Toledo weather sun jun 14 2015

6:30 a.m., Sun, Jun 14, 2015

I'll provide a simplified view. If JustaSooner is around, he can provide details.

For the first half of June, we experienced fairly active weather or at least above normal rainfall. Nearly three inches of rain has fallen over West Toledo in the first 13 days. Some areas around Toledo have received more.

Early this morning, the Storm Prediction Center showed the Toledo area within the Slight Risk for severe weather for today and tomorrow.

For Tuesday, the risk is forecast to be a little south and east of us, but the National Weather Service said that the entire week could be fairly active.

Localized flooding may be an issue for some parts of northwest Ohio.

Excerpts from this morning's Hazardous Weather Outlook:

national weather service cleveland oh 444 am edt sun jun 14 2015

there is a chance for severe thunderstorms today with the potential for strong winds and large hail. locally heavy rain is also likely which could lead to flooding. spotter activation is possible today.

there is a chance for severe thunderstorms again on monday with the potential for strong winds and large hail. heavy rain is also possible which could lead to flooding.

an active weather pattern will persist this week. it is too early to be specific but there may be a chance for severe thunderstorms and heavy rain somewhere in northern ohio each day this week.

Excerpts from the 4:00 a.m. Cle NWS Area Forecast Discussion:

all [variables] point toward an active day [today] of showers and thunderstorms.

unsure where the focusing mechanism will occur to get any particular storms stronger than others but with decent cape progged to develop and the above mentioned parameters there will certainly be some storms and clusters of storms that will get strong to severe.

equally concerning is the increasing pw and the thereat for heavy showers/storms on top of the locally heavy rain we have already had in places. will not issue a flood watch at this time since the storms should move along in the brisk southwest flow today but where there is training or back building we will have to watch for flooding. will mention heavy rain with the storms.

Toledo forecast - Last Update: Jun 14, 2015 5:03 am

Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Cloudy, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 85. West wind 7 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northwest wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. North wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

SPC Convective Outlook for Sun, Jun 14, 2015

SPC Convective Outlook for Mon, Jun 15, 2015

SPC Convective Outlook for Tue, Jun 16, 2015

#toledo #weather