9 min

Toledo Weather - Mon, Mar 17, 2014

Patchy snow cover in our West Toledo neighborhood. Officially, the snow dept would probably be zero.

flood statement
national weather service cleveland oh
737 am edt mon mar 17 2014

wood oh-lucas oh-
737 am edt mon mar 17 2014

...flood warning remains in effect for ice jam flooding in
southwestern lucas and northwestern wood counties until 600 pm edt

the river gage on the maumee river at waterville continued to
indicate an ice jam on the river. sunday evening the jam just
west of grand rapids broke and began to move downstream. this ice
will likely jam again in the narrow channels created by the
islands within the river. no ice jam flooding was reported to the
national weather service during the night.

water backing up behind the ice jam will cause flooding to occur in
the warned area. there is also the threat of flooding downstream of
the ice jam once it breaks up.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

ice jam flooding is difficult to predict...and conditions can change
rapidly as a jam forms and breaks. flooding associated with ice jams
is often worst immediately upstream of the jam location. if you live
along or near rivers prone to ice jams...be prepared to act quickly
if flooding is observed...or if requested by emergency personnel.


lat...lon 4159 8365 4157 8359 4145 8374 4137 8388
4144 8388 4149 8379

Toledo Express Airport:
Mar 17, 2014 6:52 am
Weather : Fair
Temperature : 12 F
Humidity : 77%
Wind Speed : NE 9 mph
Barometer : 30.06 in
Dewpoint: 6 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 0 F

Toledo Executive Airport:
(formerly Metcalf Airport)
Mar 17, 2014 6:53 am
Weather : Fair
Temperature : 13 F
Humidity : 70%
Wind Speed : NE 12 mph
Barometer : 30.08 in
Dewpoint: 5 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : -1 F

Toledo Suburban Airport:
(near Lambertville)
Mar 17, 2014 7:15 am
Weather : Fair
Temperature : 14 F
Humidity : 79%
Wind Speed : ENE 7 mph
Barometer : 30.07 in
Dewpoint: 9 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 4 F

Toledo 7-day forecast
Last Update: Mar 17, 2014 6:34 am

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 30. Wind chill values as low as -3. East wind 11 to 14 mph.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. East wind 6 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. East wind 6 to 8 mph.

Tuesday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southeast wind 9 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Rain likely, mainly before 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 47. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

Thursday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 42.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 35.

Toledo Area Forecast Summaries
(using forecast.io data)
Now: Clear 11 F - ENE at 9 mph

Next 24 Hours: Partly cloudy tonight.

Next 7 Days: Light rain later this week; temperatures rising to 59° on Friday.

Today, Mon, Mar 17 : 30 and 11
Tue, Mar 18, : 44 and 21
Wed, Mar 19 : 45 and 34
Thu, Mar 20 : 46 and 29
Fri, Mar 21 : 59 and 34
Sat, Mar 22 : 48 and 35
Sun, Mar 23 : 34 and 23
Mon, Mar 24 : 36 and 19

fxus61 kcle 171005
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
605 am edt mon mar 17 2014

high pressure just north of lake erie will slowly drift northeast
through tuesday then low pressure will move northeast through the
upper lakes wednesday pulling a trailing cold front east across the
area late wednesday. high pressure will move up the ohio valley
thursday then a low will move across ohio friday followed by arctic
high pressure pushing southeast from the northern plains toward ohio

near term /until 6 pm monday evening/...
the higher clouds associated with a system se of the area continues
to pull out of the se counties. however...there has been some nw
advance to stratocu behind the system...that is trying to get into
the far southern edge of the cwa. it appears from the latest sat pix
that the northward progression of this stratocu may have ended. will
adjust sky grids to allow for more clouds for the next few hours in
the far south.
more moisture and high clouds from a system over the plains will be
spreading in from the west for the latter part of the afternoon.
even with more sunshine today...the ne winds will keep temps from
recovering much so once again highs today will be well below normal
with most places in the north struggling to get much above 30 while
the south struggles to get much above 35.

short term /6 pm monday evening through thursday night/...
as winds turn more to the south tonight into tue...warm advection
will become more pronounced. lows tonight should hold in a 18 to 24
range then highs tue should finally be able to rise back to more
normal levels. decent higher level moisture should keep skies partly
to mostly cloudy thru tue but lack of lower level moisture should
keep precip away from the area.
the low lifting ne across the upper lakes wed will lead to an
increasing low level jet over the area tue night and wed until a
cold front passes on wed to shift the south winds to the west
causing a shift from warm advection to cold advection. windy
conditions are likely tue night thru wed night.
low levels moisten enough for light precip to start to develop west
to east tue night into wed. the strength of the warm advection and
increasing temps should lead to just rain tue night into wed so will
keep lows tue night a 33 or higher so as not to allow for any other
precip type.
wrap moisture and an upper trough over the area wed night into thu
will probably result in some snow showers...especially near lake
a weak ridge tries to briefly nose ne into the area thu eve but the
fast moving pattern will bring moisture from another system back
into the area by the end of thu night with possible light snow by
the end of the night.

long term /friday through sunday/...
the models agree in moving a low across northern ohio and northwest
pa friday night into saturday. the threat of precipitation will
start off as rain showers and then go to snow showers as the cold
air seeps in on saturday. the precipitation amounts from the rain
should be half an inch or less.
not expecting much lake effect snow saturday night into sunday in
the snow belt as a weak ridge builds in saturday night and the
airmass is fairly dry even though the lake and 850 mb temperature
difference will be near 18c sunday afternoon. elsewhere it will be
after above normal temperatures on friday...back to below normal for
sunday. generally used hpc guidance for the temperature forecast.

aviation /06z monday through friday/...
vfr for the taf period.
the mid and high clouds that are associated with the weather
system that was moving through the ohio valley during the
overnight will move east by daybreak. some wind will continue...so
no fog expected. some scattered cirrus during the daylight hours
and then a little increase in cirrus monday night as a weak trof
aloft moves through.

outlook...non vfr possible tuesday night through wednesday night.

an east wind today will become southeast tonight with a ridge to the
north and an inverted trof over eastern ohio and western
the next and only threat for gale force winds through next weekend
will be wednesday into wednesday night mainly in the cold advection
after the frontal passage. at this time going with up to 30 knots.
after that a ridge builds in for thursday night. will mention the
possible gales in the hazardous weather outlook.
a low will move close to lake erie early in the weekend...but at
this time the winds are not expected to be gale force.

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
near term...adams
short term...adams
long term...kieltyka

fzus51 kcle 170736
nearshore marine forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
336 am edt mon mar 17 2014
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh-
the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh-
avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-
on-the-lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny-
336 am edt mon mar 17 2014

today...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly sunny.

tonight...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to
15 knots. partly cloudy.

tuesday...east winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. mostly

tuesday night...southeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming south and
increasing to 15 to 25 knots. mostly cloudy. a chance of rain.
waves omitted due to the nearshore waters being mostly ice
see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday.
the water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees...off cleveland 33
degrees and off erie 33 degrees.

#toledo - #weather

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