Toledo Weather - Sun, May 31, 2015

TOL:
May 31, 2015 6:52 pm
Weather : Overcast
Temperature : 50 F
Humidity : 89%
Wind Speed : NNE 16 mph - Gust 24 mph
Barometer : 30.14 in
Dewpoint: 47 F
Visibility : 10.00 statute miles
Wind Chill : 44 F

Toledo 7-day forecast

Last Update: May 31, 2015 5:14 pm

Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 45. North wind 8 to 13 mph.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light north after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 69. East wind 6 to 14 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 72.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
page created: May 31, 2015 - 7:15 p.m. EDT

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coastal hazard message
national weather service cleveland oh
405 pm edt sun may 31 2015

...gusty winds will cause hazardous swimming conditions...

.a cold front near the south shore of lake erie will continue to
move south today as low pressure tracks east across ohio into
pennsylvania. high pressure will begin to build south across the
area on tuesday.

ohz003-007>012-089-paz001-010415-
/o.con.kcle.bh.s.0001.000000t0000z-150601t1500z/
lucas-ottawa-sandusky-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-lake-
ashtabula lakeshore-northern erie-
405 pm edt sun may 31 2015

...beach hazards statement remains in effect through monday
morning...

• hazards...high wave action and dangerous swimming conditions
  expected.

• timing...early sunday morning through monday morning.

• location...the entire lake erie shoreline from maumee bay to
  ripley new york including the following beaches...maumee bay
  state park...east harbor state park...huntington beach...
  kelleys island state park...headlands beach state park...
  presque isle state park and all private beaches.

• potential impacts...northeast winds of 20 to 30 knots will
  create large waves of 4 to 8 feet along the lake erie
  shoreline. this will cause dangerous currents to develop
  making swimming hazardous.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

swimming risk exists today. the combination of wind and or waves
will make for potentially dangerous conditions for swimmers
including the risk of rip currents. follow the instruction of
local authorities or stay out of the water.

---

fxus61 kcle 312259
afdcle

area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
659 pm edt sun may 31 2015

synopsis...
low pressure over the upper ohio valley will move east
tonight. cool high pressure over the northern great lakes will
slowly move east the first half of the week. moisture from the
south may begin to spread across the area thursday and friday
ahead of a cold front late in the week.

&&

near term /through monday/...
showers and thunderstorms are exiting to the east at this time and
should be out of the area in the next hour or so. however...will
keep a chance of showers in the northeast as flow pushes around to
a more northerly direction. cant rule out a possible shower over
northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania. otherwise...rest of the
area should be mainly dry overnight as moisture pulls out slowly
to the east. temperatures continue to hold steady across the
northern areas but seeing temperatures fall dramatically as the
wave of low pressure pushes east into pennsylvania.

previous discussion...

the back edge of the rain was moving northeast at about 20 mph
and should be moving east of the the cleveland/akron area during
the late afternoon. rainfall rates have increased over the last
couple of hours...mainly in the convective cells east of cle. the
majority of the convection should be from the i-77 corridor and
eastward from late afternoon on. will trim the flood watch to
areas where rain and convection might still be ongoing...eastern
cuyahoga county to summit county and eastward. the remaining
showers will pull out from west to east overnight although a few
light showers/drizzle could linger across northeast oh and
northwest pa overnight. lows from the mid 40s in the colder spots
of northwest ohio to the upper 40s and lower 50s elsewhere.
clouds and a breeze should continue.

&&

short term /monday night through wednesday night/...
model soundings show that high level clouds will linger on monday
but drier air should begin to filter into the mid levels and
subsidence should increase. cannot rule out some lingering light
showers or drizzle especially across northeast oh and northwest
pa. still cool with highs only in the upper 50s and lower 60s. the
high clouds should continue to thin on tuesday. not much cumulus
is expected so we should begin to see sunshine return. high temps
will likely jump up around 70 except cooler near lake erie with a
continued northeast flow.

the models are uncertain on how fast or how far the upper low may
begin to lift out later in the week. wednesday will likely remain
dry with enough high pressure across the great lakes. highs back
up to near normal.

&&

long term /thursday through sunday/...
models differ on how much moisture will move northward from low
pressure that is expected to move across the southeastern us. for
now have gone with slight chances of thunder thursday into early
friday. by friday afternoon there may be enough heating to boost
thunder chances into the chance category. another front is expected
to move southward across the region friday night into saturday but
models differ on how fast this will occur. one of the models
doesn't move the front south of the region saturday
afternoon/evening.

it will continue to be warm through the long term with highs into
the 80s.

