Toledo - 1970 vs 2016

2007 TT post:
http://toledotalk.com/cgi-bin/tt.pl/article/3152/Carty_exploits_the_murders_in_Perrysburg_Township

March 2007 Blade story
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?Date=20070305&Category=NEWS03&ArtNo=703050310&SectionCat=&Template=printart

From 1970 to 2005, Toledo's population dropped 21 percent, from 383,818 to 301,285. Police and fire staffing dropped during that time, but not as much. Police manpower declined 6 percent, from 730 uniformed officers in 1970 to 686 in 2005. The number of firefighters fell 9 percent, to 509 in 2005 from 558 in 1970. One number that's stayed fairly constant since 1970 is the city's size: 84 square miles.
"Population is only one factor," Chief Navarre said. "You have to look at socioeconomic issues that may be more important than population and square miles. You also need to look at calls for service."

Police calls increased from 310,169 in 1976 to 542,106 calls in 2005, of which 433,415 were 911 calls. Chief Navarre said the city's police force is "lean compared to cities our size." Toledo is near the bottom of Ohio's major cities with 2.2 officers per 1,000 residents.

On the law enforcement side, Toledo has 683 police officers compared to 1,082 in Cincinnati, where there are more people, but fewer square miles. Cincinnati City Council recently increased the budgeted police complement to 1,115. That city has budgeted for a class of 50 this year, Sgt. Louise Shields said. Akron has 443 police officers and a budgeted strength of 487. It hopes to start a police class next month of up to 40 officers and another class in late fall, police Major Gus Hall said.

Toledo may not get a new police class this year or next. If 50 officers leave through attrition as expected and the force falls to 630, Chief Navarre said, "It's going to require we prioritize." The last time Toledo's police force dropped that low, the chief said, was in the early 1980s. He said the force is in a better position to lose 50 people now than in the early 1980s, when officers took calls, dispatched, and worked in records - jobs now held by civilians.

"It's not like the criminals moved out," said Dan Wagner, president of the Toledo Police Patrolman's Association. His suggestions for saving money: cut the mayor's chief-of-staff, Robert Reinbolt, and have fewer command officers take home department vehicles.

Fire runs peaked at 9,247 in 1976 and dropped to 7,175 two years ago. But EMS runs have quadrupled since 1970, to 39,796 in 2005. Toledo has 1.7 firefighters per 1,000 residents, near the bottom among Ohio's big cities, a Blade survey of fire manning showed.

Mark Light, interim executive director of the International Association of Fire Chiefs, said many factors affect the number of firefighters needed, including the age and size of buildings. Ohio's seven big-city fire departments all have mandatory minimum daily staffing levels. Toledo has a total 502 firefighters, and by union contract must have a minimum of 103 on duty daily across its 17 stations. If there are fewer, firefighters are recalled on overtime - a requirement that costs the city millions every year.

2015 staffing levels:

http://www.toledoblade.com/Police-Fire/2015/09/20/Toledo-officers-struggle-with-low-staffing-levels.html

From administration to patrol, the Toledo Police Department employs 631 sworn officers, a department spokesman said. These men and women cover a city of approximately 281,000 people, or about 445 residents per officer.

1970:
pop = 383,818
officers = 730
residents per officer = 526

2015:
pop = 281,031 (decline of 102, 787 or 26.78 %)
officers = 631
residents per officer = 445

26.78 percent drop in population from 1970 to 2015.

13.56 percent drop in police officer numbers.

using the 1970 ratio of residents per officer or applying the population percentage drop to officers, Toledo should have 535 officers and not 631.

http://www.toledoblade.com/Featured-Editorial-Home/2016/03/06/Yes-on-Toledo-tax.html

The remaining $2 million a year from the tax boost would go to the city’s general fund for operating expenses. This year, the increase would enable the city to accelerate the start of the next police class, ensuring the police department will have enough officers to replace those who are expected to retire in 2016.

Two-thirds of Toledo’s general-fund budget goes to personnel costs. Seven out of eight jobs funded by the budget are in public safety — police and fire protection and courts. Few Toledoans would suggest that the city should have fewer police officers and firefighters, or that their pay should be cut.

It appears that based upon 1970 and 2015 numbers, Toledo should reduce the number of police officers by about 100.

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#toledo - #politics - #history