine...adams

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fzus51 kcle 010804
nshcle
nearshore marine forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
304 am est sat mar 1 2014
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
lez142>149-011530-
maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh-
the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh-
avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-
on-the-lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny-
304 am est sat mar 1 2014

today...southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. mostly
cloudy. a slight chance of snow late.

tonight...northwest winds 10 to 20 knots becoming north. snow.

sunday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming north. snow.

sunday night...north winds 10 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy. a chance
of snow in the evening.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for monday through wednesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 32 degrees...off cleveland 33 degrees
and off erie 34 degrees.
$$

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flus41 kcle 011127
hwocle
hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
627 am est sat mar 1 2014
ohz003-006>014-018>023-089-paz001>003-021130-
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-geauga-
ashtabula inland-seneca-huron-medina-summit-portage-trumbull-
ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-southern erie-crawford pa-
627 am est sat mar 1 2014
this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

day one...today and tonight.
no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

days two through seven...sunday through friday.
no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

spotter information statement...
spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
ohz017-027>033-036>038-047-021130-
hancock-wyandot-crawford-richland-ashland-wayne-stark-mahoning-
marion-morrow-holmes-knox-
627 am est sat mar 1 2014

..winter storm watch in effect from this evening through monday
morning...
this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio and northwest ohio.

day one...today and tonight.
please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.
winter storm watch.

days two through seven...sunday through friday.
please listen to noaa weather radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.
winter storm watch.

spotter information statement...
spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$

for lake erie.

day one...today and tonight.
no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

days two through seven...sunday through friday.
no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

spotter information statement...
spotter activation is not expected at this time.

---

Currently, no weather watches nor advisories exist for metro Toledo. Same for the northern quarter of Ohio. The rest of the state is under a Winter Storm Watch.

For the Findlay area :

Winter Storm Watch now in effect from this evening through Monday morning.

• accumulations... a storm total snowfall of 6 to 8 inches is expected. A period of freezing rain or sleet is also possible tonight.

• Timing... snow will move in this evening... possibly mixing with freezing rain and sleet both this evening and overnight. Snow will continue heavy at times Sunday into Sunday night before tapering off by Monday morning.

• Winds... northerly at 10 to 20 mph.

Toledo forecast :

Tonight: Snow, mainly after 10pm. Low around 15. North wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Sunday: Snow, mainly before 4pm. High near 20. Wind chill values as low as zero. Northeast wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday Night: A chance of snow, mainly before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Wind chill values as low as -9. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

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