Toledo Weather - Mon, May 11, 2015

hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
422 am edt mon may 11 2015

for lake erie...north central
ohio...northeast ohio...northwest ohio and northwest pennsylvania.

.day one...today and tonight.

there is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms today and early
tonight. the primary threat will be strong damaging winds and
large hail.

.days two through seven...tuesday through sunday.

no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.spotter information statement...

spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

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Toledo Express
May 11, 2015 5:52 am
Weather : Fog/Mist
Temperature : 64 F
Humidity : 96%
Wind Speed : Calm
Barometer : 29.93 in
Dewpoint: 63 F
Visibility : 5.00 statute miles
External Link : 3-day history

(formerly Metcalf Airport)
May 11, 2015 5:53 am
Weather : Partly Cloudy
Temperature : 66 F
Humidity : 90%
Wind Speed : S 5 mph
Barometer : 29.94 in
Dewpoint: 63 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles

(near Lambertville)
May 11, 2015 6:35 am
Weather : Fog/Mist
Temperature : 63 F
Humidity : 94%
Wind Speed : Calm
Barometer : 29.94 in
Dewpoint: 61 F
Visibility : 1.25 statute miles

At 6:00 am, our sky cover was at least 80%, comprised of low and mid level clouds. Muggy walk.

Areas with the best chance for severe weather

• northeast Indiana
• southern Michigan
• northwest Ohio

Main window for severe weather

• between 3:00 p.m. and 9:00 p.m.
• first line: between 4:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m.
• second line: between 6:00 p.m. and 8:00 p.m.

Primary threats

• Thunderstorm wind gusts of 60-plus mph, capable of downing trees and wires and possibly causing structural damage.
• Brief but torrential rainfall, capable of producing flash flooding.

Secondary threats

• Hail at least 3/4-inch in diameter
• Small tornadoes

Key ingredient

• Amount of sunshine this morning and early this afternoon.
• If the sky clears this morning, and we have a mostly sunny day, then our temps will warm into the low to mid 80s with dew points in the mid 60s, and the severe threat increases. The storm strength will depend upon the other atmospheric variables.

Storm Prediction Center

• As of early this morning our region was still under a Slight Risk for severe weather. The SPC will issue an updated convective outlook later this morning. We'll know then if our area will be upgraded to an Enhanced Risk.
• If conditions warrant, I'm guessing that the SPC will issue a Mesoscale Discussion for the region between Noon and 3:00 p.m. The MD will mention the likelihood of a watch being issues.
• If a watch is issued, I'm guessing that it will be issued between 1:00 and 3:00 p.m.

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