Toledo Weather - Thu, Mar 13, 2013

flood statement
national weather service cleveland oh
629 am edt thu mar 13 2014

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

eagle creek at phalanx station

...the flood warning continues for the following rivers in ohio...

maumee river at waterville

precautionary/preparedness actions...

never drive your car through flooded roadways. the water may be
deeper than it appears. turn around...don`t drown!

stay tuned to noaa weather radio and other local media for further
details and updates.

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TOL:
Mar 13, 2014 8:52 am
Weather : Fair
Temperature : 1 F
Humidity : 83%
Wind Speed : W 5 mph
Barometer : 30.15 in
Dewpoint: -3 F
Visibility : 9.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : -9 F

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Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Mar 13, 2014 2:52 am

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 28. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 46. Breezy, with a southwest wind 16 to 20 mph.

Friday Night: A chance of rain showers before midnight, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. West wind 9 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. West wind around 9 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 26.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 11.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 28.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.

Tuesday: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tuesday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

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fxus61 kcle 131134
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
734 am edt thu mar 13 2014

synopsis...
high pressure will move across the ohio valley/lower great lakes
today and move off the southeast coast tonight. this will allow a
warm front to lift ne across the area friday.
&&

near term /until 6 pm this evening/...
lowered pops from categorical to likey as the low level winds are
beginning to back to the west. as that occurs bands should begin to
shear apart.
original discussion...
snow showers off of lake huron continue across the central lakeshore
counties into northeast ohio. drier air entraining in as ridge
builds in but winds dont start to shear until around 12z. expect
snow showers to continue then. could see a widespread inch or two
with 1-3 in the higher elevations possible before ridge finally
cuts lake effect snow off.
eastern counties will get close to wind chill advisory
criteria...but expect conditions to remain just below the criteria
as winds will continue to diminish through the morning hours.
&&

short term /6 pm this evening through sunday night/...
progressive pattern in short term. high pressure that moves
across ohio valley today will slide off the se coast tonight. this
will allow a warm front to lift across the area friday. temperatures
could break 50 in the southern counties. warm up will be short
lived as another cold front moves across the area friday night.
expect precip with the front to start as rain and then change to
all snow overnight. much colder air settles over the area sunday.
&&

long term /monday through wednesday/...
lot's of differences remain in the long term models so confidence
remains low this morning. will continue with a dry forecast for
monday but the latest ecmwf is bringing precip close to southern end
of the area. the high to the north of lake erie should be just
strong enough to keep the precip at bay. better chances for precip
will come tuesday and wednesday. again the 00z models are very
different so timing is tough to pin down. will continue with
chance pops for now. monday will be a very cold day with highs
again struggling to get out of the 20s. tuesday and wednesday will
be a tad better...but still just below normal.
&&

aviation /12z thursday through monday/...
just some patches of lake effect clouds still across the area.
some of this cloudiness is mvfr. periods of bkn cigs are likely
the next few hours over the eastern half of the area. clouds could
return to keri and kyng as the flow continues to become more
westerly. no more than flurries are expected today. the afternoon
and evening hours will be mainly clear with some high clouds
increasing tonight as a warm front lifts across the region. nw
flow will become w this morning and then s to sw this evening.
speeds most of the time will be under 12 knots.

outlook...non vfr possible friday night into sunday...especially in
the snowbelt.
&&

marine...
winds have diminished on the lake and do not foresee any headlines
during the period. a ridge will slide east across the lake later
today causing the flow to become sw. a cold front is still on track
to cross the lake on friday night which will cause the flow to
return to the west. high pressure will then build over the lake
from the northwest over the weekend with the flow eventually
becoming northerly. another system will begin to approach from the
sw on monday which will cause the flow to return to the south.
&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
oh...none.
pa...none.
marine...none.
&&
$$
synopsis...djb
near term...djb
short term...djb
long term...kubina
aviation...kubina
marine...kubina

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fzus51 kcle 130718
nshcle
nearshore marine forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
318 am edt thu mar 13 2014
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
lez142>146-131415-
maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh-
the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh-
avon point to willowick oh-
318 am edt thu mar 13 2014

today...northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. snow
showers this morning.

tonight...southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 10 to
20 knots. mostly cloudy.

friday...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. partly sunny. a small
craft advisory may be needed.

friday night...west winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy with a
chance of rain showers. a chance of snow showers overnight.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for saturday through monday.
the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33
degrees and off erie 33 degrees.
$$
lez147>149-131415-
willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh-
conneaut oh to ripley ny-
318 am edt thu mar 13 2014

today...northwest winds 10 to 20 knots becoming west. snow showers
likely this morning...then a chance of snow showers this afternoon.

tonight...southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 10 to
20 knots. mostly cloudy.

friday...south winds 20 to 25 knots becoming southwest to 30 knots.
mostly sunny in the morning...then becoming mostly cloudy. a small
craft advisory may be needed.

friday night...west winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 10 to 20 knots. cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
a chance of snow showers overnight.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for saturday through monday.
the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33
degrees and off erie 33 degrees.

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