&&

aviation /18z sunday through friday/...
low pressure over central ohio will continue to move eastward
through the evening. rain wraps from southern ontario to nw ohio
but is shifting eastward with the low. locations where the rain
has ended are seeing ceilings lift to low end mvfr. the
southeastern portion of the area...including kcak and kyng...have
mixed a bit with ceilings briefly bouncing to vfr. however as the
showers return mvfr conditions are expected. cant completely rule
out some thunder across the east but chances seem low enough to
only go with a vicinity mention. there will be brief ifr with the
stronger showers. as the colder air spills across lake erie this
evening into the overnight hours there should at least be a period
of ifr cloud cover. best chances of this occurring will be east
and north of a line from sandusky to kmfd to to kcak to kyng.

winds will be southwest to south for kcak to kyng through 20z or
21z as the low shifts eastward. all locations will then be
northeast and gusty through the evening. the strongest wind gusts
will be near the lakeshore with a few gusts up to 40 knots
possible. winds will decrease after midnight as they shift to the
north but will remain around 10 knots.

outlook...non vfr likely monday...continuing monday night in ne
oh/nw pa.

&&

marine...
low pressure over central ohio will weaken as it moves
eastward across pa tonight. is it does high pressure will build over
the lake and eventually become centered over lake huron tuesday
afternoon. this will allow the 30 knot northeast winds to decrease
through this evening. as winds become northerly they should decrease
but may continue to cause some larger waves into monday morning.
will keep the small craft and beach hazards going in their current
configuration.

easterly winds will once again increase on wednesday but should not
exceed 15 knots. winds look as if they become light and variable
thursday into friday.

&&

cle watches/warnings/advisories...
pa...beach hazards statement through monday morning for paz001.
flood watch until 10 pm edt this evening for paz001>003.
ny...none.
marine...small craft advisory until 10 am edt monday for lez144>149.
small craft advisory until 4 am edt monday for lez142-143.

&&

$$
synopsis...kosarik
near term...kosarik/lombardy
short term...kosarik
long term...mullen
aviation...mullen
marine...mullen

---

fzus51 kcle 312236 aaa
nshcle

nearshore marine forecast...updated
national weather service cleveland oh
636 pm edt sun may 31 2015

for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake erie

lez142-143-010215-
maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh-
636 pm edt sun may 31 2015

..small craft advisory in effect until 4 am edt monday...

tonight...northeast winds 15 to 25 knots. cloudy. a chance of
rain showers this evening...then a slight chance of rain showers
after midnight. waves 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet.

monday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy. waves
2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

monday night...northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. partly cloudy.
waves 1 to 3 feet.

tuesday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming east. mostly
sunny. waves 2 feet or less.

see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday.

the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 56
degrees and off erie 62 degrees.

$$

lez144>147-010215-
the islands to vermilion oh-vermilion to avon point oh-
avon point to willowick oh-willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-
636 pm edt sun may 31 2015

..small craft advisory in effect through monday morning...

tonight...northeast winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to
25 knots. cloudy with a chance of rain showers. waves 6 to 9 feet
subsiding to 5 to 8 feet.

monday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. cloudy. waves 4 to
6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

monday night...northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. mostly cloudy.
waves 1 to 3 feet.

tuesday...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly sunny. waves
2 feet or less.

see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday.

the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 56
degrees and off erie 62 degrees.

$$

lez148-149-010215-
geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny-
636 pm edt sun may 31 2015

..small craft advisory in effect through monday morning...

tonight...northeast winds to 30 knots diminishing to 20 to
25 knots. rain showers. waves 5 to 8 feet.

monday...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. cloudy with a chance of
rain showers. waves 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

monday night...northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy.
waves 1 to 3 feet.

tuesday...northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. mostly sunny. waves
2 feet or less.

see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday.

the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 56
degrees and off erie 62 degrees.

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7:25 p.m. forecast.io data
Toledo Area Forecast Summaries
(using forecast.io data)

Now: Overcast 51 F - NNE at 12 mph

Next 24 Hours: Mostly cloudy throughout the day.

Next 7 Days: Light rain today through Saturday, with temperatures rising to 82�F on Friday.

Weather for Toledo More at Forecast.io
51� and rising
Overcast
Wind: 12 mph (N)
Today
56� 50�
Mon
65� 49�
Tue
67� 51�
Wed
71� 54�
Thu
80� 59�
Fri
82� 65�
Sat
72� 61�
Sun
74� 58�

#toledo #weather